Toulouse at Saint-Etienne

Updated

Toulouse

43.2%26.1%30.7%
Toulouse WinDrawSaint-Etienne Win
1.43Projected Goals 1.17
3Final Score 2

Saint-Etienne

Last 5 Games

Toulouse
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Lens+125
W 1-2 vs Rennes+115
T 0-0 at Nantes+165
L 0-1 at Reims+110
L 2-1 vs Lille+185
Saint-Etienne
Money Line
W 2-0 at Reims+245
L 3-1 vs Monaco+500
L 1-3 at Strasbourg+475
W 1-2 vs Lyon+385
T 3-3 vs Brest+250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toulouse+255+189+195+188+189+188+190+198.1
Saint-Etienne-105+133+120+137+125+137+137+145.3
Draw+300+279+280+276+271+276+280+289.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toulouse+225---+200+185+200+198.1
Saint-Etienne-105----115+130+130+145.3
Draw+335---+285+280+285+289.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toulouse: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Saint-Etienne: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toulouse: 40.0%
Saint-Etienne: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toulouse: 0.0%
Saint-Etienne: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toulouse ML moved from +195 to +189
Saint-Etienne ML moved from +124 to +112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toulouse: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Saint-Etienne: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toulouse: 40.0%
Saint-Etienne: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toulouse: 10.0%
Saint-Etienne: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toulouse ML moved from +200 to +185
Saint-Etienne ML moved from +105 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-104o3-110o3-104o3-107o3-104o3-104o3+105
Underu3-115u3-112u3-110u3-116u3-113u3-116u3-110u3-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125----o3-115o3-115o3+105
Underu3+105----u3-105u3-105u3-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-106 to o3¼+107
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.5%
 
No47.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.40%
Exactly 225.08%
Exactly 414.17%
Exactly 63.20%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.27%
Exactly 321.77%
Exactly 57.38%
Exactly 71.19%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Toulouse
Exactly 023.80%
Exactly 134.17%
Exactly 224.52%
Exactly 311.73%
Exactly 44.21%
Exactly 51.21%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Saint-Etienne
Exactly 031.09%
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 221.22%
Exactly 38.26%
Exactly 42.41%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.96%
Exactly 221.76%
Exactly 42.64%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 38.75%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Toulouse
Exactly 051.45%
Exactly 134.19%
Exactly 211.36%
Exactly 32.52%
Exactly 40.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Saint-Etienne
Exactly 058.22%
Exactly 131.49%
Exactly 28.52%
Exactly 31.54%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Toulouse
Wins by 2+ goals20.72%
Wins by 3+ goals7.84%
Wins by 4+ goals2.38%
Wins by 5+ goals0.57%
Saint-Etienne
Wins by 2+ goals12.47%
Wins by 3+ goals3.93%
Wins by 4+ goals0.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Toulouse
Saint-Etienne
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Toulouse
Wins by 1 goal22.40%
Wins by 2 goals12.88%
Wins by 3 goals5.46%
Wins by 4 goals1.81%
Wins by 5 goals0.48%
Saint-Etienne
Wins by 1 goal18.23%
Wins by 2 goals8.54%
Wins by 3 goals2.94%
Wins by 4 goals0.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.60%7.40%
1.573.33%26.67%
2.548.25%51.75%
3.526.48%73.52%
4.512.31%87.69%
5.54.93%95.07%
6.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Toulouse Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.20%23.80%
1.542.03%57.97%
2.517.51%82.49%
3.55.78%94.22%
4.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals Saint-Etienne Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.91%31.09%
1.532.59%67.41%
2.511.37%88.63%
3.53.11%96.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.04%29.96%
1.533.93%66.07%
2.512.17%87.83%
3.53.42%96.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Toulouse
Saint-Etienne
Score012345
0
7.40%
8.65%
5.05%
1.97%
0.57%
0.13%
1
10.62%
12.41%
7.25%
2.82%
0.82%
0.19%
2
7.62%
8.91%
5.20%
2.03%
0.59%
0.14%
3
3.65%
4.26%
2.49%
0.97%
0.28%
0.07%
4
1.31%
1.53%
0.89%
0.35%
0.10%
0.02%
5
0.38%
0.44%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Toulouse
1-010.62%
2-07.62%
2-18.91%
3-03.65%
3-14.26%
3-22.49%
4-01.31%
4-11.53%
4-20.89%
4-30.35%
5-00.38%
5-10.44%
5-20.26%
Draw
0-07.40%
1-112.41%
2-25.20%
3-30.97%
4-40.10%
Saint-Etienne
0-18.65%
0-25.05%
1-27.25%
0-31.97%
1-32.82%
2-32.03%
0-40.57%
1-40.82%
2-40.59%
3-40.28%
0-50.13%
1-50.19%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Toulouse
Saint-Etienne
Score01234
0
29.96%
16.20%
4.38%
0.79%
0.11%
1
19.91%
10.77%
2.91%
0.53%
0.07%
2
6.61%
3.58%
0.97%
0.17%
0.02%
3
1.47%
0.79%
0.21%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.24%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Toulouse
1-019.91%
2-06.61%
2-13.58%
3-01.47%
3-10.79%
3-20.21%
4-00.24%
4-10.13%
Draw
0-029.96%
1-110.77%
2-20.97%
Saint-Etienne
0-116.20%
0-24.38%
1-22.91%
0-30.79%
1-30.53%
2-30.17%
0-40.11%