France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 27, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Paris Saint-Germain
Dijon
84.7%
9.0%
6.3%
-400
+1200
-400
+1000
3.36
0.36
3.71
o3-130
u3½-123
o3-140
u3+120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Feb 26, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Metz
Bordeaux
28.5%
44.8%
26.7%
+221
+148
+215
+150
2
1
-0.83046-0.81536-0.94387
Nice
Rennes
29.2%
45.5%
25.3%
+390
-119
+385
-125
2
1
-1.29817-1.30682-0.94020

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks20-2-0 (0.000)0-1.06432 
Sportsbooks20-2-0 (0.000)0-1.06109 
DRatings20-2-0 (0.000)0-0.94204
0.12228
0.11906

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/14/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Lille (16-2-7, 55 pts)22.35.410.377.35.9%95.7%4.3%0.0%
2Paris Saint-Germain (17-5-3, 54 pts)27.16.24.786.192.2%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Lyon (15-3-7, 52 pts)21.26.510.373.91.9%88.0%12.0%0.0%
4Monaco (15-6-4, 49 pts)19.710.77.666.70.0%16.0%79.9%0.0%
5Rennes (10-6-8, 38 pts)15.011.111.957.00.0%0.1%35.4%0.0%
6Lens (10-8-7, 37 pts)13.214.510.349.80.0%0.0%2.1%0.1%
7Metz (9-8-8, 35 pts)13.113.411.550.90.0%0.0%6.1%0.1%
8Montpellier (10-10-5, 35 pts)15.114.28.853.90.0%0.0%11.4%0.0%
9Marseille (9-7-7, 34 pts)15.311.411.357.10.0%0.2%38.9%0.0%
10Angers (10-11-4, 34 pts)14.116.27.850.00.0%0.0%2.5%0.1%
11Bordeaux (9-10-6, 33 pts)14.014.59.551.40.0%0.0%5.2%0.0%
12Brest (9-12-4, 31 pts)13.017.57.546.60.0%0.0%0.6%0.3%
13Reims (7-10-8, 29 pts)11.614.911.546.40.0%0.0%0.5%0.7%
14Nice (8-11-5, 29 pts)12.416.59.146.30.0%0.0%0.5%1.1%
15Saint-Etienne (7-10-8, 29 pts)10.815.711.643.90.0%0.0%0.1%2.2%
16Strasbourg (8-13-4, 28 pts)12.617.97.545.20.0%0.0%0.5%1.5%
17Lorient (6-13-5, 23 pts)10.118.99.039.40.0%0.0%0.0%14.8%
18Nantes (4-11-10, 22 pts)7.916.513.537.30.0%0.0%0.0%27.3%
19Nimes (5-16-3, 18 pts)8.622.66.732.60.0%0.0%0.0%74.3%
20Dijon (2-14-9, 15 pts)6.419.012.631.70.0%0.0%0.0%77.5%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.