Middlesbrough at Swansea City

Updated

Middlesbrough

38.9%27.7%33.3%
Middlesbrough WinDrawSwansea City Win
1.25Projected Goals 1.13
0Final Score 1

Swansea City

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Derby County-155
W 3-1 at Stoke City+120
L 1-2 at Bristol City+210
L 1-0 vs Watford-170
L 1-3 at Sheffield United+230
Swansea City
Money Line
T 0-0 at Preston North End+225
W 0-3 vs Blackburn+150
L 1-3 at Stoke City+205
L 1-0 vs Sheffield Wednesday+170
W 1-0 at Bristol City+340

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+125+164+160+157+154+157+164+177.9
Swansea City+200+173+165+157+173+157+173+177.9
Draw+235+239+215+230+234+230+239+256.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+140---+140+160+160+177.9
Swansea City+195---+155+170+170+177.9
Draw+240---+215+240+240+256.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 10.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Middlesbrough ML
Swansea City ML moved from +175 to +165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 10.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Middlesbrough ML
Swansea City ML moved from +170 to +155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½+101o2½-102o2½-108o2½-104o2½-108o2½+101o2½+102
Underu2½-110u2½-118u2½-118u2½-112u2½-116u2½-112u2½-112u2½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+102
Under-----u2½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-118 to o2½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.21%
Exactly 226.19%
Exactly 412.41%
Exactly 62.35%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.97%
Exactly 320.82%
Exactly 55.92%
Exactly 70.80%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 028.66%
Exactly 135.81%
Exactly 222.38%
Exactly 39.32%
Exactly 42.91%
Exactly 50.73%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 032.16%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 220.70%
Exactly 37.83%
Exactly 42.22%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.16%
Exactly 220.20%
Exactly 42.05%
 
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 37.43%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 056.06%
Exactly 132.44%
Exactly 29.39%
Exactly 31.81%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 059.14%
Exactly 131.06%
Exactly 28.16%
Exactly 31.43%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals17.06%
Wins by 3+ goals5.80%
Wins by 4+ goals1.57%
Wins by 5+ goals0.34%
Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals13.39%
Wins by 3+ goals4.11%
Wins by 4+ goals0.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Swansea City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal21.86%
Wins by 2 goals11.26%
Wins by 3 goals4.22%
Wins by 4 goals1.23%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal19.84%
Wins by 2 goals9.28%
Wins by 3 goals3.15%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.79%9.21%
1.568.81%31.19%
2.542.62%57.38%
3.521.80%78.20%
4.59.39%90.61%
5.53.47%96.53%
6.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.34%28.66%
1.535.53%64.47%
2.513.15%86.85%
3.53.83%96.17%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.84%32.16%
1.531.36%68.64%
2.510.66%89.34%
3.52.84%97.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.84%33.16%
1.530.24%69.76%
2.510.04%89.96%
3.52.60%97.40%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Swansea City
Score012345
0
9.21%
10.45%
5.93%
2.24%
0.64%
0.14%
1
11.52%
13.07%
7.41%
2.80%
0.80%
0.18%
2
7.20%
8.17%
4.63%
1.75%
0.50%
0.11%
3
3.00%
3.40%
1.93%
0.73%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.94%
1.06%
0.60%
0.23%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.23%
0.27%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-011.52%
2-07.20%
2-18.17%
3-03.00%
3-13.40%
3-21.93%
4-00.94%
4-11.06%
4-20.60%
4-30.23%
5-00.23%
5-10.27%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-09.21%
1-113.07%
2-24.63%
3-30.73%
Swansea City
0-110.45%
0-25.93%
1-27.41%
0-32.24%
1-32.80%
2-31.75%
0-40.64%
1-40.80%
2-40.50%
3-40.21%
0-50.14%
1-50.18%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Swansea City
Score01234
0
33.16%
17.42%
4.57%
0.80%
0.11%
1
19.19%
10.08%
2.65%
0.46%
0.06%
2
5.55%
2.92%
0.77%
0.13%
0.02%
3
1.07%
0.56%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.15%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-019.19%
2-05.55%
2-12.92%
3-01.07%
3-10.56%
3-20.15%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-033.16%
1-110.08%
2-20.77%
Swansea City
0-117.42%
0-24.57%
1-22.65%
0-30.80%
1-30.46%
2-30.13%
0-40.11%
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