France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Nice
Lille
15.4%
63.3%
21.4%
+561
-195
+545
-200
2
2
-1.57233-1.52047-1.54253
Strasbourg
Lyon
18.6%
59.9%
21.6%
+798
-290
+650
-275
1
2
-0.32183-0.36071-0.51294
Nantes
Monaco
17.0%
61.9%
21.1%
+431
-180
+535
-200
0
4
-0.47253-0.42179-0.48023
Rennes
Reims
35.0%
35.7%
29.3%
+135
+210
+130
+200
1
2
-1.14961-1.14721-1.03139
Paris Saint-Germain
Metz
80.0%
6.6%
13.3%
-130
+355
-140
+395
2
0
-0.60493-0.56784-0.22318
Brest
Toulouse
31.6%
42.0%
26.4%
+133
+200
+125
+245
3
0
-0.87465-0.82679-1.15280
Marseille
Le Havre
59.8%
16.9%
23.3%
-131
+360
-135
+340
2
1
-0.60113-0.60475-0.51483
Clermont Foot
Lorient
21.2%
54.2%
24.5%
+396
-155
+375
-160
0
5
-0.53541-0.53491-0.61184
Montpellier
Lens
22.2%
54.5%
23.3%
+800
-298
+700
-315
2
2
-1.84548-1.83421-1.45835
Marseille
Reims
43.6%
28.5%
27.9%
-113
+313
-105
+290
0
1
-1.44253-1.38894-1.25449
Paris Saint-Germain
Nice
69.5%
12.1%
18.4%
+228
+114
+220
+110
2
1
-1.22254-1.21369-0.36366
Lyon
Clermont Foot
47.3%
26.8%
25.9%
-159
+397
-170
+425
1
0
-0.52650-0.51395-0.74902
Monaco
Montpellier
37.2%
36.3%
26.6%
-135
+323
-135
+300
2
0
-0.58218-0.60475-0.98940
Metz
Strasbourg
16.5%
61.7%
21.8%
+248
+114
+225
+115
1
2
-0.79122-0.81482-0.48319
Toulouse
Paris Saint-Germain
4.1%
86.5%
9.3%
+650
-260
+610
-275
3
1
-2.04577-2.00999-3.18230
Lille
Nantes
38.2%
33.2%
28.6%
-131
+405
-125
+340
2
1
-0.59178-0.63609-0.96184
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/13/24
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (20-2-10, 70 pts)21.62.210.374.9100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Monaco (19-7-7, 64 pts)19.47.37.365.40.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Lille (16-7-10, 58 pts)16.47.310.359.50.0%63.8%36.2%0.0%
4Brest (16-7-10, 58 pts)16.57.310.359.60.0%34.8%65.2%0.0%
5Nice (15-8-9, 54 pts)15.49.19.555.70.0%1.4%98.6%0.0%
6Lens (14-11-8, 50 pts)14.311.48.351.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Lyon (15-13-5, 50 pts)15.413.45.351.40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Marseille (12-9-11, 47 pts)13.29.311.551.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Rennes (12-11-10, 46 pts)12.511.210.347.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Toulouse (11-12-10, 43 pts)11.312.510.344.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Montpellier (10-12-11, 41 pts)10.412.311.342.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Reims (11-13-8, 41 pts)11.414.18.542.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Strasbourg (10-14-9, 39 pts)10.414.49.340.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Nantes (9-18-6, 33 pts)9.318.46.334.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Le Havre (7-15-11, 32 pts)7.115.711.232.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Metz (8-20-5, 29 pts)8.120.85.129.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Lorient (6-19-8, 26 pts)6.319.48.327.30.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
18Clermont Foot (5-18-10, 25 pts)5.418.310.326.40.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.