## Liverpool

**Win**

**Draw**

**Win**

## Aston Villa

### Last 5 Games

### Money Line Analysis

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**2.4%**

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**4.0%**

Open Line | Heritage | Bovada | BetOnline | YouWager | SportsBetting | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Liverpool | -115 | -126 | -130 | -129 | -131 | -129 | -126 | -119.2 |

Aston Villa | +250 | +281 | +275 | +290 | +296 | +290 | +296 | +303.9 |

Draw | +330 | +353 | +360 | +363 | +365 | +363 | +365 | +379.5 |

Open Line | South Point | Circa | Wynn | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Liverpool | -140 | - | -128 | -140 | -155 | -130 | -128 | -119.2 |

Aston Villa | +290 | - | +270 | +280 | +260 | +280 | +280 | +303.9 |

Draw | +370 | - | +360 | +350 | +315 | +350 | +360 | +379.5 |

**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest ML

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest ML

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move### Over/Under Analysis

#### Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin**2.8%**

#### Implied Margin

**3.2%**

Open Line | Heritage | Bovada | BetOnline | YouWager | SportsBetting | Best Line | ## No-Vig OddsUsing a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Over | o3¾+102 | o3½-112 | o3½-110 | o3½-106 | o3½-107 | o3½-106 | o3½-106 | o3½+102 |

Under | u3¾-122 | u3½-106 | u3½-110 | u3½-110 | u3½-107 | u3½-110 | u3½-106 | u3½-102 |

Open Line | South Point | Circa | Wynn | Stations | Westgate | Best Line | ## No-Vig Odds | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|

Over | o3½-125 | o3½-120 | o3½-120 | o3½-120 | o3½-120 | o3½-125 | o3½-120 | o3½+102 |

Under | u3½+105 | u3½+100 | u3½+100 | u3½+100 | u3½-110 | u3½+105 | u3½+105 | u3½-102 |

