France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for August 6, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nantes
Monaco 		17.4%
69.4%		13.2%
+500
-200

0.68
2.69		3.37
o2¾-115
u2¾-105

Games for Aug 5, 2021
Games for Aug 7, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Lorient
Strasbourg		26.0%
48.7%		25.2%
+390
+195
+390
+170
1
1		-1.30362-1.31984-1.03214
Dijon
Saint-Etienne		36.0%
35.2%		28.8%
+1050
-333
+950
-365
1
0		-2.46475-2.39987-1.02196
Nimes
Rennes		23.7%
54.0%		22.3%
+1100
-400
+1100
-450
0
2		-0.25630-0.24914-0.61704
Bordeaux
Reims		30.6%
39.2%		30.3%
+191
+167
+180
+160
2
1		-1.09838-1.07790-1.18476
Montpellier
Nantes		36.6%
33.4%		29.9%
+465
-172
+500
-180
2
1		-1.76271-1.83559-1.00414
Marseille
Metz		44.6%
28.1%		27.3%
-110
+300
-110
+290
1
1		-1.42060-1.41022-1.26830
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 07/26/21
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (0-0-0, 0 pts)25.85.36.984.283.7%99.1%0.9%0.0%
2Lille (0-0-0, 0 pts)20.38.39.470.39.2%73.1%19.2%0.0%
3Lyon (0-0-0, 0 pts)18.99.49.866.53.4%51.7%32.7%0.0%
4Monaco (0-0-0, 0 pts)18.59.69.965.33.2%46.6%33.1%0.1%
5Marseille (0-0-0, 0 pts)15.012.210.755.90.3%9.8%26.3%0.7%
6Rennes (0-0-0, 0 pts)14.313.110.653.50.1%6.7%16.2%1.7%
7Lens (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.613.810.651.40.0%2.6%13.0%2.7%
8Montpellier (0-0-0, 0 pts)13.214.010.850.50.0%2.5%10.9%4.1%
9Reims (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.614.710.748.50.1%1.3%8.5%6.9%
10Strasbourg (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.414.910.648.00.0%1.6%7.3%7.6%
11Nice (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.315.010.747.60.0%0.6%6.3%7.6%
12Metz (0-0-0, 0 pts)12.115.410.646.70.0%0.9%5.3%10.7%
13Nantes (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.715.610.745.80.0%1.4%4.7%12.5%
14Clermont Foot (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.815.710.545.80.0%0.7%4.2%13.0%
15Saint-Etienne (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.316.210.544.30.0%0.6%3.4%15.8%
16Bordeaux (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.316.310.444.30.0%0.5%2.4%17.9%
17Lorient (0-0-0, 0 pts)11.016.510.543.40.0%0.0%1.6%21.0%
18Angers (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.916.610.543.30.0%0.2%1.6%20.5%
19Brest (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.417.310.341.50.0%0.0%1.2%28.1%
20Troyes (0-0-0, 0 pts)10.317.510.241.00.0%0.1%1.2%29.1%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.