France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 19, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Lorient
Nice 		20.6%
55.8%		23.6%
+575
-179
+525
-190
0.95
1.74		2.69
o2½-106
u2½-106
o2½-110
u2½-110
Games for Apr 18, 2024
Games for Apr 20, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Brest
Lyon		20.6%
57.0%		22.3%
+295
+107
+265
+110
3
4		-0.75747-0.79376-0.56175
Toulouse
Rennes		16.0%
63.4%		20.6%
+362
-118
+330
-120
2
1		-1.55107-1.50928-1.83158
Reims
Strasbourg		26.2%
47.0%		26.8%
+202
+147
+195
+140
1
3		-0.92568-0.92402-0.75572
Lyon
Nantes		32.1%
40.8%		27.0%
+120
+259
+120
+240
3
1		-0.81871-0.83884-1.13557
Rennes
Monaco		22.5%
54.2%		23.3%
+320
-123
+305
-125
0
1		-0.62237-0.63597-0.61245
Strasbourg
Toulouse		29.0%
45.0%		26.0%
+260
+115
+250
+110
0
0		-1.28096-1.28884-1.34569
Lorient
Montpellier		19.0%
59.1%		21.9%
+325
-119
+315
-125
0
2		-0.63820-0.63936-0.52643
Clermont Foot
Paris Saint-Germain		3.5%
87.3%		9.1%
+865
-290
+900
-370
1
1		-1.74818-1.85125-2.39679
Le Havre
Lens		10.6%
71.1%		18.3%
+645
-199
+600
-205
1
1		-1.50828-1.49598-1.69707
Marseille
Lille		27.9%
45.3%		26.8%
+335
-108
+310
-105
1
3		-0.67824-0.70613-0.79279
Paris Saint-Germain
Marseille		49.3%
25.3%		25.4%
+107
+280
+100
+265
2
0		-0.73691-0.73643-0.70757
Rennes
Strasbourg		35.8%
36.1%		28.1%
+134
+223
+130
+215
0
2		-1.20141-1.19690-1.01771
Montpellier
Le Havre		44.6%
28.1%		27.4%
+170
+185
+175
+175
2
0		-1.01724-1.05535-0.80831
Toulouse
Clermont Foot		33.4%
38.5%		28.1%
+105
+290
+105
+275
3
0		-0.74343-0.76529-1.09628
Reims
Lyon		18.7%
58.4%		22.9%
+267
+108
+250
+105
1
1		-1.33750-1.33094-1.47517
Monaco
Metz		55.7%
21.0%		23.3%
-154
+450
-160
+415
5
2		-0.51565-0.53479-0.58557
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/15/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (18-1-9, 63 pts)22.11.810.176.3100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Brest (15-6-8, 53 pts)16.67.99.559.30.0%59.6%40.1%0.0%
3Monaco (15-6-7, 52 pts)17.67.78.861.50.0%80.3%19.7%0.0%
4Lille (13-5-10, 49 pts)15.76.611.758.80.0%59.1%39.7%0.0%
5Nice (12-8-8, 44 pts)13.910.59.651.20.0%0.9%37.8%0.0%
6Lens (12-10-7, 43 pts)13.911.78.450.10.0%0.0%26.8%0.0%
7Lyon (12-12-5, 41 pts)13.713.86.447.70.0%0.0%3.9%0.0%
8Reims (11-11-7, 40 pts)12.613.08.346.20.0%0.0%1.7%0.0%
9Marseille (10-9-9, 39 pts)13.010.410.549.60.0%0.1%25.5%0.0%
10Rennes (10-10-9, 39 pts)12.211.410.447.00.0%0.0%4.6%0.0%
11Toulouse (9-11-9, 36 pts)10.313.310.441.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Strasbourg (9-11-9, 36 pts)10.812.710.542.90.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
13Montpellier (8-11-10, 34 pts)9.812.811.440.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Nantes (9-16-4, 31 pts)10.617.95.537.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.7%
15Le Havre (6-13-10, 28 pts)7.115.711.232.50.0%0.0%0.0%23.3%
16Lorient (6-14-8, 26 pts)7.616.79.632.60.0%0.0%0.0%24.5%
17Metz (7-17-5, 26 pts)8.219.76.230.60.0%0.0%0.0%60.1%
18Clermont Foot (4-15-10, 22 pts)5.317.311.427.40.0%0.0%0.0%91.4%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.