**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest O/U

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move**Overall**

#### Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

#### Base Rating

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

#### Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends#### Latest O/U

#### Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

#### Steam Move

### Goal Props

Both Teams to Score | |
---|---|

Yes | 53.1% |

No | 46.9% |

#### Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 6.27% |

Exactly 2 | 24.05% |

Exactly 4 | 15.36% |

Exactly 6 | 3.93% |

Exactly 8 | 0.54% |

Exactly 1 | 17.37% |

Exactly 3 | 22.19% |

Exactly 5 | 8.51% |

Exactly 7 | 1.55% |

Exactly 9 | 0.17% |

Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 17.68% |

Exactly 1 | 30.63% |

Exactly 2 | 26.54% |

Exactly 3 | 15.33% |

Exactly 4 | 6.64% |

Exactly 5 | 2.30% |

Exactly 6 | 0.66% |

Exactly 7 | 0.16% |

Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 35.49% |

Exactly 1 | 36.76% |

Exactly 2 | 19.04% |

Exactly 3 | 6.57% |

Exactly 4 | 1.70% |

Exactly 5 | 0.35% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 27.75% |

Exactly 2 | 22.80% |

Exactly 4 | 3.12% |

Exactly 6 | 0.17% |

Exactly 1 | 35.57% |

Exactly 3 | 9.74% |

Exactly 5 | 0.80% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 44.83% |

Exactly 1 | 35.97% |

Exactly 2 | 14.43% |

Exactly 3 | 3.86% |

Exactly 4 | 0.77% |

Exactly 5 | 0.12% |

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa | |
---|---|

Exactly 0 | 61.90% |

Exactly 1 | 29.69% |

Exactly 2 | 7.12% |

Exactly 3 | 1.14% |

Exactly 4 | 0.14% |

### Alternate Props

#### Spread

Liverpool | |
---|---|

Wins by 2+ goals | 29.64% |

Wins by 3+ goals | 13.15% |

Wins by 4+ goals | 4.79% |

Wins by 5+ goals | 1.45% |

Aston Villa | |
---|---|

Wins by 2+ goals | 8.14% |

Wins by 3+ goals | 2.25% |

Wins by 4+ goals | 0.47% |

#### Exact Winning Margin

##### Liverpool

##### Aston Villa

Liverpool | |
---|---|

Wins by 1 goal | 24.03% |

Wins by 2 goals | 16.48% |

Wins by 3 goals | 8.37% |

Wins by 4 goals | 3.34% |

Wins by 5 goals | 1.09% |

Aston Villa | |
---|---|

Wins by 1 goal | 14.36% |

Wins by 2 goals | 5.89% |

Wins by 3 goals | 1.78% |

Wins by 4 goals | 0.41% |

#### Total Goals Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 93.73% | 6.27% |

1.5 | 76.35% | 23.65% |

2.5 | 52.30% | 47.70% |

3.5 | 30.11% | 69.89% |

4.5 | 14.75% | 85.25% |

5.5 | 6.24% | 93.76% |

6.5 | 2.32% | 97.68% |

#### Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 82.32% | 17.68% |

1.5 | 51.69% | 48.31% |

2.5 | 25.14% | 74.86% |

3.5 | 9.81% | 90.19% |

4.5 | 3.17% | 96.83% |

#### Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 64.51% | 35.49% |

1.5 | 27.74% | 72.26% |

2.5 | 8.70% | 91.30% |

3.5 | 2.13% | 97.87% |

#### Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

Over | Under | |
---|---|---|

0.5 | 72.25% | 27.75% |

1.5 | 36.67% | 63.33% |

2.5 | 13.87% | 86.13% |

3.5 | 4.13% | 95.87% |

4.5 | 1.01% | 98.99% |

### Score Props

#### Correct Score

Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|

0 | 6.27% | 6.50% | 3.37% | 1.16% | 0.30% |

1 | 10.87% | 11.26% | 5.83% | 2.01% | 0.52% |

2 | 9.42% | 9.76% | 5.05% | 1.75% | 0.45% |

3 | 5.44% | 5.64% | 2.92% | 1.01% | 0.26% |

4 | 2.36% | 2.44% | 1.26% | 0.44% | 0.11% |

5 | 0.82% | 0.85% | 0.44% | 0.15% | 0.04% |

Liverpool | |
---|---|

1-0 | 10.87% |

2-0 | 9.42% |

2-1 | 9.76% |

3-0 | 5.44% |

3-1 | 5.64% |

3-2 | 2.92% |

4-0 | 2.36% |

4-1 | 2.44% |

4-2 | 1.26% |

4-3 | 0.44% |

5-0 | 0.82% |

5-1 | 0.85% |

5-2 | 0.44% |

5-3 | 0.15% |

Draw | |
---|---|

0-0 | 6.27% |

1-1 | 11.26% |

2-2 | 5.05% |

3-3 | 1.01% |

4-4 | 0.11% |

Aston Villa | |
---|---|

0-1 | 6.50% |

0-2 | 3.37% |

1-2 | 5.83% |

0-3 | 1.16% |

1-3 | 2.01% |

2-3 | 1.75% |

0-4 | 0.30% |

1-4 | 0.52% |

2-4 | 0.45% |

3-4 | 0.26% |

#### Correct Score - First Half

Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
---|---|---|---|---|

0 | 27.75% | 13.31% | 3.19% | 0.51% |

1 | 22.26% | 10.68% | 2.56% | 0.41% |

2 | 8.93% | 4.28% | 1.03% | 0.16% |

3 | 2.39% | 1.15% | 0.27% | 0.04% |

4 | 0.48% | 0.23% | 0.06% | 0.01% |

Liverpool | |
---|---|

1-0 | 22.26% |

2-0 | 8.93% |

2-1 | 4.28% |

3-0 | 2.39% |

3-1 | 1.15% |

3-2 | 0.27% |

4-0 | 0.48% |

4-1 | 0.23% |

Draw | |
---|---|

0-0 | 27.75% |

1-1 | 10.68% |

2-2 | 1.03% |

Aston Villa | |
---|---|

0-1 | 13.31% |

0-2 | 3.19% |

1-2 | 2.56% |

0-3 | 0.51% |

1-3 | 0.41% |

2-3 | 0.16% |