German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 22, 2021

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Augsburg
Mainz 05
28.7%
48.4%
22.9%
+422
-130

1.08
1.83
2.91
o2¼-119
u2½-120

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Oct 21, 2021

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
Line
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Arminia Bielefeld
Augsburg
31.0%
43.0%
26.0%
+285
+123
+260
+117
1
1
-1.08708-1.07308-1.00741
Bayern Munich
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
54.0%
25.9%
20.1%
-150
+380
-155
+352
5
1
-0.53171-0.54787-0.61669
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Monchengladbach
26.5%
53.3%
20.1%
+560
-187
+550
-200
1
1
-1.16778-1.18049-0.97799
VfL Bochum
SpVgg Greuther Furth
32.9%
42.8%
24.3%
+221
+131
+212
+125
1
0
-1.18899-1.18725-1.11194
Hertha BSC
Eint Frankfurt
24.7%
57.7%
17.6%
+407
-134
+386
-140
2
1
-1.64610-1.63066-1.39922
RB Leipzig
Freiburg
48.4%
28.4%
23.1%
-105
+308
-105
+285
1
1
-1.05446-1.05131-0.99106
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 10/17/21
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (6-1-1, 19 pts)23.64.65.776.689.8%99.8%0.2%0.0%0.0%
2Dortmund (6-2-0, 18 pts)19.48.26.464.67.0%90.1%7.5%0.0%0.0%
3Bayer 04 Leverkusen (5-2-1, 16 pts)16.79.28.258.21.1%63.6%24.7%0.1%0.0%
4Freiburg (4-0-4, 16 pts)12.810.011.249.70.0%14.3%23.9%0.5%0.1%
5Union Berlin (4-1-3, 15 pts)12.611.210.247.90.0%8.9%18.8%0.7%0.4%
6Wolfsburg (4-3-1, 13 pts)14.611.18.352.20.1%24.5%27.1%0.0%0.3%
7FC Koln (3-2-3, 12 pts)9.414.79.938.10.0%0.0%2.1%10.7%10.3%
8RB Leipzig (3-3-2, 11 pts)16.78.88.558.71.8%67.9%23.0%0.0%0.0%
9Hoffenheim (3-3-2, 11 pts)12.212.69.245.90.0%5.8%16.9%1.5%0.7%
10Borussia Monchengladbach (3-3-2, 11 pts)13.611.19.350.10.2%16.0%28.1%0.3%0.2%
11Mainz 05 (3-4-1, 10 pts)10.615.38.140.00.0%0.7%4.9%7.0%6.0%
12VfB Stuttgart (2-3-3, 9 pts)11.012.910.143.20.0%2.9%6.1%3.4%3.0%
13Hertha BSC (3-5-0, 9 pts)10.716.17.239.30.0%0.5%2.6%10.1%8.5%
14Eint Frankfurt (1-2-5, 8 pts)11.010.812.245.30.0%4.9%12.8%2.4%1.2%
15VfL Bochum (2-5-1, 7 pts)8.617.57.833.80.0%0.0%0.2%18.1%31.0%
16Augsburg (1-4-3, 6 pts)8.216.09.834.40.0%0.1%0.6%17.6%25.9%
17Arminia Bielefeld (0-3-5, 5 pts)7.114.812.133.40.0%0.0%0.5%17.5%32.6%
18SpVgg Greuther Furth (0-7-1, 1 pts)6.020.37.725.60.0%0.0%0.0%10.1%79.8%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.