France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 14, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Auxerre
Brest
18.2%
59.8%
22.0%
+262
+116

0.94
1.90
2.84
o2½-105
u2½-112

Games for Feb 13, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Marseille
Angers
59.3%
18.5%
22.3%
-162
+462
-180
+500
2
0
-0.51453-0.49109-0.52293
Toulouse
Auxerre
38.5%
34.1%
27.4%
+157
+195
+145
+195
2
2
-1.23522-1.24289-1.29302
Montpellier
Strasbourg
16.5%
62.9%
20.6%
+410
-145
+355
-145
0
2
-0.55584-0.59034-0.46345
Reims
Lyon
14.3%
65.9%
19.8%
+510
-187
+500
-200
0
4
-0.45624-0.45495-0.41703
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
42.9%
30.8%
26.3%
+130
+218
+130
+235
2
0
-0.86185-0.85996-0.84669
Le Havre
Lille
7.4%
76.8%
15.8%
+1168
-410
+1150
-425
2
1
-2.57387-2.57400-2.59951
Lens
Nice
27.2%
46.0%
26.8%
+202
+141
+195
+140
0
2
-0.91091-0.91997-0.77579
Monaco
Paris Saint-Germain
10.6%
73.5%
16.0%
+506
-215
+550
-240
1
4
-0.41154-0.39730-0.30832
Brest
Nantes
25.8%
48.5%
25.7%
+208
+150
+200
+145
2
0
-1.15862-1.14662-1.35534
Lyon
Marseille
24.6%
51.2%
24.2%
+260
+107
+265
+100
2
3
-0.75822-0.74360-0.66955
Strasbourg
Rennes
24.5%
50.8%
24.8%
+340
+101
+280
+105
0
1
-0.71184-0.76613-0.67826
Le Havre
Angers
27.2%
44.9%
27.9%
+383
-118
+360
-120
1
1
-1.29653-1.30015-1.27604
Nantes
Reims
29.3%
42.6%
28.2%
+249
+127
+245
+120
2
1
-1.27956-1.28913-1.22898
Nice
Toulouse
32.8%
39.2%
28.0%
+145
+213
+150
+190
1
1
-1.23478-1.22984-1.27140
Saint-Etienne
Lille
8.1%
77.3%
14.6%
+625
-195
+650
-230
1
4
-0.43252-0.40988-0.25803
Auxerre
Monaco
7.8%
78.7%
13.5%
+658
-237
+650
-275
2
4
-0.37221-0.35750-0.23902
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/03/25
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (15-0-5, 50 pts)24.22.17.780.299.4%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Marseille (12-4-4, 40 pts)18.28.07.862.40.5%73.5%22.0%0.0%
3Monaco (11-5-4, 37 pts)17.78.77.660.70.1%57.8%32.3%0.0%
4Lille (9-3-8, 35 pts)15.46.811.857.90.0%34.4%45.1%0.0%
5Nice (9-4-7, 34 pts)14.68.411.054.80.0%17.1%38.4%0.0%
6Lens (9-5-6, 33 pts)14.89.210.054.30.0%12.5%33.1%0.0%
7Lyon (8-6-6, 30 pts)13.810.49.851.20.0%3.7%18.8%0.0%
8Brest (9-10-1, 28 pts)13.715.35.046.10.0%0.2%4.5%0.0%
9Strasbourg (7-7-6, 27 pts)12.012.19.946.00.0%0.5%3.0%0.0%
10Toulouse (7-8-5, 26 pts)12.113.28.744.90.0%0.2%2.3%0.1%
11Auxerre (6-9-5, 23 pts)9.615.58.937.60.0%0.0%0.0%5.0%
12Angers (6-9-5, 23 pts)9.016.48.535.70.0%0.0%0.0%11.1%
13Reims (5-8-7, 22 pts)9.413.511.139.40.0%0.1%0.3%3.4%
14Nantes (4-7-9, 21 pts)8.612.612.838.50.0%0.0%0.0%3.6%
15Rennes (6-12-2, 20 pts)11.416.75.940.10.0%0.0%0.2%2.4%
16Saint-Etienne (5-12-3, 18 pts)8.518.86.732.20.0%0.0%0.0%41.3%
17Montpellier (4-13-3, 15 pts)8.019.06.931.00.0%0.0%0.0%51.2%
18Le Havre (4-14-2, 14 pts)7.221.25.627.20.0%0.0%0.0%81.9%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.