Ajaccio at Paris S-G

Updated

Ajaccio

3.0%9.1%87.9%
WinDrawParis S-G Win
0.42Projected Goals 2.96
0Final Score 5

Paris Saint-Germain

Last 5 Games

Ajaccio
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Toulouse+280
L 0-3 at Lille+1350
T 0-0 vs Brest+220
L 1-3 at Strasbourg+475
L 3-0 vs Auxerre+185
Paris Saint-Germain
Money Line
W 3-1 at Troyes-400
L 3-1 vs Lorient-625
W 2-1 at Angers-550
W 1-3 vs Lens-135
W 2-0 at Nice-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajaccio------
Paris S-G------
Draw------
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajaccio+2300----+1700+1700-
Paris S-G-925-----910-910-
Draw+850----+950+950-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajaccio: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paris S-G: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajaccio: 0.0%
Paris S-G: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajaccio: 0.0%
Paris S-G: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajaccio ML moved from +2150 to +1700
Paris S-G ML moved from -900 to -910

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+110----o3½-105o3½-105-
Underu3½-130----u3½-115u3½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-130 to o3½-105
The Under moved from u3½-130 to u3+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes32.4%
 
No67.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.40%
Exactly 219.44%
Exactly 418.52%
Exactly 67.06%
Exactly 81.44%
Exactly 100.18%
 
Exactly 111.50%
Exactly 321.91%
Exactly 512.52%
Exactly 73.41%
Exactly 90.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajaccio
Exactly 065.81%
Exactly 127.53%
Exactly 25.76%
Exactly 30.80%
Exact Goals Scored - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 05.17%
Exactly 115.31%
Exactly 222.68%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 416.59%
Exactly 59.83%
Exactly 64.86%
Exactly 72.06%
Exactly 80.76%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.90%
Exactly 225.61%
Exactly 45.23%
Exactly 60.43%
 
Exactly 132.72%
Exactly 313.36%
Exactly 51.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajaccio
Exactly 082.39%
Exactly 115.96%
Exactly 21.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 025.36%
Exactly 134.80%
Exactly 223.87%
Exactly 310.91%
Exactly 43.74%
Exactly 51.03%
Exactly 60.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajaccio
Wins by 2+ goals0.46%
Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 2+ goals70.01%
Wins by 3+ goals47.89%
Wins by 4+ goals27.97%
Wins by 5+ goals14.05%
Wins by 6+ goals6.12%
Wins by 7+ goals2.31%
Wins by 8+ goals0.73%
Wins by 9+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajaccio
Paris Saint-Germain
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Ajaccio
Wins by 1 goal2.49%
Wins by 2 goals0.42%
Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 1 goal17.74%
Wins by 2 goals22.13%
Wins by 3 goals19.91%
Wins by 4 goals13.92%
Wins by 5 goals7.93%
Wins by 6 goals3.81%
Wins by 7 goals1.58%
Wins by 8 goals0.57%
Wins by 9 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.60%3.40%
1.585.10%14.90%
2.565.66%34.34%
3.543.75%56.25%
4.525.23%74.77%
5.512.71%87.29%
6.55.65%94.35%
7.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals Ajaccio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.534.19%65.81%
1.56.65%93.35%

Total Goals Paris Saint-Germain Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.83%5.17%
1.579.52%20.48%
2.556.84%43.16%
3.534.45%65.55%
4.517.85%82.15%
5.58.02%91.98%
6.53.17%96.83%
7.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.10%20.90%
1.546.39%53.61%
2.520.78%79.22%
3.57.41%92.59%
4.52.18%97.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajaccio
Paris Saint-Germain
Score012345
0
3.40%
10.07%
14.93%
14.74%
10.92%
6.47%
1
1.42%
4.22%
6.24%
6.17%
4.57%
2.71%
2
0.30%
0.88%
1.31%
1.29%
0.96%
0.57%
Ajaccio
1-01.42%
2-00.30%
2-10.88%
Draw
0-03.40%
1-14.22%
2-21.31%
3-30.18%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-110.07%
0-214.93%
1-26.24%
0-314.74%
1-36.17%
2-31.29%
0-410.92%
1-44.57%
2-40.96%
3-40.13%
0-56.47%
1-52.71%
2-50.57%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajaccio
Paris Saint-Germain
Score0123456
0
20.90%
28.67%
19.66%
8.99%
3.08%
0.85%
0.19%
1
4.05%
5.55%
3.81%
1.74%
0.60%
0.16%
0.04%
2
0.39%
0.54%
0.37%
0.17%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Ajaccio
1-04.05%
2-00.39%
2-10.54%
Draw
0-020.90%
1-15.55%
2-20.37%
Paris Saint-Germain
0-128.67%
0-219.66%
1-23.81%
0-38.99%
1-31.74%
2-30.17%
0-43.08%
1-40.60%
0-50.85%
1-50.16%
0-60.19%