France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for June 3, 2023

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Marseille
Ajaccio 		54.5%
19.5%		26.0%
-265
+709
-280
+700
1.52
0.79		2.31
o3-104
u3-112
o3+100
u3-120
Lens
Auxerre 		56.9%
20.4%		22.7%
+147
+183
+140
+180
1.84
1.00		2.84
o2½-133
u2¾-117
o2½-130
u2½+110
Toulouse
Monaco 		10.0%
74.1%		15.9%
+515
-206
+505
-225
0.79
2.47		3.26
o3¼-108
u3½-133
o3½+110
u3½-130
Angers
Nantes 		23.7%
51.5%		24.9%
+735
-266
+700
-280
1.01
1.61		2.62
o3-112
u3-104
o3-115
u3-105
Strasbourg
Lorient 		25.4%
49.0%		25.6%
+128
+210
+120
+215
1.03
1.54		2.57
o2½-139
u2¾-108
o2½-135
u2½+115
Lyon
Nice 		38.9%
34.1%		27.0%
+176
+140
+175
+130
1.30
1.20		2.50
o3¼-102
u3¼-113
o3-135
u3+115
Clermont Foot
Paris Saint-Germain 		3.1%
88.6%		8.3%

+1100
-525
0.50
3.21		3.71

o3½-135
u3½+115
Rennes
Brest 		39.4%
33.3%		27.3%
-171
+475
-170
+425
1.28
1.16		2.44
o2¾-115
u3-126
o3+110
u3-130
Montpellier
Reims 		22.1%
53.4%		24.5%
+238
+107
+240
+100
0.97
1.65		2.62
o3¼-102
u3+118
o3-125
u3+105
Lille
Troyes 		55.6%
20.0%		24.4%
-411
+1024
-435
+900
1.66
0.89		2.55
o3½-107
u3½-108
o3½-105
u3½-115
Games for Jun 2, 2023
Games for Jun 4, 2023

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Auxerre
Toulouse		19.4%
58.0%		22.5%
+240
+111
+215
+115
1
1		-1.40981-1.36983-1.49050
Monaco
Rennes		36.7%
35.6%		27.7%
+282
-103
+255
-105
0
2		-0.70055-0.71812-1.03274
Paris Saint-Germain
Strasbourg		74.2%
9.6%		16.1%

-140
+350
1
1		-1.45925-1.82337
Ajaccio
Lens		8.5%
74.8%		16.7%
+1852
-587
+2000
-750
0
3		-0.18077-0.17650-0.29041
Brest
Marseille		12.1%
70.0%		17.9%
+873
-327
+800
-330
2
1		-2.30249-2.24838-2.11544
Reims
Lyon		10.6%
72.1%		17.2%
+341
-145
+320
-150
0
3		-0.54695-0.56261-0.32694
Nice
Montpellier		41.6%
31.8%		26.6%
+197
+143
+185
+140
3
2		-1.11124-1.09919-0.87825
Nantes
Lille		9.5%
74.0%		16.6%
+692
-226
+600
-230
1
2		-0.39174-0.41228-0.30138
Lorient
Clermont Foot		35.0%
36.4%		28.6%
+245
+127
+240
+115
0
2		-0.84399-0.81744-1.01068
Troyes
Angers		26.5%
46.9%		26.5%
+354
-133
+330
-135
1
2		-0.58404-0.60398-0.75690
Paris Saint-Germain
Auxerre		81.7%
6.1%		12.2%

-310
+750
2
1		-0.32907-0.20214
Lens
Lorient		43.3%
30.3%		26.4%
-143
+431
-150
+380
3
1		-0.55365-0.55893-0.83667
Strasbourg
Troyes		37.8%
33.5%		28.7%
-230
+650
-205
+585
1
1		-1.64735-1.59475-1.24733
Angers
Reims		18.6%
57.8%		23.5%
+677
-267
+615
-225
2
2		-1.77892-1.56576-1.44757
Clermont Foot
Brest		20.8%
55.4%		23.8%
+290
+108
+265
+105
1
2		-0.75500-0.76819-0.58974
Toulouse
Nice		19.2%
58.0%		22.8%
+264
+101
+265
-110
0
0		-1.39308-1.42341-1.47920
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/28/23
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Paris Saint-Germain (27-6-4, 85 pts)27.76.14.287.3100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
2Lens (24-4-9, 81 pts)24.64.29.283.10.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
3Marseille (22-8-7, 73 pts)22.68.17.275.10.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Lille (19-9-9, 66 pts)19.69.29.268.10.0%0.0%90.8%0.0%
5Rennes (20-12-5, 65 pts)20.512.25.366.80.0%0.0%73.9%0.0%
6Monaco (19-10-8, 65 pts)19.410.38.366.60.0%0.0%35.3%0.0%
7Lyon (18-11-8, 62 pts)18.511.28.363.80.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Clermont Foot (16-13-8, 56 pts)16.113.78.256.60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Nice (14-10-13, 55 pts)14.210.513.356.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Lorient (14-13-10, 52 pts)14.313.410.353.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Reims (12-10-15, 51 pts)12.310.415.352.30.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Montpellier (14-18-5, 47 pts)14.418.35.348.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Toulouse (12-16-9, 45 pts)12.316.49.346.10.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Brest (11-15-11, 44 pts)11.215.511.344.90.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Strasbourg (9-15-13, 40 pts)9.415.313.341.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Auxerre (8-18-11, 35 pts)8.218.611.235.70.0%0.0%0.0%26.3%
17Nantes (6-16-15, 33 pts)6.316.415.334.20.0%0.0%0.0%73.7%
18Troyes (4-22-11, 23 pts)4.222.611.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
19Ajaccio (6-26-5, 23 pts)6.126.65.223.70.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
20Angers (4-27-6, 18 pts)4.427.36.319.50.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.