German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 23, 2022

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Hertha BSC
Hamburger SV 		28.2%
48.2%		23.6%
+291
+102
+275
+100
1.27
1.73		3.00
o2½-108
u2½-108
o2½-110
u2½-110
Games for May 22, 2022
Games for May 24, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Hamburger SV
Hertha BSC		25.3%
51.9%		22.8%
+195
+150
+190
+150
1
0		-1.11438-1.11145-1.37318
Hertha BSC
Dortmund		7.4%
80.8%		11.8%
+455
-180
+428
-185
1
2		-0.46267-0.47385-0.21329
Bayern Munich
Wolfsburg		71.5%
11.9%		16.6%
-235
+552
-230
+515
2
2		-1.83917-1.77484-1.79703
Freiburg
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		18.1%
61.1%		20.7%
+213
+126
+220
+114
1
2		-0.82241-0.79323-0.49195
VfL Bochum
Union Berlin		23.5%
53.1%		23.5%
+963
-304
+842
-315
2
3		-0.30058-0.32165-0.63367
Hoffenheim
Borussia Monchengladbach		30.0%
46.1%		23.9%
+213
+109
+210
+103
1
5		-0.75959-0.75213-0.77479
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/15/22
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (24-5-5, 77 pts)24.05.05.077.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Dortmund (22-9-3, 69 pts)22.09.03.069.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
3Bayer 04 Leverkusen (19-8-7, 64 pts)19.08.07.064.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4RB Leipzig (17-10-7, 58 pts)17.010.07.058.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Union Berlin (16-9-9, 57 pts)16.09.09.057.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
6Freiburg (15-9-10, 55 pts)15.09.010.055.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
7FC Koln (14-10-10, 52 pts)14.010.010.052.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Mainz 05 (13-14-7, 46 pts)13.014.07.046.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Hoffenheim (13-14-7, 46 pts)13.014.07.046.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Borussia Monchengladbach (12-13-9, 45 pts)12.013.09.045.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Eint Frankfurt (10-12-12, 42 pts)10.012.012.042.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Wolfsburg (12-16-6, 42 pts)12.016.06.042.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13VfL Bochum (12-16-6, 42 pts)12.016.06.042.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Augsburg (10-16-8, 38 pts)10.016.08.038.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15VfB Stuttgart (7-15-12, 33 pts)7.015.012.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Hertha BSC (9-19-6, 33 pts)9.019.06.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
17Arminia Bielefeld (5-16-13, 28 pts)5.016.013.028.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
18SpVgg Greuther Furth (3-22-9, 18 pts)3.022.09.018.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.