Ajax at Brighton

Updated

Ajax

18.6%22.2%59.2%
WinDrawBrighton Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.87
0Final Score 2

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last Games

Ajax
Money Line
T 1-1 at AEK Athens+275
T 3-3 vs Marseille+150
L 1-3 at Union Berlin+235
T 0-0 vs Union Berlin+105
T 1-1 at Roma+210
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
T 2-2 at Marseille+110
L 3-2 vs AEK Athens-530

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+575-+725+890+925+890+925+924.5
Brighton-260--360-390-400-390-360-333.1
Draw+440-+575+625+625+625+625+650.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+585----+820+820+924.5
Brighton-360-----365-365-333.1
Draw+400----+540+540+650.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 50.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 10.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +925 to +890
Brighton ML moved from -375 to -400

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 50.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +845 to +820
Brighton ML moved from -355 to -375

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-108-o3¾-115o3¾-112o3¾-112o3¾-112o3¾-112o3¾-102
Underu3¼-112-u3¾-105u3¾-108u3¾-108u3¾-108u3¾-105u3¾+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-110---o3½-140o3½-135o3½-135o3¾-102
Underu3½-120---u3½+110u3½+115u3½+115u3¾+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-105 to o3½-130
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.8%
 
No48.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.97%
Exactly 223.71%
Exactly 415.70%
Exactly 64.16%
Exactly 80.59%
 
Exactly 116.82%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 58.85%
Exactly 71.68%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 038.86%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.36%
Exactly 35.47%
Exactly 41.29%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 015.35%
Exactly 128.77%
Exactly 226.96%
Exactly 316.84%
Exactly 47.89%
Exactly 52.96%
Exactly 60.92%
Exactly 70.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.11%
Exactly 223.09%
Exactly 43.28%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 310.05%
Exactly 50.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 064.56%
Exactly 128.25%
Exactly 26.18%
Exactly 30.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 041.99%
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 215.81%
Exactly 34.57%
Exactly 40.99%
Exactly 50.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals6.21%
Wins by 3+ goals1.58%
Wins by 4+ goals0.31%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals34.61%
Wins by 3+ goals16.41%
Wins by 4+ goals6.40%
Wins by 5+ goals2.08%
Wins by 6+ goals0.55%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Brighton and Hove Albion
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal12.34%
Wins by 2 goals4.63%
Wins by 3 goals1.28%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal24.47%
Wins by 2 goals18.20%
Wins by 3 goals10.01%
Wins by 4 goals4.33%
Wins by 5 goals1.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.03%5.97%
1.577.22%22.78%
2.553.51%46.49%
3.531.23%68.77%
4.515.53%84.47%
5.56.68%93.32%
6.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.14%38.86%
1.524.41%75.59%
2.57.05%92.95%
3.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.65%15.35%
1.555.88%44.12%
2.528.93%71.07%
3.512.09%87.91%
4.54.20%95.80%
5.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.89%27.11%
1.537.50%62.50%
2.514.41%85.59%
3.54.36%95.64%
4.51.08%98.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score012345
0
5.97%
11.18%
10.48%
6.54%
3.07%
1.15%
1
5.64%
10.57%
9.90%
6.18%
2.90%
1.09%
2
2.66%
4.99%
4.68%
2.92%
1.37%
0.51%
3
0.84%
1.57%
1.47%
0.92%
0.43%
0.16%
4
0.20%
0.37%
0.35%
0.22%
0.10%
0.04%
Ajax
1-05.64%
2-02.66%
2-14.99%
3-00.84%
3-11.57%
3-21.47%
4-00.20%
4-10.37%
4-20.35%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-05.97%
1-110.57%
2-24.68%
3-30.92%
4-40.10%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-111.18%
0-210.48%
1-29.90%
0-36.54%
1-36.18%
2-32.92%
0-43.07%
1-42.90%
2-41.37%
3-40.43%
0-51.15%
1-51.09%
2-50.51%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score012345
0
27.11%
23.52%
10.20%
2.95%
0.64%
0.11%
1
11.86%
10.29%
4.47%
1.29%
0.28%
0.05%
2
2.60%
2.25%
0.98%
0.28%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.38%
0.33%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-011.86%
2-02.60%
2-12.25%
3-00.38%
3-10.33%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-027.11%
1-110.29%
2-20.98%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-123.52%
0-210.20%
1-24.47%
0-32.95%
1-31.29%
2-30.28%
0-40.64%
1-40.28%
0-50.11%