German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 14, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
RB Leipzig
Augsburg
43.2%
31.5%
25.4%
+113
+257

1.50
1.24
2.74
o2½-122
u2¾-120

Games for Feb 13, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
12.3%
71.2%
16.5%
+405
-145
+425
-145
0
2
-0.56063-0.54752-0.33979
VfL Bochum
Holstein Kiel
31.3%
44.0%
24.6%
+210
+136
+210
+130
2
2
-1.29664-1.29496-1.40076
Eintracht Frankfurt
Borussia Monchengladbach
37.7%
37.2%
25.1%
+168
+160
+165
+155
1
1
-1.32595-1.33325-1.38198
FC Heidenheim
Freiburg
21.4%
55.9%
22.7%
+425
-137
+405
-140
0
1
-0.57401-0.58255-0.58238
Augsburg
Mainz 05
19.2%
59.8%
21.0%
+375
-120
+380
-130
0
0
-1.32426-1.35120-1.56036
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Wolfsburg
56.4%
21.5%
22.1%
+117
+270
+110
+265
0
0
-1.24866-1.25646-1.50851
VfB Stuttgart
Dortmund
26.0%
51.1%
22.9%
+265
-101
+275
-105
2
1
-1.32392-1.35642-1.34846
Union Berlin
Hoffenheim
26.2%
49.8%
24.0%
+212
+136
+210
+130
4
0
-1.16344-1.17357-1.33891
Werder Bremen
Bayern Munich
4.7%
86.2%
9.1%
+2000
-942
+2000
-1100
0
3
-0.13113-0.12797-0.14844
Hoffenheim
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
6.9%
81.5%
11.6%
+1700
-672
+1815
-780
1
3
-0.16848-0.16094-0.20413
Wolfsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
21.5%
56.7%
21.7%
+270
+107
+265
+105
1
1
-1.34155-1.31972-1.52661
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
44.4%
29.8%
25.7%
+130
+225
+130
+215
0
0
-1.27015-1.27959-1.35837
Dortmund
FC Heidenheim
54.5%
23.0%
22.5%
-138
+378
-145
+380
2
1
-0.57180-0.56764-0.60622
Freiburg
VfL Bochum
42.3%
32.1%
25.6%
+165
+185
+160
+180
1
0
-0.99666-0.99932-0.86102
Borussia Monchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart
16.9%
64.1%
19.1%
+397
-150
+400
-155
2
1
-1.63353-1.63907-1.78076
Augsburg
FC St. Pauli
34.8%
39.5%
25.6%
+285
+115
+285
+110
1
1
-1.22142-1.23213-1.36176
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 02/09/25
#TeamWLTPtsWin LeagueMake Champions LeagueMake Europa LeagueRelegation PlayoffRelegation
1Bayern Munich (17-1-3, 54 pts)25.43.05.681.996.9%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2Bayer 04 Leverkusen (13-1-7, 46 pts)20.33.710.070.93.1%99.9%0.1%0.0%0.0%
3Eintracht Frankfurt (11-4-6, 39 pts)16.08.39.657.70.0%67.7%23.5%0.0%0.0%
4RB Leipzig (10-5-6, 36 pts)15.39.29.555.30.0%40.7%34.2%0.0%0.0%
5VfB Stuttgart (10-6-5, 35 pts)15.89.78.455.90.0%50.4%31.7%0.0%0.0%
6Freiburg (10-8-3, 33 pts)14.413.06.649.90.0%7.6%21.5%0.0%0.0%
7Mainz 05 (9-7-5, 32 pts)13.911.58.650.30.0%12.4%25.3%0.0%0.0%
8Borussia Monchengladbach (9-8-4, 31 pts)13.612.87.648.40.0%4.0%15.5%0.0%0.0%
9Wolfsburg (8-7-6, 30 pts)12.811.39.948.30.0%7.4%16.4%0.0%0.0%
10Werder Bremen (8-7-6, 30 pts)12.212.19.746.30.0%1.4%8.3%0.1%0.0%
11Dortmund (8-8-5, 29 pts)13.711.78.549.70.0%8.2%22.5%0.0%0.0%
12Augsburg (7-8-6, 27 pts)10.813.79.541.90.0%0.2%0.7%0.3%0.1%
13Union Berlin (6-10-5, 23 pts)10.115.48.538.90.0%0.1%0.3%3.4%0.5%
14FC St. Pauli (6-12-3, 21 pts)9.618.06.535.20.0%0.0%0.0%8.6%3.3%
15Hoffenheim (4-11-6, 18 pts)8.316.29.534.30.0%0.0%0.0%15.0%7.4%
16FC Heidenheim (4-15-2, 14 pts)7.421.15.527.80.0%0.0%0.0%32.6%45.2%
17Holstein Kiel (3-14-4, 13 pts)6.120.57.425.80.0%0.0%0.0%22.9%67.5%
18VfL Bochum (3-14-4, 13 pts)6.020.87.225.30.0%0.0%0.0%17.1%76.0%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.