German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated 20 days ago

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Games for Jun 15, 2021

Games for Jun 17, 2021

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best Line	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/26/2021 04:30 PM	Holstein Kiel FC Koln	30.9% 46.6%	22.5%	+425 -140 +430 -150	1 0	-1.68799-1.71497	-1.17341
05/22/2021 01:30 PM	Mainz 05 Wolfsburg	22.0% 60.6%	17.4%	+326 -122 +385 -120	3 2	-1.47709-1.57152	-1.51490
05/22/2021 01:30 PM	Hertha BSC Hoffenheim	28.5% 50.1%	21.4%	+355 -140 +338 -105	1 2	-0.56644-0.64173	-0.69159
05/22/2021 01:30 PM	Bayer 04 Leverkusen Dortmund	35.6% 39.0%	25.5%	+440 -180 +450 -180	1 3	-0.47387-0.48078	-0.94287
05/22/2021 01:30 PM	Augsburg Bayern Munich	8.5% 87.1%	4.4%	+1600 -710 +1600 -760	2 5	-0.16500-0.17030	-0.13858
05/22/2021 01:30 PM	Arminia Bielefeld VfB Stuttgart	28.0% 48.8%	23.2%	+187 +130 +187 +140	2 0	-1.09318-1.07496	-1.27282

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/22/21

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Make Champions League	Make Europa League	Relegation Playoff	Relegation
1	Bayern Munich (24-4-6, 78 pts)	24.0	4.0	6.0	78.0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	RB Leipzig (19-7-8, 65 pts)	19.0	7.0	8.0	65.0	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
3	Dortmund (20-10-4, 64 pts)	20.0	10.0	4.0	64.0	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
4	Wolfsburg (17-7-10, 61 pts)	17.0	7.0	10.0	61.0	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
5	Eint Frankfurt (16-6-12, 60 pts)	16.0	6.0	12.0	60.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (14-10-10, 52 pts)	14.0	10.0	10.0	52.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
7	Union Berlin (12-8-14, 50 pts)	12.0	8.0	14.0	50.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
8	Borussia Monchengladbach (13-11-10, 49 pts)	13.0	11.0	10.0	49.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	VfB Stuttgart (12-13-9, 45 pts)	12.0	13.0	9.0	45.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Freiburg (12-13-9, 45 pts)	12.0	13.0	9.0	45.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Hoffenheim (11-13-10, 43 pts)	11.0	13.0	10.0	43.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Mainz 05 (10-15-9, 39 pts)	10.0	15.0	9.0	39.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Augsburg (10-18-6, 36 pts)	10.0	18.0	6.0	36.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Hertha BSC (8-15-11, 35 pts)	8.0	15.0	11.0	35.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
15	Arminia Bielefeld (9-17-8, 35 pts)	9.0	17.0	8.0	35.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
16	FC Koln (8-17-9, 33 pts)	8.0	17.0	9.0	33.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
17	Werder Bremen (7-17-10, 31 pts)	7.0	17.0	10.0	31.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
18	Schalke 04 (3-24-7, 16 pts)	3.0	24.0	7.0	16.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.