Metz at Lille

Updated

Metz

13.9%20.5%65.5%
WinDrawLille Win
0.79Projected Goals 1.99
1Final Score 6

Lille

Last 5 Games

Metz
Money Line
L 0-4 at Toulouse+525
L 3-0 vs Marseille+500
T 0-0 vs Le Havre+160
L 2-5 at Monaco+760
T 1-1 vs Angers+125
Lille
Money Line
W 2-0 at Nantes-140
T 1-1 vs Paris Saint-Germain+250
L 1-0 vs Lyon+135
L 0-3 at Lens+215
W 1-2 vs Toulouse-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Metz+750+1051+1000+1150+1150+1150+1150+1194.1
Lille-305-392-450-415-415-415-392-351.2
Draw+420+539+525+569+569+569+569+592.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Metz+820-+950-+700+1125+1125+1194.1
Lille-315--420--380-445-380-351.2
Draw+450-+569-+380+550+569+592.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Metz: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lille: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Metz: 40.0%
Lille: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Metz: 20.0%
Lille: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Metz ML moved from +900 to +875
Lille ML moved from -400 to -415

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Metz: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lille: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Metz: 40.0%
Lille: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Metz: 20.0%
Lille: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Metz ML moved from +730 to +700
Lille ML moved from -400 to -445

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3-135o3¼-105o3¼-105o3¼-105o3¼-105o3-135o3¼+104
Underu3-125u3+115u3¼-115u3¼-115u3¼-115u3¼-115u3¼-115u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105-o3-125--o3-140o3-125o3¼+104
Underu3-115-u3+105--u3+120u3+120u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-110 to o3-115
The Under moved from u3-110 to u2½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+100 to o3-140
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.22%
Exactly 223.99%
Exactly 415.42%
Exactly 63.97%
Exactly 80.55%
 
Exactly 117.27%
Exactly 322.21%
Exactly 58.57%
Exactly 71.57%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Metz
Exactly 045.49%
Exactly 135.83%
Exactly 214.11%
Exactly 33.71%
Exactly 40.73%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Lille
Exactly 013.67%
Exactly 127.20%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 317.95%
Exactly 48.93%
Exactly 53.55%
Exactly 61.18%
Exactly 70.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.64%
Exactly 222.85%
Exactly 43.15%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.54%
Exactly 39.80%
Exactly 50.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Metz
Exactly 069.44%
Exactly 125.33%
Exactly 24.62%
Exactly 30.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lille
Exactly 039.80%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 216.89%
Exactly 35.19%
Exactly 41.19%
Exactly 50.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Metz
Wins by 2+ goals4.04%
Wins by 3+ goals0.88%
Lille
Wins by 2+ goals40.47%
Wins by 3+ goals20.33%
Wins by 4+ goals8.41%
Wins by 5+ goals2.90%
Wins by 6+ goals0.81%
Wins by 7+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Metz
Lille
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Metz
Wins by 1 goal9.88%
Wins by 2 goals3.16%
Wins by 3 goals0.74%
Lille
Wins by 1 goal24.96%
Wins by 2 goals20.15%
Wins by 3 goals11.91%
Wins by 4 goals5.52%
Wins by 5 goals2.09%
Wins by 6 goals0.66%
Wins by 7 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.78%6.22%
1.576.51%23.49%
2.552.52%47.48%
3.530.31%69.69%
4.514.89%85.11%
5.56.32%93.68%
6.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals Metz Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.51%45.49%
1.518.68%81.32%
2.54.57%95.43%

Total Goals Lille Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.33%13.67%
1.559.13%40.87%
2.532.06%67.94%
3.514.11%85.89%
4.55.18%94.82%
5.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.36%27.64%
1.536.82%63.18%
2.513.97%86.03%
3.54.17%95.83%
4.51.02%98.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Metz
Lille
Score012345
0
6.22%
12.37%
12.31%
8.17%
4.06%
1.62%
1
4.90%
9.75%
9.70%
6.43%
3.20%
1.27%
2
1.93%
3.84%
3.82%
2.53%
1.26%
0.50%
3
0.51%
1.01%
1.00%
0.67%
0.33%
0.13%
Metz
1-04.90%
2-01.93%
2-13.84%
3-00.51%
3-11.01%
3-21.00%
Draw
0-06.22%
1-19.75%
2-23.82%
3-30.67%
Lille
0-112.37%
0-212.31%
1-29.70%
0-38.17%
1-36.43%
2-32.53%
0-44.06%
1-43.20%
2-41.26%
3-40.33%
0-51.62%
1-51.27%
2-50.50%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Metz
Lille
Score012345
0
27.64%
25.46%
11.73%
3.60%
0.83%
0.15%
1
10.08%
9.29%
4.28%
1.31%
0.30%
0.06%
2
1.84%
1.69%
0.78%
0.24%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.22%
0.21%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Metz
1-010.08%
2-01.84%
2-11.69%
3-00.22%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-027.64%
1-19.29%
2-20.78%
Lille
0-125.46%
0-211.73%
1-24.28%
0-33.60%
1-31.31%
2-30.24%
0-40.83%
1-40.30%
0-50.15%