France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 21, 2022

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Saint-Etienne
Lyon
15.6%
72.5%
11.9%
+750
-263
+650
-260
0.60
2.78
3.38
o3-112
u3+105
o3-115
u3-105
Games for Jan 20, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Troyes
Montpellier
25.6%
51.3%
23.2%
+419
-135
+380
-135
1
0
-1.66495-1.61355-1.36320
Lorient
Lille
16.3%
69.6%
14.2%
+600
-181
+550
-195
1
3
-0.45607-0.46291-0.36291
Strasbourg
Clermont Foot
30.1%
42.3%
27.7%
+123
+271
+115
+255
2
0
-0.82189-0.80979-1.20151
Lille
Marseille
30.9%
41.5%
27.6%
+245
+129
+230
+125
1
1
-1.05138-1.05171-1.02717
Lyon
Troyes
49.8%
26.7%
23.5%
-119
+360
-125
+350
1
0
-0.62379-0.63824-0.69720
Montpellier
Strasbourg
29.4%
45.8%
24.8%
+295
+106
+290
-105
1
3
-0.74278-0.72194-0.78100
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 01/17/22
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (15-1-5, 50 pts)26.63.38.187.999.6%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Nice (12-5-4, 40 pts)18.910.48.765.40.3%56.4%27.8%0.0%
3Marseille (10-3-8, 38 pts)17.77.812.565.60.1%58.0%26.5%0.0%
4Rennes (10-7-4, 34 pts)16.113.08.957.30.0%10.0%20.4%0.0%
5Monaco (9-6-6, 33 pts)16.910.610.561.20.0%28.0%31.5%0.0%
6Lens (9-6-6, 33 pts)15.411.810.757.00.0%8.4%17.9%0.0%
7Strasbourg (9-6-5, 32 pts)15.312.89.955.80.0%7.1%13.1%0.0%
8Montpellier (9-7-4, 31 pts)15.114.09.054.10.0%2.4%9.2%0.1%
9Lyon (7-5-9, 30 pts)15.29.213.659.30.0%14.7%26.1%0.0%
10Nantes (8-8-5, 29 pts)12.715.79.647.60.0%0.0%1.0%0.5%
11Lille (7-5-8, 29 pts)15.59.712.759.30.0%15.0%24.9%0.0%
12Angers (6-6-8, 26 pts)11.513.513.047.50.0%0.0%1.4%0.5%
13Brest (6-8-7, 25 pts)11.115.211.745.00.0%0.0%0.2%1.6%
14Reims (5-7-9, 24 pts)10.114.213.744.10.0%0.0%0.0%2.6%
15Metz (4-10-7, 19 pts)8.717.711.737.70.0%0.0%0.0%25.7%
16Clermont Foot (4-10-6, 18 pts)9.917.011.040.90.0%0.0%0.0%10.6%
17Troyes (4-11-5, 17 pts)9.318.710.037.90.0%0.0%0.0%23.5%
18Lorient (3-9-8, 17 pts)8.117.012.937.20.0%0.0%0.0%27.1%
19Bordeaux (3-10-8, 17 pts)7.717.612.735.90.0%0.0%0.0%42.7%
20Saint-Etienne (2-12-6, 12 pts)7.119.911.032.40.0%0.0%0.0%65.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.