Lille at Ajaccio

Updated

Lille

60.4%24.2%15.4%
Lille WinDrawWin
1.65Projected Goals 0.69
3Final Score 1

Ajaccio

Last Games

Lille
Money Line
L 7-1 vs Paris Saint-Germain+700
T 1-1 at Nantes+130
W 1-4 vs Auxerre-150
T 2-2 vs Rennes+280
W 3-1 at Nice+350
Ajaccio
Money Line
L 1-2 at Rennes+600
T 0-0 vs Lens+230
L 1-2 at Lyon+750

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lille+110+146+145-+138-+146+154.4
Ajaccio+255+216+210-+211-+216+233.1
Draw+225+216+200-+218-+218+226.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lille+125---+110+130+130+154.4
Ajaccio+235---+210+235+235+233.1
Draw+225---+200+215+215+226.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lille: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajaccio: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lille: 50.0%
Ajaccio: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lille: 0.0%
Ajaccio: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lille ML moved from +135 to +125
Ajaccio ML moved from +220 to +211

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lille: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajaccio: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lille: 40.0%
Ajaccio: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lille: 0.0%
Ajaccio: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lille ML moved from +130 to +120
Ajaccio ML moved from +250 to +240

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2-130o2-125---o2-125o2-119
Underu2¼-102u2+110u2+105---u2+110u2+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+125----o2-125o2-125o2-119
Underu2½-145----u2+105u2+105u2+119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.4%
 
No59.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.62%
Exactly 226.37%
Exactly 412.04%
Exactly 62.20%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.53%
Exactly 320.58%
Exactly 55.64%
Exactly 70.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Lille
Exactly 019.25%
Exactly 131.72%
Exactly 226.13%
Exactly 314.35%
Exactly 45.91%
Exactly 51.95%
Exactly 60.53%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajaccio
Exactly 049.99%
Exactly 134.66%
Exactly 212.01%
Exactly 32.78%
Exactly 40.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.83%
Exactly 219.87%
Exactly 41.95%
 
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 37.18%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lille
Exactly 046.63%
Exactly 135.57%
Exactly 213.57%
Exactly 33.45%
Exactly 40.66%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajaccio
Exactly 072.54%
Exactly 123.28%
Exactly 23.74%
Exactly 30.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lille
Wins by 2+ goals33.52%
Wins by 3+ goals14.72%
Wins by 4+ goals5.25%
Wins by 5+ goals1.55%
Ajaccio
Wins by 2+ goals4.10%
Wins by 3+ goals0.78%

Exact Winning Margin

Lille
Ajaccio
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Lille
Wins by 1 goal26.81%
Wins by 2 goals18.80%
Wins by 3 goals9.47%
Wins by 4 goals3.70%
Wins by 5 goals1.17%
Ajaccio
Wins by 1 goal11.28%
Wins by 2 goals3.32%
Wins by 3 goals0.69%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.38%9.62%
1.567.85%32.15%
2.541.48%58.52%
3.520.90%79.10%
4.58.86%91.14%
5.53.22%96.78%
6.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Lille Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.75%19.25%
1.549.03%50.97%
2.522.90%77.10%
3.58.55%91.45%
4.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals Ajaccio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.01%49.99%
1.515.35%84.65%
2.53.33%96.67%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.17%33.83%
1.529.51%70.49%
2.59.64%90.36%
3.52.46%97.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lille
Ajaccio
Score0123
0
9.62%
6.67%
2.31%
0.53%
1
15.86%
10.99%
3.81%
0.88%
2
13.06%
9.06%
3.14%
0.73%
3
7.17%
4.97%
1.72%
0.40%
4
2.96%
2.05%
0.71%
0.16%
5
0.97%
0.68%
0.23%
0.05%
Lille
1-015.86%
2-013.06%
2-19.06%
3-07.17%
3-14.97%
3-21.72%
4-02.96%
4-12.05%
4-20.71%
4-30.16%
5-00.97%
5-10.68%
5-20.23%
Draw
0-09.62%
1-110.99%
2-23.14%
3-30.40%
Ajaccio
0-16.67%
0-22.31%
1-23.81%
0-30.53%
1-30.88%
2-30.73%

Correct Score - First Half

Lille
Ajaccio
Score0123
0
33.83%
10.86%
1.74%
0.19%
1
25.81%
8.28%
1.33%
0.14%
2
9.84%
3.16%
0.51%
0.05%
3
2.50%
0.80%
0.13%
0.01%
4
0.48%
0.15%
0.02%
0.00%
Lille
1-025.81%
2-09.84%
2-13.16%
3-02.50%
3-10.80%
3-20.13%
4-00.48%
4-10.15%
Draw
0-033.83%
1-18.28%
2-20.51%
Ajaccio
0-110.86%
0-21.74%
1-21.33%
0-30.19%
1-30.14%