German Bundesliga Predictions

Updated 61 days ago

Upcoming Games for July 17, 2025

There are no games on the schedule today.

Games for Jul 16, 2025

Games for Jul 18, 2025

Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
05/10/2025 01:30 PM	FC Heidenheim Union Berlin	22.9% 53.1%	24.0%	+280 +103 +285 +100	3 0	-1.36430-1.38790	-1.47443
05/09/2025 06:30 PM	Hoffenheim Wolfsburg	24.2% 52.9%	22.9%	+150 +195 +145 +165	2 2	-1.30763-1.37259	-1.47495
05/04/2025 05:30 PM	Eintracht Frankfurt Mainz 05	23.1% 54.7%	22.2%	+196 +138 +195 +130	1 1	-1.33022-1.36137	-1.50729
05/04/2025 03:30 PM	Bayer 04 Leverkusen Freiburg	56.2% 21.6%	22.1%	+126 +223 +125 +212	2 2	-1.32047-1.34297	-1.50819
05/04/2025 01:30 PM	Holstein Kiel Augsburg	15.3% 66.4%	18.4%	+322 -122 +329 -125	3 1	-1.47272-1.49424	-1.87863
05/03/2025 04:30 PM	Wolfsburg Dortmund	14.5% 67.4%	18.1%	+870 -345 +900 -395	0 4	-0.28071-0.27182	-0.39439
05/03/2025 01:30 PM	Hoffenheim Borussia Monchengladbach	24.2% 53.8%	22.0%	+191 +126 +195 +125	4 4	-1.42745-1.42862	-1.51422
05/03/2025 01:30 PM	VfB Stuttgart FC St. Pauli	39.0% 35.4%	25.6%	+160 +182 +165 +175	1 0	-0.98254-1.00414	-0.94138
05/03/2025 01:30 PM	Werder Bremen Union Berlin	34.2% 39.4%	26.3%	+130 +228 +140 +210	2 2	-1.27783-1.28764	-1.33427
05/03/2025 01:30 PM	Bayern Munich RB Leipzig	62.1% 17.9%	20.0%	-132 +311 -135 +340	3 3	-1.55533-1.55353	-1.60804
05/02/2025 06:30 PM	VfL Bochum FC Heidenheim	29.2% 45.7%	25.2%	+208 +139 +210 +130	0 0	-1.27075-1.29496	-1.37952
04/27/2025 03:30 PM	FC St. Pauli Werder Bremen	24.1% 53.3%	22.6%	+290 +100 +275 +100	0 0	-1.32467-1.31420	-1.48912
04/27/2025 01:30 PM	Union Berlin VfL Bochum	34.3% 39.1%	26.6%	+223 +132 +215 +135	1 1	-1.27047-1.27068	-1.32411
04/26/2025 04:30 PM	RB Leipzig Eintracht Frankfurt	32.6% 42.4%	25.0%	+260 +100 +240 -100	0 4	-0.71460-0.74244	-0.85703
04/26/2025 01:30 PM	Mainz 05 Bayern Munich	6.5% 82.0%	11.4%	+1050 -410 +1000 -460	0 3	-0.24217-0.24309	-0.19811
04/26/2025 01:30 PM	Dortmund Hoffenheim	46.5% 29.9%	23.6%	-114 +295 -120 +300	3 2	-0.65911-0.64764	-0.76542

Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/18/25

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Make Champions League	Make Europa League	Relegation Playoff	Relegation
1	Bayern Munich (25-2-7, 82 pts)	25.0	2.0	7.0	82.0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Bayer 04 Leverkusen (19-3-12, 69 pts)	19.0	3.0	12.0	69.0	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
3	Eintracht Frankfurt (17-8-9, 60 pts)	17.0	8.0	9.0	60.0	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
4	Dortmund (17-11-6, 57 pts)	17.0	11.0	6.0	57.0	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
5	Freiburg (16-11-7, 55 pts)	16.0	11.0	7.0	55.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
6	Mainz 05 (14-10-10, 52 pts)	14.0	10.0	10.0	52.0	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
7	RB Leipzig (13-9-12, 51 pts)	13.0	9.0	12.0	51.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
8	Werder Bremen (14-11-9, 51 pts)	14.0	11.0	9.0	51.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	VfB Stuttgart (14-12-8, 50 pts)	14.0	12.0	8.0	50.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Borussia Monchengladbach (13-15-6, 45 pts)	13.0	15.0	6.0	45.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Wolfsburg (11-13-10, 43 pts)	11.0	13.0	10.0	43.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Augsburg (11-13-10, 43 pts)	11.0	13.0	10.0	43.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Union Berlin (10-14-10, 40 pts)	10.0	14.0	10.0	40.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	FC St. Pauli (8-18-8, 32 pts)	8.0	18.0	8.0	32.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
15	Hoffenheim (7-16-11, 32 pts)	7.0	16.0	11.0	32.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
16	FC Heidenheim (8-21-5, 29 pts)	8.0	21.0	5.0	29.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
17	Holstein Kiel (6-21-7, 25 pts)	6.0	21.0	7.0	25.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
18	VfL Bochum (6-21-7, 25 pts)	6.0	21.0	7.0	25.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The game and score predictions above do not account for injuries, weather or any other random factor that may be cause the outcome to be swayed. See my disclaimer page for information on the benefits and downfalls about these Bundesliga predictions: disclaimer

The German Bundesliga pits all 18 teams against each other in a home-and-home series for a total of 34 games in a season. The top four teams qualify for the Champions League, and the fifth and sixth teams in the final standings qualify for Europa league. The bottom two teams in the Bundesliga get relegated, while the 16th ranked team plays the third ranked team in 2. Bundesliga to determine who will play in the top division for the next season.

These game predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only. The Season Projection for the Bundesliga is based on a simulation with 1,000 iterations.