German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 4, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Hamburger SV 		50.9%
26.1%		23.0%
+115
+242
+110
+241
1.82
1.24		3.06
o2¾-102
u2¾-113
o2½-133
u2½+115
Games for Mar 3, 2026
Games for Mar 6, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Augsburg
Wolfsburg		25.8%
50.1%		24.0%
+230
+136
+236
+120
3
2		-1.21039-1.25309-1.35425
Hamburger SV
Mainz 05		27.5%
49.0%		23.5%
+267
+106
+265
+110
1
1		-1.31602-1.31856-1.44689
Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig		12.7%
70.0%		17.3%
+490
-189
+460
-190
2
2		-1.61314-1.57591-1.75446
FC Heidenheim
Augsburg		20.2%
58.9%		20.9%
+325
-109
+320
-115
0
1		-0.67631-0.66460-0.52928
FC Koln
VfB Stuttgart		13.2%
69.8%		17.0%
+500
-198
+500
-202
1
3		-0.44141-0.44721-0.35898
Bayern Munich
Werder Bremen		73.8%
10.9%		15.3%
-313
+820
-326
+810
3
0		-0.29981-0.30718-0.30420
Freiburg
Hoffenheim		19.4%
59.9%		20.7%
+390
-133
+360
-138
0
3		-0.58168-0.59117-0.51316
FC St. Pauli
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		9.5%
76.7%		13.8%
+580
-189
+550
-195
0
4		-0.44913-0.45525-0.26510
Borussia Monchengladbach
Eintracht Frankfurt		21.4%
59.1%		19.5%
+240
+126
+270
+110
0
3		-0.83743-0.76970-0.52569
Union Berlin
Hamburger SV		29.6%
46.3%		24.1%
+231
+138
+220
+142
2
3		-0.90128-0.92604-0.76988
Mainz 05
Dortmund		12.0%
72.3%		15.7%
+420
-145
+395
-160
0
4		-0.54003-0.52921-0.32453
Hoffenheim
Bayern Munich		5.1%
85.5%		9.4%
+1100
-410
+950
-405
1
5		-0.24128-0.25521-0.15665
RB Leipzig
FC Koln		48.0%
28.4%		23.6%
+107
+260
+100
+250
2
1		-0.74024-0.73314-0.73362
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Borussia Monchengladbach		46.3%
30.2%		23.5%
+106
+266
+100
+265
1
1		-1.35658-1.33139-1.44638
Dortmund
Wolfsburg		53.9%
23.6%		22.5%
-135
+388
-145
+360
2
1		-0.57054-0.56808-0.61863
VfB Stuttgart
FC St. Pauli		47.6%
28.5%		23.9%
-135
+412
-135
+365
1
2		-1.65900-1.58821-1.25597
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.