Sturm Graz at Midtjylland

Updated

Sturm Graz

32.0%26.8%41.1%
Sturm Graz WinDrawMidtjylland Win
1.15Projected Goals 1.35
0Final Score 2

Midtjylland

Last 5 Games

Sturm Graz
Money Line
L 0-3 at Sporting CP+410
L 0-1 at Atalanta+875
T 2-2 vs Atalanta+450
L 2-1 vs Sporting CP+300
L 0-2 at Midtjylland+240
Midtjylland
Money Line
W 2-1 at Hibernian
T 1-1 vs Hibernian-370
L 2-5 at Real Sociedad+550
L 2-1 vs Real Sociedad+245
T 2-2 vs Fenerbahce+285

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sturm Graz+345-+365+385+372+385+385+404.5
Midtjylland-142--158-155-162-155-155-140.6
Draw+320-+325+342+336+342+342+359.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sturm Graz+350---+290+375+375+404.5
Midtjylland-145----160-160-160-140.6
Draw+320---+295+345+345+359.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sturm Graz: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Midtjylland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sturm Graz: 50.0%
Midtjylland: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sturm Graz: 0.0%
Midtjylland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sturm Graz ML moved from +380 to +372
Midtjylland ML moved from -155 to -164

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sturm Graz: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Midtjylland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sturm Graz: 50.0%
Midtjylland: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sturm Graz: 0.0%
Midtjylland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sturm Graz ML moved from +360 to +335
Midtjylland ML moved from -150 to -160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-121-o3-130o3¼+103o3¼+100o3¼+103o3¼+103o3¼+112
Underu3+101-u3+100u3¼-123u3¼-122u3¼-123u3¼-122u3¼-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120---o3-125o3-130o3-125o3¼+112
Underu3+100---u3-105u3+110u3+110u3¼-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-135 to o3½+110
The Under moved from u3½-130 to u3+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.7%
 
No49.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.18%
Exactly 225.63%
Exactly 413.39%
Exactly 62.80%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.48%
Exactly 321.39%
Exactly 56.70%
Exactly 71.00%
Exact Goals Scored - Sturm Graz
Exactly 031.47%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 221.03%
Exactly 38.11%
Exactly 42.34%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Midtjylland
Exactly 025.99%
Exactly 135.02%
Exactly 223.59%
Exactly 310.60%
Exactly 43.57%
Exactly 50.96%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.38%
Exactly 221.08%
Exactly 42.36%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 38.14%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sturm Graz
Exactly 058.55%
Exactly 131.34%
Exactly 28.39%
Exactly 31.50%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Midtjylland
Exactly 053.59%
Exactly 133.43%
Exactly 210.43%
Exactly 32.17%
Exactly 40.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sturm Graz
Wins by 2+ goals13.02%
Wins by 3+ goals4.10%
Wins by 4+ goals1.03%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%
Midtjylland
Wins by 2+ goals18.93%
Wins by 3+ goals6.82%
Wins by 4+ goals1.97%
Wins by 5+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Sturm Graz
Midtjylland
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sturm Graz
Wins by 1 goal19.01%
Wins by 2 goals8.92%
Wins by 3 goals3.07%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%
Midtjylland
Wins by 1 goal22.15%
Wins by 2 goals12.11%
Wins by 3 goals4.85%
Wins by 4 goals1.52%
Wins by 5 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.82%8.18%
1.571.34%28.66%
2.545.71%54.29%
3.524.32%75.68%
4.510.93%89.07%
5.54.23%95.77%
6.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals Sturm Graz Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.53%31.47%
1.532.15%67.85%
2.511.12%88.88%
3.53.01%96.99%

Total Goals Midtjylland Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.01%25.99%
1.538.98%61.02%
2.515.39%84.61%
3.54.80%95.20%
4.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.62%31.38%
1.532.26%67.74%
2.511.18%88.82%
3.53.03%96.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sturm Graz
Midtjylland
Score012345
0
8.18%
11.02%
7.42%
3.33%
1.12%
0.30%
1
9.46%
12.74%
8.58%
3.85%
1.30%
0.35%
2
5.47%
7.37%
4.96%
2.23%
0.75%
0.20%
3
2.11%
2.84%
1.91%
0.86%
0.29%
0.08%
4
0.61%
0.82%
0.55%
0.25%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.14%
0.19%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Sturm Graz
1-09.46%
2-05.47%
2-17.37%
3-02.11%
3-12.84%
3-21.91%
4-00.61%
4-10.82%
4-20.55%
4-30.25%
5-00.14%
5-10.19%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-08.18%
1-112.74%
2-24.96%
3-30.86%
Midtjylland
0-111.02%
0-27.42%
1-28.58%
0-33.33%
1-33.85%
2-32.23%
0-41.12%
1-41.30%
2-40.75%
3-40.29%
0-50.30%
1-50.35%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Sturm Graz
Midtjylland
Score01234
0
31.38%
19.57%
6.10%
1.27%
0.20%
1
16.80%
10.48%
3.27%
0.68%
0.11%
2
4.50%
2.80%
0.87%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.80%
0.50%
0.16%
0.03%
0.01%
4
0.11%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Sturm Graz
1-016.80%
2-04.50%
2-12.80%
3-00.80%
3-10.50%
3-20.16%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-031.38%
1-110.48%
2-20.87%
Midtjylland
0-119.57%
0-26.10%
1-23.27%
0-31.27%
1-30.68%
2-30.18%
0-40.20%
1-40.11%