France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 23, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lille
Angers
54.2%
24.2%
21.6%


1.91
0.85
2.76


Paris Saint-Germain
Brest
86.4%
8.1%
5.5%


3.50
0.33
3.83


Monaco
Lens
51.3%
26.4%
22.3%


1.87
0.96
2.83


Nice
Lyon
21.9%
60.3%
17.7%


0.84
2.29
3.13


Marseille
Metz
44.6%
28.1%
27.3%


1.40
0.88
2.28


Montpellier
Nantes
36.6%
33.4%
29.9%


1.10
1.00
2.10


Bordeaux
Reims
30.6%
39.2%
30.3%


0.89
1.14
2.03


Nimes
Rennes
23.7%
54.0%
22.3%


0.81
1.83
2.64


Dijon
Saint-Etienne
36.0%
35.2%
28.8%


1.13
1.11
2.24


Lorient
Strasbourg
26.0%
48.7%
25.2%


0.85
1.58
2.43


Games for May 22, 2021
Games for May 24, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Reims
Paris Saint-Germain
8.7%
82.8%
8.5%
+2100
-800
+1850
-900
0
4
-0.15351-0.15537-0.18926
Lyon
Nimes
61.7%
20.8%
17.5%
-320
+900
-330
+750
5
2
-0.29614-0.31516-0.48297
Strasbourg
Nice
38.0%
34.5%
27.5%
+130
+230
+140
+215
2
0
-0.85146-0.90333-0.96827
Brest
Montpellier
27.6%
46.5%
26.0%
+180
+148
+165
+150
0
0
-0.99085-0.99196-1.02745
Rennes
Monaco
33.2%
40.2%
26.6%
+360
-125
+360
-130
1
2
-0.61995-0.61865-0.91076
Angers
Marseille
25.1%
51.6%
23.3%
+650
-208
+610
-225
2
3
-0.41599-0.41703-0.66202
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks107-1-2 (0.800)0-0.67782 
Sportsbooks107-1-2 (0.800)0-0.68854 
DRatings106-2-2 (0.700)0-0.80649
-0.12868
-0.11795

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/09/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (23-3-10, 79 pts)24.03.410.582.769.4%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (24-8-4, 76 pts)25.58.24.380.930.5%99.5%0.5%0.0%
3Monaco (23-8-5, 74 pts)23.88.65.677.10.1%51.3%48.7%0.0%
4Lyon (21-5-10, 73 pts)22.15.410.576.70.0%49.2%50.8%0.0%
5Marseille (15-10-11, 56 pts)15.910.511.559.30.0%0.0%57.9%0.0%
6Lens (15-10-11, 56 pts)15.511.011.558.00.0%0.0%15.3%0.0%
7Rennes (15-11-10, 55 pts)15.811.610.658.00.0%0.0%26.8%0.0%
8Montpellier (13-12-11, 50 pts)13.812.611.652.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Nice (14-15-7, 49 pts)14.515.97.651.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Metz (12-14-10, 46 pts)12.714.810.548.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Saint-Etienne (12-15-9, 45 pts)12.515.99.647.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Angers (12-16-8, 44 pts)12.517.08.546.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Reims (9-12-15, 42 pts)9.413.115.543.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Brest (11-18-7, 40 pts)11.419.27.441.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Bordeaux (11-19-6, 39 pts)11.819.66.642.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.6%
16Strasbourg (10-18-8, 38 pts)10.818.68.641.10.0%0.0%0.0%1.3%
17Lorient (10-18-8, 38 pts)10.618.88.640.40.0%0.0%0.0%2.3%
18Nantes (8-15-13, 37 pts)8.715.713.639.60.0%0.0%0.0%9.4%
19Nimes (9-19-8, 35 pts)9.520.08.536.90.0%0.0%0.0%86.4%
20Dijon (3-24-9, 18 pts)3.724.79.620.80.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.