France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Angers
Nantes 		39.4%
32.8%		27.9%
+265
+126
+260
+120
1.25
1.11		2.36
o2-110
u2-102
o2-115
u2+110
Strasbourg
Auxerre 		32.6%
40.0%		27.4%
+105
+296
+110
+270
1.14
1.29		2.43
o2½-105
u2½-115
o2½+100
u2½-120
Marseille
Toulouse 		38.7%
33.9%		27.4%
+129
+215
+125
+215
1.26
1.17		2.43
o2¾+103
u2¾-110
o2½-125
u2½+105
Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Monaco
Paris Saint-Germain		11.8%
71.2%		17.0%
+640
-250
+625
-275
3
1		-2.02905-2.02609-2.13445
Lyon
Marseille		26.7%
48.3%		24.9%
+300
-105
+280
-104
2
3		-0.69750-0.71607-0.72732
Auxerre
Lorient		31.6%
41.5%		26.8%
+295
+113
+280
+110
2
2		-1.21926-1.22027-1.31565
Nantes
Lille		8.3%
76.2%		15.5%
+600
-200
+575
-201
0
1		-0.43914-0.44365-0.27132
Brest
Metz		37.2%
34.5%		28.2%
+116
+285
+115
+245
1
0		-0.78259-0.81340-0.98781
Nice
Paris FC		36.7%
33.9%		29.5%
+200
+156
+210
+152
0
1		-0.95371-0.94464-1.08320
Paris Saint-Germain
Le Havre		84.9%
4.3%		10.8%
-333
+1020
-355
+850
1
0		-0.27953-0.29514-0.16372
Angers
Monaco		7.5%
79.2%		13.3%
+630
-225
+625
-228
0
2		-0.40055-0.40217-0.23341
Toulouse
Rennes		23.0%
52.9%		24.1%
+295
+101
+295
-105
0
1		-0.72619-0.71502-0.63722
Lens
Strasbourg		25.0%
49.7%		25.3%
+220
+128
+210
+135
1
1		-1.31345-1.30852-1.37409
Lyon
Strasbourg		33.3%
39.9%		26.8%
+215
+128
+212
+130
1
3		-0.85595-0.86322-0.91965
Lille
Angers		41.2%
31.1%		27.6%
-122
+392
-127
+375
1
0		-0.62219-0.62379-0.88557
Le Havre
Nantes		23.5%
49.4%		27.1%
+209
+145
+205
+140
0
2		-0.92251-0.92193-0.70587
Lorient
Nice		19.4%
57.5%		23.1%
+245
+120
+220
+128
3
3		-1.29273-1.27432-1.46677
Rennes
Auxerre		30.8%
42.3%		26.9%
+151
+195
+156
+200
3
0		-0.95130-0.96309-1.17610
Metz
Paris Saint-Germain		3.4%
88.0%		8.6%
+1900
-745
+1800
-880
0
3		-0.15712-0.14829-0.12773
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-2.02905 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-2.02609 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-2.13445
-0.10540
-0.10836

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.