Mainz 05 at Bayern Munich

Updated

Mainz 05

6.5%11.4%82.0%
WinDrawBayern Munich Win
0.79Projected Goals 3.04
0Final Score 3

Bayern Munich

Last 5 Games

Mainz 05
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Wolfsburg+100
L 0-2 at Hoffenheim+185
T 1-1 vs Holstein Kiel-225
L 1-3 at Dortmund+410
T 2-2 vs Freiburg-120
Bayern Munich
Money Line
W 4-0 at FC Heidenheim-325
T 2-2 vs Dortmund-230
W 3-1 at Augsburg-245
W 2-3 vs FC St. Pauli-870
T 1-1 at Union Berlin-320

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+1000+951+850+1080+905+1050+1050+1090.4
Bayern Munich-435-410-420-450-430-440-410-369.9
Draw+600+609+600+650+594+650+650+676.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+1000-+1000--+990+1000+1090.4
Bayern Munich-465--460---460-460-369.9
Draw+625-+635--+620+640+676.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bayern Munich: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Bayern Munich: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 10.0%
Bayern Munich: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mainz 05 ML moved from +966 to +905
Bayern Munich ML moved from -444 to -455

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bayern Munich: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Bayern Munich: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 10.0%
Bayern Munich: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mainz 05 ML moved from +1025 to +990
Bayern Munich ML moved from -465 to -480

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+102o4+109o3¾-120o3¾-115o3¾-119o3¾-115o3¾-115o3¾-104
Underu3½-122u4-128u3¾+100u3¾-105u3¾-101u3¾-105u4-128u3¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-120o3½-145o3½-140-o3½-130o3½-145o3½-130o3¾-104
Underu3½+100u3½+125u3½+120-u3½+100u3½+125u3½+125u3¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-125 to o3½-145
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.8%
 
No48.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.18%
Exactly 215.94%
Exactly 419.46%
Exactly 69.51%
Exactly 82.49%
Exactly 100.41%
 
Exactly 18.33%
Exactly 320.34%
Exactly 514.90%
Exactly 75.20%
Exactly 91.06%
Exactly 110.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 045.57%
Exactly 135.81%
Exactly 214.07%
Exactly 33.69%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Bayern Munich
Exactly 04.77%
Exactly 114.52%
Exactly 222.09%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 417.03%
Exactly 510.36%
Exactly 65.26%
Exactly 72.28%
Exactly 80.87%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 016.99%
Exactly 226.69%
Exactly 46.99%
Exactly 60.73%
 
Exactly 130.12%
Exactly 315.77%
Exactly 52.48%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 069.50%
Exactly 125.29%
Exactly 24.60%
Exactly 30.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bayern Munich
Exactly 024.45%
Exactly 134.44%
Exactly 224.25%
Exactly 311.39%
Exactly 44.01%
Exactly 51.13%
Exactly 60.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals1.76%
Wins by 3+ goals0.36%
Bayern Munich
Wins by 2+ goals63.53%
Wins by 3+ goals42.62%
Wins by 4+ goals24.64%
Wins by 5+ goals12.34%
Wins by 6+ goals5.37%
Wins by 7+ goals2.03%
Wins by 8+ goals0.63%
Wins by 9+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Mainz 05
Bayern Munich
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal4.75%
Wins by 2 goals1.39%
Wins by 3 goals0.31%
Bayern Munich
Wins by 1 goal18.39%
Wins by 2 goals20.91%
Wins by 3 goals17.98%
Wins by 4 goals12.31%
Wins by 5 goals6.96%
Wins by 6 goals3.35%
Wins by 7 goals1.39%
Wins by 8 goals0.50%
Wins by 9 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.82%2.18%
1.589.50%10.50%
2.573.56%26.44%
3.553.22%46.78%
4.533.76%66.24%
5.518.86%81.14%
6.59.35%90.65%
7.54.15%95.85%
8.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.43%45.57%
1.518.61%81.39%
2.54.54%95.46%

Total Goals Bayern Munich Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.23%4.77%
1.580.71%19.29%
2.558.62%41.38%
3.536.22%63.78%
4.519.19%80.81%
5.58.82%91.18%
6.53.57%96.43%
7.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.01%16.99%
1.552.89%47.11%
2.526.20%73.80%
3.510.43%89.57%
4.53.44%96.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

Mainz 05
Bayern Munich
Score012345
0
2.18%
6.62%
10.07%
10.21%
7.76%
4.72%
1
1.71%
5.20%
7.91%
8.02%
6.10%
3.71%
2
0.67%
2.04%
3.11%
3.15%
2.40%
1.46%
3
0.18%
0.54%
0.81%
0.83%
0.63%
0.38%
Mainz 05
1-01.71%
2-00.67%
2-12.04%
3-00.18%
3-10.54%
3-20.81%
Draw
0-02.18%
1-15.20%
2-23.11%
3-30.83%
4-40.12%
Bayern Munich
0-16.62%
0-210.07%
1-27.91%
0-310.21%
1-38.02%
2-33.15%
0-47.76%
1-46.10%
2-42.40%
3-40.63%
0-54.72%
1-53.71%
2-51.46%
3-50.38%

Correct Score - First Half

Mainz 05
Bayern Munich
Score0123456
0
16.99%
23.93%
16.86%
7.91%
2.79%
0.79%
0.18%
1
6.18%
8.71%
6.13%
2.88%
1.01%
0.29%
0.07%
2
1.12%
1.58%
1.12%
0.52%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.14%
0.19%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Mainz 05
1-06.18%
2-01.12%
2-11.58%
3-00.14%
3-10.19%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-016.99%
1-18.71%
2-21.12%
Bayern Munich
0-123.93%
0-216.86%
1-26.13%
0-37.91%
1-32.88%
2-30.52%
0-42.79%
1-41.01%
2-40.18%
0-50.79%
1-50.29%
0-60.18%