Hoffenheim at Freiburg

Updated

Hoffenheim

29.8%23.4%46.7%
Hoffenheim WinDrawFreiburg Win
1.12Projected Goals 1.77
2Final Score 1

Freiburg

Last 5 Games

Hoffenheim
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Eintracht Frankfurt-107
W 6-3 at SpVgg Greuther Furth-165
W 0-2 vs RB Leipzig+350
L 0-2 at VfL Bochum-105
W 0-2 vs Hertha BSC-133
Freiburg
Money Line
W 6-0 at Borussia Monchengladbach+346
L 1-2 at VfL Bochum+140
L 2-0 vs Eintracht Frankfurt-110
L 1-2 at Bayern Munich+1400
W 1-3 vs SpVgg Greuther Furth-246

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hoffenheim+166+215+215+230+214+230+230+238.0
Freiburg+143+125+130+132+125+125+132+133.9
Draw+268+235+255+250+236+255+255+261.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hoffenheim+195-+225-+180+220+225+238.0
Freiburg+140-+120-+120+120+120+133.9
Draw+240-+245-+220+255+255+261.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Freiburg: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hoffenheim ML moved from +215 to +205
Freiburg ML moved from +140 to +130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Freiburg: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Hoffenheim ML
Freiburg ML moved from +128 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-4.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102o2¾-105o2¾-105o3+135-o2¾-105o3+135o2¾+107
Underu3-118u2¾-115u2¾-115u3-150-u2¾-115u2¾-115u2¾-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+125o2½-119-o3-105o2½-120o2½-119o2¾+107
Underu3-120u3-145u2½-101-u3-125u2½+100u3-125u2¾-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-121 to u2¾-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-120 to u3-145

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.0%
 
No44.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.55%
Exactly 223.20%
Exactly 416.17%
Exactly 64.51%
Exactly 80.67%
 
Exactly 116.04%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 59.35%
Exactly 71.86%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Hoffenheim
Exactly 032.41%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 220.57%
Exactly 37.73%
Exactly 42.18%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 017.11%
Exactly 130.21%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 315.69%
Exactly 46.92%
Exactly 52.44%
Exactly 60.72%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.21%
Exactly 223.50%
Exactly 43.51%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.10%
Exactly 310.49%
Exactly 50.94%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hoffenheim
Exactly 059.35%
Exactly 130.96%
Exactly 28.08%
Exactly 31.40%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 044.16%
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 214.75%
Exactly 34.02%
Exactly 40.82%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Hoffenheim
Wins by 2+ goals9.23%
Wins by 3+ goals2.71%
Wins by 4+ goals0.60%
Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals28.93%
Wins by 3+ goals12.93%
Wins by 4+ goals4.75%
Wins by 5+ goals1.45%
Wins by 6+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Hoffenheim
Freiburg
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Hoffenheim
Wins by 1 goal14.90%
Wins by 2 goals6.51%
Wins by 3 goals2.11%
Wins by 4 goals0.52%
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal23.35%
Wins by 2 goals16.00%
Wins by 3 goals8.18%
Wins by 4 goals3.30%
Wins by 5 goals1.09%
Wins by 6 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.45%5.55%
1.578.41%21.59%
2.555.22%44.78%
3.532.86%67.14%
4.516.69%83.31%
5.57.34%92.66%
6.52.84%97.16%

Total Goals Hoffenheim Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.59%32.41%
1.531.07%68.93%
2.510.50%89.50%
3.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.89%17.11%
1.552.67%47.33%
2.526.01%73.99%
3.510.32%89.68%
4.53.39%96.61%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.79%26.21%
1.538.69%61.31%
2.515.20%84.80%
3.54.71%95.29%
4.51.20%98.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

Hoffenheim
Freiburg
Score012345
0
5.55%
9.79%
8.64%
5.09%
2.24%
0.79%
1
6.25%
11.03%
9.74%
5.73%
2.53%
0.89%
2
3.52%
6.21%
5.49%
3.23%
1.42%
0.50%
3
1.32%
2.33%
2.06%
1.21%
0.53%
0.19%
4
0.37%
0.66%
0.58%
0.34%
0.15%
0.05%
Hoffenheim
1-06.25%
2-03.52%
2-16.21%
3-01.32%
3-12.33%
3-22.06%
4-00.37%
4-10.66%
4-20.58%
4-30.34%
Draw
0-05.55%
1-111.03%
2-25.49%
3-31.21%
4-40.15%
Freiburg
0-19.79%
0-28.64%
1-29.74%
0-35.09%
1-35.73%
2-33.23%
0-42.24%
1-42.53%
2-41.42%
3-40.53%
0-50.79%
1-50.89%
2-50.50%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Hoffenheim
Freiburg
Score01234
0
26.21%
21.42%
8.75%
2.39%
0.49%
1
13.67%
11.18%
4.57%
1.24%
0.25%
2
3.57%
2.91%
1.19%
0.32%
0.07%
3
0.62%
0.51%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
Hoffenheim
1-013.67%
2-03.57%
2-12.91%
3-00.62%
3-10.51%
3-20.21%
Draw
0-026.21%
1-111.18%
2-21.19%
Freiburg
0-121.42%
0-28.75%
1-24.57%
0-32.39%
1-31.24%
2-30.32%
0-40.49%
1-40.25%