Dortmund at Bayern Munich

Updated

Dortmund

18.3%19.6%62.1%
WinDrawBayern Munich Win
1.13Projected Goals 2.22
1Final Score 2

Bayern Munich

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
T 1-1 vs RB Leipzig-150
W 2-0 at Mainz 05+105
W 0-1 vs Wolfsburg-180
W 2-0 at FC Heidenheim-175
W 0-3 vs Union Berlin-233
Bayern Munich
Money Line
W 3-0 at Eintracht Frankfurt-310
W 0-4 vs Werder Bremen-1200
W 4-1 at Hoffenheim-285
W 0-5 vs Hamburger SV-1500
W 3-2 at Augsburg-330

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+625+659+675+715+715+715+715+743.2
Bayern Munich-285-271-285-275-275-275-271-243.4
Draw+460+463+435+460+460+460+463+479.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+700-+670-+600+630+670+743.2
Bayern Munich-300--290--360-280-280-243.4
Draw+465-+456-+400+460+460+479.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bayern Munich: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 30.0%
Bayern Munich: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 10.0%
Bayern Munich: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +700 to +675
Bayern Munich ML moved from -251 to -280

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bayern Munich: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 30.0%
Bayern Munich: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Bayern Munich: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +640 to +580
Bayern Munich ML moved from -275 to -290

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¾-110o3½-123o3¾+100o3¾-102o3¾-102o3¾-102o3½-123o3¾+107
Underu3¾-110u3½+104u3¾-120u3¾-118u3¾-118u3¾-118u3¾-118u3¾-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-120o3½-125o3½-125-o3½-125o3½-120o3½-120o3¾+107
Underu3½+100u3½+105u3½+105-u3½-105u3½+100u3½+105u3¾-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¾-112 to u3½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes60.4%
 
No39.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.50%
Exactly 219.66%
Exactly 418.42%
Exactly 66.90%
Exactly 81.39%
Exactly 100.17%
 
Exactly 111.73%
Exactly 321.98%
Exactly 512.35%
Exactly 73.31%
Exactly 90.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 032.32%
Exactly 136.51%
Exactly 220.61%
Exactly 37.76%
Exactly 42.19%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Bayern Munich
Exactly 010.82%
Exactly 124.06%
Exactly 226.75%
Exactly 319.83%
Exactly 411.03%
Exactly 54.90%
Exactly 61.82%
Exactly 70.58%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.17%
Exactly 225.51%
Exactly 45.12%
Exactly 60.41%
 
Exactly 132.87%
Exactly 313.20%
Exactly 51.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 059.28%
Exactly 131.00%
Exactly 28.10%
Exactly 31.41%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bayern Munich
Exactly 035.71%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.93%
Exactly 36.50%
Exactly 41.67%
Exactly 50.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals6.69%
Wins by 3+ goals1.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.41%
Bayern Munich
Wins by 2+ goals39.47%
Wins by 3+ goals20.89%
Wins by 4+ goals9.29%
Wins by 5+ goals3.51%
Wins by 6+ goals1.13%
Wins by 7+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Bayern Munich
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal11.47%
Wins by 2 goals4.78%
Wins by 3 goals1.50%
Wins by 4 goals0.36%
Bayern Munich
Wins by 1 goal22.60%
Wins by 2 goals18.58%
Wins by 3 goals11.60%
Wins by 4 goals5.78%
Wins by 5 goals2.38%
Wins by 6 goals0.83%
Wins by 7 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.50%3.50%
1.584.78%15.22%
2.565.11%34.89%
3.543.14%56.86%
4.524.72%75.28%
5.512.36%87.64%
6.55.46%94.54%
7.52.15%97.85%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.68%32.32%
1.531.17%68.83%
2.510.56%89.44%
3.52.80%97.20%

Total Goals Bayern Munich Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.18%10.82%
1.565.12%34.88%
2.538.37%61.63%
3.518.54%81.46%
4.57.51%92.49%
5.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.83%21.17%
1.545.96%54.04%
2.520.44%79.56%
3.57.24%92.76%
4.52.12%97.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Bayern Munich
Score0123456
0
3.50%
7.78%
8.65%
6.41%
3.56%
1.59%
0.59%
1
3.95%
8.78%
9.77%
7.24%
4.02%
1.79%
0.66%
2
2.23%
4.96%
5.51%
4.09%
2.27%
1.01%
0.37%
3
0.84%
1.87%
2.08%
1.54%
0.86%
0.38%
0.14%
4
0.24%
0.53%
0.59%
0.43%
0.24%
0.11%
0.04%
Dortmund
1-03.95%
2-02.23%
2-14.96%
3-00.84%
3-11.87%
3-22.08%
4-00.24%
4-10.53%
4-20.59%
4-30.43%
Draw
0-03.50%
1-18.78%
2-25.51%
3-31.54%
4-40.24%
Bayern Munich
0-17.78%
0-28.65%
1-29.77%
0-36.41%
1-37.24%
2-34.09%
0-43.56%
1-44.02%
2-42.27%
3-40.86%
0-51.59%
1-51.79%
2-51.01%
3-50.38%
4-50.11%
0-60.59%
1-60.66%
2-60.37%
3-60.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Bayern Munich
Score012345
0
21.17%
21.80%
11.22%
3.85%
0.99%
0.20%
1
11.07%
11.40%
5.87%
2.01%
0.52%
0.11%
2
2.89%
2.98%
1.53%
0.53%
0.14%
0.03%
3
0.50%
0.52%
0.27%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-011.07%
2-02.89%
2-12.98%
3-00.50%
3-10.52%
3-20.27%
Draw
0-021.17%
1-111.40%
2-21.53%
Bayern Munich
0-121.80%
0-211.22%
1-25.87%
0-33.85%
1-32.01%
2-30.53%
0-40.99%
1-40.52%
2-40.14%
0-50.20%
1-50.11%