German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 6, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
18.0%
61.1%
20.9%
+388
-131
+375
-135
1.00
2.03
3.03
o2½-110
u2½-103
o2½-110
u2½-110
Games for Dec 5, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC Heidenheim
48.2%
27.6%
24.2%
-106
+303
-110
+300
4
0
-0.68997-0.68975-0.73081
Hoffenheim
Mainz 05
26.6%
50.1%
23.4%
+268
+106
+269
+100
0
2
-0.75336-0.73714-0.69205
Bayern Munich
Dortmund
47.3%
29.0%
23.7%
-134
+365
-135
+360
1
1
-1.46054-1.45543-1.43822
Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig
12.6%
70.2%
17.2%
+380
-133
+365
-135
5
1
-1.59140-1.57867-2.07362
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Union Berlin
56.4%
21.1%
22.4%
-112
+360
-120
+420
2
1
-0.66510-0.61780-0.57192
Borussia Monchengladbach
Freiburg
18.9%
60.5%
20.5%
+264
+105
+260
+105
1
3
-0.74322-0.76179-0.50196
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
43.4%
31.7%
24.9%
+174
+160
+180
+170
2
2
-1.30793-1.28620-1.39078
VfL Bochum
Augsburg
20.9%
57.2%
21.9%
+355
-122
+350
-130
0
1
-0.62407-0.61990-0.55820
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
23.5%
54.6%
21.9%
+465
-147
+420
-145
1
3
-0.54709-0.56747-0.60530
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Monchengladbach
14.6%
67.8%
17.6%
+308
-107
+320
-110
0
2
-0.68474-0.67830-0.38896
Mainz 05
Holstein Kiel
43.6%
31.7%
24.7%
+131
+225
+130
+225
3
0
-0.86724-0.86474-0.82897
Werder Bremen
Eintracht Frankfurt
16.9%
64.1%
19.0%
+360
-130
+330
-135
0
1
-0.59104-0.60398-0.44499
FC Heidenheim
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
4.9%
85.3%
9.8%
+1300
-460
+1400
-515
2
5
-0.22704-0.20843-0.15912
Union Berlin
Wolfsburg
28.4%
46.1%
25.5%
+285
+115
+286
+115
0
1
-0.78856-0.79502-0.77444
VfL Bochum
VfB Stuttgart
10.1%
75.0%
14.9%
+825
-305
+800
-330
0
2
-0.31106-0.29890-0.28706
RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim
50.3%
26.4%
23.3%
+123
+227
+113
+225
3
4
-1.20828-1.22503-1.33264
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 12/01/24
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (9-0-3, 30 pts)21.74.18.273.382.5%99.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%
2Eintracht Frankfurt (8-2-2, 26 pts)16.69.38.157.81.5%58.9%26.1%0.0%0.0%
3Bayer 04 Leverkusen (6-1-5, 23 pts)18.25.510.364.912.9%92.1%6.8%0.0%0.0%
4RB Leipzig (6-3-3, 21 pts)16.28.98.957.61.9%54.2%28.2%0.0%0.0%
5Dortmund (6-4-2, 20 pts)15.710.37.955.20.7%40.0%29.7%0.0%0.0%
6Freiburg (6-4-2, 20 pts)14.811.18.052.50.2%19.7%30.5%0.0%0.0%
7Mainz 05 (5-3-4, 19 pts)11.912.010.145.70.0%3.4%10.9%1.3%0.1%
8Wolfsburg (5-4-3, 18 pts)12.512.29.346.80.0%5.8%12.7%0.3%0.0%
9VfB Stuttgart (4-3-5, 17 pts)13.69.610.951.60.2%17.7%29.4%0.1%0.0%
10Borussia Monchengladbach (5-5-2, 17 pts)12.313.58.245.10.1%2.9%7.6%0.8%0.6%
11Union Berlin (4-4-4, 16 pts)11.911.910.245.80.0%2.9%10.0%1.3%0.1%
12Werder Bremen (4-4-4, 16 pts)11.112.510.443.60.0%1.4%5.1%3.1%1.0%
13Augsburg (4-5-3, 15 pts)10.814.29.041.40.0%0.7%1.8%5.1%2.6%
14Hoffenheim (3-6-3, 12 pts)9.815.19.138.60.0%0.3%1.0%10.5%3.4%
15FC St. Pauli (3-7-2, 11 pts)8.417.87.833.00.0%0.0%0.1%25.1%20.9%
16FC Heidenheim (3-8-1, 10 pts)8.818.27.033.40.0%0.1%0.0%24.5%20.8%
17Holstein Kiel (1-9-2, 5 pts)6.020.37.625.70.0%0.0%0.0%12.0%78.4%
18VfL Bochum (0-10-2, 2 pts)6.219.98.026.50.0%0.0%0.0%15.9%72.1%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.