German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
VfB Stuttgart		30.6%
43.9%		25.4%
+225
+108
+230
+125
1
3		-0.76712-0.79931-0.82287
Eintracht Frankfurt
Dortmund		17.1%
63.3%		19.5%
+330
-135
+325
-140
2
3		-0.58904-0.58638-0.45670
Wolfsburg
Freiburg		27.3%
47.8%		24.9%
+264
+111
+250
+107
1
1		-1.32111-1.34669-1.39062
Dortmund
Borussia Monchengladbach		54.5%
23.8%		21.7%
-110
+297
-110
+290
0
1		-1.40597-1.39380-1.43620
Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli		32.6%
42.2%		25.2%
+157
+192
+160
+185
2
1		-0.96927-0.98722-1.12116
RB Leipzig
Bayer 04 Leverkusen		23.2%
54.3%		22.6%
+224
+114
+215
+110
1
4		-0.78161-0.77879-0.61144
FC Koln
Union Berlin		24.8%
51.5%		23.7%
+166
+178
+190
+159
2
2		-1.25309-1.26929-1.44067
FC Heidenheim
Bayern Munich		2.3%
92.0%		5.7%
+880
-363
+900
-380
3
3		-1.95574-1.96747-2.86875
Hamburger SV
Eintracht Frankfurt		12.7%
71.0%		16.2%
+380
-143
+320
-130
2
1		-1.60296-1.47727-2.06302
VfB Stuttgart
Hoffenheim		32.1%
43.3%		24.6%
+196
+126
+193
+140
3
3		-1.40670-1.39425-1.40210
Augsburg
Werder Bremen		22.6%
55.2%		22.2%
+265
+101
+268
-105
3
1		-1.32223-1.34565-1.48780
Freiburg
Dortmund		14.1%
69.1%		16.8%
+615
-225
+600
-235
0
4		-0.40214-0.39794-0.36937
Werder Bremen
VfB Stuttgart		15.4%
65.5%		19.1%
+498
-180
+480
-188
1
1		-1.55315-1.56777-1.65716
Hoffenheim
Hamburger SV		53.7%
23.3%		23.0%
-139
+370
-141
+345
2
1		-0.56960-0.57752-0.62161
FC St. Pauli
FC Heidenheim		33.7%
39.9%		26.4%
+212
+140
+210
+135
0
2		-0.90214-0.89578-0.91874
Eintracht Frankfurt
Augsburg		35.3%
40.2%		24.5%
+186
+140
+168
+160
1
1		-1.34827-1.34588-1.40662
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.