Dortmund at Mainz 05

Updated

Dortmund

39.4%25.3%35.3%
Dortmund WinDrawMainz 05 Win
1.45Projected Goals 1.35
0Final Score 3

Mainz 05

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Augsburg+105
L 1-4 at RB Leipzig+420
T 1-1 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+165
W 2-1 at Borussia Monchengladbach+110
L 1-0 vs VfB Stuttgart+100
Mainz 05
Money Line
T 1-1 at FC Heidenheim+145
T 1-1 vs FC Koln-177
T 1-1 at Freiburg+140
W 1-4 vs Hoffenheim-115
W 0-4 vs Darmstadt 98-250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+176+270+275+265+264+265+275+277.9
Mainz 05+140-110-120-111-106-111-106-103.3
Draw+282+307+320+325+307+325+325+340.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+175-+265+170+190+265+265+277.9
Mainz 05+135--115+115-105-110+115-103.3
Draw+285-+310+275+270+295+310+340.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 50.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +264 to +258
Mainz 05 ML moved from +112 to -106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 40.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +215 to +200
Mainz 05 ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-141o3½+106o3¼-112o3¼-118o3¼-111o3¼-118o3¼-111o3¼-107
Underu3+119u3½-126u3¼-108u3¼-102u3¼-103u3¼-102u3½-126u3¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-130o3-140o3½+110o3-135o3-140o3½+105o3-135o3¼-107
Underu3+110u3+120u3½-130u3+115u3+110u3½-125u3½-125u3¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.7%
 
No43.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.09%
Exactly 223.85%
Exactly 415.56%
Exactly 64.06%
Exactly 80.57%
 
Exactly 117.05%
Exactly 322.25%
Exactly 58.71%
Exactly 71.62%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 023.59%
Exactly 134.07%
Exactly 224.61%
Exactly 311.85%
Exactly 44.28%
Exactly 51.24%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 025.83%
Exactly 134.96%
Exactly 223.67%
Exactly 310.68%
Exactly 43.61%
Exactly 50.98%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.37%
Exactly 222.97%
Exactly 43.21%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.47%
Exactly 39.92%
Exactly 50.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 051.23%
Exactly 134.26%
Exactly 211.46%
Exactly 32.55%
Exactly 40.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 053.43%
Exactly 133.49%
Exactly 210.50%
Exactly 32.19%
Exactly 40.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals18.64%
Wins by 3+ goals6.99%
Wins by 4+ goals2.11%
Wins by 5+ goals0.50%
Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals15.85%
Wins by 3+ goals5.62%
Wins by 4+ goals1.60%
Wins by 5+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Mainz 05
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal20.71%
Wins by 2 goals11.65%
Wins by 3 goals4.88%
Wins by 4 goals1.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.42%
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal19.41%
Wins by 2 goals10.24%
Wins by 3 goals4.02%
Wins by 4 goals1.24%
Wins by 5 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.91%6.09%
1.576.86%23.14%
2.553.01%46.99%
3.530.77%69.23%
4.515.21%84.79%
5.56.50%93.50%
6.52.43%97.57%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.41%23.59%
1.542.34%57.66%
2.517.73%82.27%
3.55.89%94.11%
4.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.17%25.83%
1.539.21%60.79%
2.515.54%84.46%
3.54.87%95.13%
4.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.63%27.37%
1.537.16%62.84%
2.514.19%85.81%
3.54.27%95.73%
4.51.05%98.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Mainz 05
Score012345
0
6.09%
8.25%
5.58%
2.52%
0.85%
0.23%
1
8.80%
11.91%
8.06%
3.64%
1.23%
0.33%
2
6.36%
8.60%
5.82%
2.63%
0.89%
0.24%
3
3.06%
4.14%
2.80%
1.27%
0.43%
0.12%
4
1.10%
1.50%
1.01%
0.46%
0.15%
0.04%
5
0.32%
0.43%
0.29%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Dortmund
1-08.80%
2-06.36%
2-18.60%
3-03.06%
3-14.14%
3-22.80%
4-01.10%
4-11.50%
4-21.01%
4-30.46%
5-00.32%
5-10.43%
5-20.29%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.09%
1-111.91%
2-25.82%
3-31.27%
4-40.15%
Mainz 05
0-18.25%
0-25.58%
1-28.06%
0-32.52%
1-33.64%
2-32.63%
0-40.85%
1-41.23%
2-40.89%
3-40.43%
0-50.23%
1-50.33%
2-50.24%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Mainz 05
Score01234
0
27.37%
17.16%
5.38%
1.12%
0.18%
1
18.31%
11.47%
3.60%
0.75%
0.12%
2
6.12%
3.84%
1.20%
0.25%
0.04%
3
1.36%
0.86%
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.23%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-018.31%
2-06.12%
2-13.84%
3-01.36%
3-10.86%
3-20.27%
4-00.23%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-027.37%
1-111.47%
2-21.20%
Mainz 05
0-117.16%
0-25.38%
1-23.60%
0-31.12%
1-30.75%
2-30.25%
0-40.18%
1-40.12%