France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for June 3, 2023

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Marseille
Ajaccio
54.5%
19.5%
26.0%
-265
+709
-280
+700
1.52
0.79
2.31
o3-104
u3-112
o3+100
u3-120
Lens
Auxerre
56.9%
20.4%
22.7%
+147
+183
+140
+180
1.84
1.00
2.84
o2½-133
u2¾-117
o2½-130
u2½+110
Toulouse
Monaco
10.0%
74.1%
15.9%
+515
-206
+505
-225
0.79
2.47
3.26
o3¼-108
u3½-133
o3½+110
u3½-130
Angers
Nantes
23.7%
51.5%
24.9%
+735
-266
+700
-280
1.01
1.61
2.62
o3-112
u3-104
o3-115
u3-105
Strasbourg
Lorient
25.4%
49.0%
25.6%
+128
+210
+120
+215
1.03
1.54
2.57
o2½-139
u2¾-108
o2½-135
u2½+115
Lyon
Nice
38.9%
34.1%
27.0%
+176
+140
+175
+130
1.30
1.20
2.50
o3¼-102
u3¼-113
o3-135
u3+115
Clermont Foot
Paris Saint-Germain
3.1%
88.6%
8.3%

+1100
-525
0.50
3.21
3.71

o3½-135
u3½+115
Rennes
Brest
39.4%
33.3%
27.3%
-171
+475
-170
+425
1.28
1.16
2.44
o2¾-115
u3-126
o3+110
u3-130
Montpellier
Reims
22.1%
53.4%
24.5%
+238
+107
+240
+100
0.97
1.65
2.62
o3¼-102
u3+118
o3-125
u3+105
Lille
Troyes
55.6%
20.0%
24.4%
-411
+1024
-435
+900
1.66
0.89
2.55
o3½-107
u3½-108
o3½-105
u3½-115
Games for Jun 2, 2023
Games for Jun 4, 2023

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Auxerre
Toulouse
19.4%
58.0%
22.5%
+240
+111
+215
+115
1
1
-1.40981-1.36983-1.49050
Monaco
Rennes
36.7%
35.6%
27.7%
+282
-103
+255
-105
0
2
-0.70055-0.71812-1.03274
Paris Saint-Germain
Strasbourg
74.2%
9.6%
16.1%

-140
+350
1
1
-1.45925-1.82337
Ajaccio
Lens
8.5%
74.8%
16.7%
+1852
-587
+2000
-750
0
3
-0.18077-0.17650-0.29041
Brest
Marseille
12.1%
70.0%
17.9%
+873
-327
+800
-330
2
1
-2.30249-2.24838-2.11544
Reims
Lyon
10.6%
72.1%
17.2%
+341
-145
+320
-150
0
3
-0.54695-0.56261-0.32694
Nice
Montpellier
41.6%
31.8%
26.6%
+197
+143
+185
+140
3
2
-1.11124-1.09919-0.87825
Nantes
Lille
9.5%
74.0%
16.6%
+692
-226
+600
-230
1
2
-0.39174-0.41228-0.30138
Lorient
Clermont Foot
35.0%
36.4%
28.6%
+245
+127
+240
+115
0
2
-0.84399-0.81744-1.01068
Troyes
Angers
26.5%
46.9%
26.5%
+354
-133
+330
-135
1
2
-0.58404-0.60398-0.75690
Paris Saint-Germain
Auxerre
81.7%
6.1%
12.2%

-310
+750
2
1
-0.32907-0.20214
Lens
Lorient
43.3%
30.3%
26.4%
-143
+431
-150
+380
3
1
-0.55365-0.55893-0.83667
Strasbourg
Troyes
37.8%
33.5%
28.7%
-230
+650
-205
+585
1
1
-1.64735-1.59475-1.24733
Angers
Reims
18.6%
57.8%
23.5%
+677
-267
+615
-225
2
2
-1.77892-1.56576-1.44757
Clermont Foot
Brest
20.8%
55.4%
23.8%
+290
+108
+265
+105
1
2
-0.75500-0.76819-0.58974
Toulouse
Nice
19.2%
58.0%
22.8%
+264
+101
+265
-110
0
0
-1.39308-1.42341-1.47920
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/28/23
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (27-6-4, 85 pts)27.76.14.287.3100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Lens (24-4-9, 81 pts)24.64.29.283.10.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Marseille (22-8-7, 73 pts)22.68.17.275.10.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Lille (19-9-9, 66 pts)19.69.29.268.10.0%0.0%90.8%0.0%
5Rennes (20-12-5, 65 pts)20.512.25.366.80.0%0.0%73.9%0.0%
6Monaco (19-10-8, 65 pts)19.410.38.366.60.0%0.0%35.3%0.0%
7Lyon (18-11-8, 62 pts)18.511.28.363.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Clermont Foot (16-13-8, 56 pts)16.113.78.256.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Nice (14-10-13, 55 pts)14.210.513.356.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Lorient (14-13-10, 52 pts)14.313.410.353.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (12-10-15, 51 pts)12.310.415.352.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Montpellier (14-18-5, 47 pts)14.418.35.348.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Toulouse (12-16-9, 45 pts)12.316.49.346.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Brest (11-15-11, 44 pts)11.215.511.344.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Strasbourg (9-15-13, 40 pts)9.415.313.341.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Auxerre (8-18-11, 35 pts)8.218.611.235.70.0%0.0%0.0%26.3%
17Nantes (6-16-15, 33 pts)6.316.415.334.20.0%0.0%0.0%73.7%
18Troyes (4-22-11, 23 pts)4.222.611.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
19Ajaccio (6-26-5, 23 pts)6.126.65.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
20Angers (4-27-6, 18 pts)4.427.36.319.50.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.