German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for June 16, 2021

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Games for Jun 15, 2021
Games for Jun 17, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Holstein Kiel
FC Koln
30.9%
46.6%
22.5%
+425
-140
+430
-150
1
0
-1.68799-1.71497-1.17341
Mainz 05
Wolfsburg
22.0%
60.6%
17.4%
+326
-122
+385
-120
3
2
-1.47709-1.57152-1.51490
Hertha BSC
Hoffenheim
28.5%
50.1%
21.4%
+355
-140
+338
-105
1
2
-0.56644-0.64173-0.69159
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Dortmund
35.6%
39.0%
25.5%
+440
-180
+450
-180
1
3
-0.47387-0.48078-0.94287
Augsburg
Bayern Munich
8.5%
87.1%
4.4%
+1600
-710
+1600
-760
2
5
-0.16500-0.17030-0.13858
Arminia Bielefeld
VfB Stuttgart
28.0%
48.8%
23.2%
+187
+130
+187
+140
2
0
-1.09318-1.07496-1.27282
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/22/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (24-4-6, 78 pts)24.04.06.078.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2RB Leipzig (19-7-8, 65 pts)19.07.08.065.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
3Dortmund (20-10-4, 64 pts)20.010.04.064.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Wolfsburg (17-7-10, 61 pts)17.07.010.061.00.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5Eint Frankfurt (16-6-12, 60 pts)16.06.012.060.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
6Bayer 04 Leverkusen (14-10-10, 52 pts)14.010.010.052.00.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
7Union Berlin (12-8-14, 50 pts)12.08.014.050.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Borussia Monchengladbach (13-11-10, 49 pts)13.011.010.049.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9VfB Stuttgart (12-13-9, 45 pts)12.013.09.045.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Freiburg (12-13-9, 45 pts)12.013.09.045.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Hoffenheim (11-13-10, 43 pts)11.013.010.043.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Mainz 05 (10-15-9, 39 pts)10.015.09.039.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Augsburg (10-18-6, 36 pts)10.018.06.036.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Hertha BSC (8-15-11, 35 pts)8.015.011.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Arminia Bielefeld (9-17-8, 35 pts)9.017.08.035.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16FC Koln (8-17-9, 33 pts)8.017.09.033.00.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%
17Werder Bremen (7-17-10, 31 pts)7.017.010.031.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%
18Schalke 04 (3-24-7, 16 pts)3.024.07.016.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.