Ajaccio at Marseille

Updated

Ajaccio

8.8%17.8%73.4%
WinDrawMarseille Win
0.58Projected Goals 2.13
2Final Score 1

Marseille

Last 5 Games

Ajaccio
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Clermont Foot+120
W 1-0 at Brest+285
L 1-0 vs Nice+230
L 1-0 vs Lorient+135
L 0-2 at Montpellier+260
Marseille
Money Line
W 3-0 at Angers-135
T 1-1 vs Rennes+105
W 1-2 vs Lille+115
W 2-0 at Auxerre-120
W 0-1 vs Clermont Foot-290

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajaccio+675+634+525-+821-+821+685.4
Marseille-245-193-190--306--190-174.0
Draw+360+308+300-+390-+390+320.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajaccio+825---+575+600+600+685.4
Marseille-265----250-195-195-174.0
Draw+360---+275+300+300+320.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajaccio: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marseille: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajaccio: 0.0%
Marseille: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajaccio: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajaccio: 70.0%
Marseille: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajaccio ML moved from +550 to +525
Marseille ML moved from -183 to -189

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajaccio: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Marseille: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajaccio: 0.0%
Marseille: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajaccio: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajaccio: 0.0%
Marseille: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajaccio ML moved from +700 to +575
Marseille ML moved from -270 to -280

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+100o2½+109o2¼-115---o2¼-115o2½+123
Underu2¾-120u2½-129u2¼-105---u2½-129u2½-123
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115----o2½+110o2½+110o2½+123
Underu2½-105----u2½-130u2½-130u2½-123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.8%
 
No61.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.67%
Exactly 224.45%
Exactly 414.93%
Exactly 63.65%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.06%
Exactly 322.06%
Exactly 58.09%
Exactly 71.41%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajaccio
Exactly 056.00%
Exactly 132.47%
Exactly 29.41%
Exactly 31.82%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Marseille
Exactly 011.91%
Exactly 125.35%
Exactly 226.96%
Exactly 319.12%
Exactly 410.17%
Exactly 54.33%
Exactly 61.53%
Exactly 70.47%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.55%
Exactly 222.43%
Exactly 42.94%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.79%
Exactly 39.37%
Exactly 50.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajaccio
Exactly 076.46%
Exactly 120.53%
Exactly 22.76%
Exactly 30.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Marseille
Exactly 037.34%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.12%
Exactly 35.95%
Exactly 41.46%
Exactly 50.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajaccio
Wins by 2+ goals1.97%
Wins by 3+ goals0.32%
Marseille
Wins by 2+ goals48.41%
Wins by 3+ goals26.06%
Wins by 4+ goals11.61%
Wins by 5+ goals4.36%
Wins by 6+ goals1.39%
Wins by 7+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajaccio
Marseille
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Ajaccio
Wins by 1 goal6.80%
Wins by 2 goals1.65%
Wins by 3 goals0.28%
Marseille
Wins by 1 goal24.94%
Wins by 2 goals22.35%
Wins by 3 goals14.45%
Wins by 4 goals7.25%
Wins by 5 goals2.97%
Wins by 6 goals1.02%
Wins by 7 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.33%6.67%
1.575.27%24.73%
2.550.81%49.19%
3.528.75%71.25%
4.513.82%86.18%
5.55.73%94.27%
6.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals Ajaccio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.544.00%56.00%
1.511.53%88.47%
2.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals Marseille Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.09%11.91%
1.562.74%37.26%
2.535.78%64.22%
3.516.66%83.34%
4.56.49%93.51%
5.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.45%28.55%
1.535.66%64.34%
2.513.23%86.77%
3.53.86%96.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajaccio
Marseille
Score012345
0
6.67%
14.19%
15.10%
10.71%
5.69%
2.42%
1
3.87%
8.23%
8.75%
6.21%
3.30%
1.40%
2
1.12%
2.39%
2.54%
1.80%
0.96%
0.41%
3
0.22%
0.46%
0.49%
0.35%
0.19%
0.08%
Ajaccio
1-03.87%
2-01.12%
2-12.39%
3-00.22%
3-10.46%
3-20.49%
Draw
0-06.67%
1-18.23%
2-22.54%
3-30.35%
Marseille
0-114.19%
0-215.10%
1-28.75%
0-310.71%
1-36.21%
2-31.80%
0-45.69%
1-43.30%
2-40.96%
3-40.19%
0-52.42%
1-51.40%
2-50.41%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajaccio
Marseille
Score012345
0
28.55%
28.12%
13.85%
4.55%
1.12%
0.22%
1
7.66%
7.55%
3.72%
1.22%
0.30%
0.06%
2
1.03%
1.01%
0.50%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Ajaccio
1-07.66%
2-01.03%
2-11.01%
Draw
0-028.55%
1-17.55%
2-20.50%
Marseille
0-128.12%
0-213.85%
1-23.72%
0-34.55%
1-31.22%
2-30.16%
0-41.12%
1-40.30%
0-50.22%
Toulouse at Lyon
Paris S-G at Reims