France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 30, 2022

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Marseille
Angers 		51.9%
23.3%		24.8%
-115
+325

1.62
1.00		2.62
o2½-134
u2¾-112

Games for Sep 29, 2022
Games for Oct 1, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Paris Saint-Germain
Lyon		47.8%
26.8%		25.4%
-187
+450
-195
+425
1
0		-0.45196-0.46420-0.73827
Lens
Nantes		26.6%
47.5%		26.0%
+103
+282
+105
+260
0
0		-1.32471-1.30280-1.34857
Rennes
Marseille		29.5%
42.9%		27.5%
+273
+108
+260
+105
1
1		-1.30722-1.30280-1.29066
Troyes
Clermont Foot		27.6%
44.1%		28.3%
+225
+140
+215
+130
3
1		-1.20128-1.19690-1.28681
Angers
Nice		15.8%
63.2%		21.0%
+420
-144
+430
-155
1
0		-1.68002-1.71925-1.84617
Ajaccio
Brest		15.4%
61.8%		22.8%
+288
+115
+285
+110
1
0		-1.38778-1.40007-1.87015
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/18/22
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (7-0-1, 22 pts)24.95.47.782.484.7%98.4%1.5%0.0%
2Marseille (6-0-2, 20 pts)19.38.410.368.36.9%60.7%26.0%0.0%
3Lorient (6-1-1, 19 pts)14.114.99.151.30.1%1.4%6.9%2.1%
4Lens (5-0-3, 18 pts)16.010.611.459.40.9%18.3%25.9%0.0%
5Monaco (4-2-2, 14 pts)18.99.29.966.74.5%51.4%30.0%0.0%
6Lyon (4-3-1, 13 pts)17.611.39.161.91.2%28.2%32.6%0.0%
7Lille (4-3-1, 13 pts)16.711.89.559.50.6%15.5%26.9%0.0%
8Rennes (3-2-3, 12 pts)16.610.311.161.01.1%21.7%32.2%0.0%
9Montpellier (4-4-0, 12 pts)13.116.48.547.80.0%0.6%3.6%3.9%
10Troyes (3-4-1, 10 pts)12.316.39.446.20.0%0.5%1.7%7.7%
11Clermont Foot (3-4-1, 10 pts)11.317.49.343.20.0%0.2%0.9%18.0%
12Nice (2-4-2, 8 pts)12.614.910.548.40.0%0.9%3.6%3.4%
13Toulouse (2-4-2, 8 pts)11.416.010.644.80.0%0.3%1.4%10.8%
14Angers (2-4-2, 8 pts)10.517.210.341.80.0%0.1%0.4%22.8%
15Nantes (1-3-4, 7 pts)11.613.812.547.50.0%0.8%3.6%6.5%
16Auxerre (2-5-1, 7 pts)10.418.39.340.60.0%0.0%0.2%30.4%
17Reims (1-4-3, 6 pts)11.015.511.544.50.0%0.4%0.6%12.7%
18Strasbourg (0-3-5, 5 pts)10.514.013.545.10.0%0.3%1.2%8.7%
19Brest (1-5-2, 5 pts)10.517.110.441.90.0%0.3%0.8%21.5%
20Ajaccio (1-6-1, 4 pts)9.019.99.036.10.0%0.0%0.0%51.5%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.