Hoffenheim at Werder Bremen

Updated

Hoffenheim

28.0%23.5%48.5%
Hoffenheim WinDrawWerder Bremen Win
1.27Projected Goals 1.74
3Final Score 1

Werder Bremen

Last 5 Games

Hoffenheim
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Union Berlin+130
L 1-3 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+1815
T 2-2 vs Eintracht Frankfurt+225
W 3-1 at Holstein Kiel+135
L 0-5 at Bayern Munich+2300
Werder Bremen
Money Line
L 0-3 at Bayern Munich+2000
W 0-1 vs Mainz 05+136
T 2-2 at Dortmund+505
L 2-0 vs Augsburg-115
T 3-3 vs FC Heidenheim-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hoffenheim+275+293+285+313+296+313+313+327.3
Werder Bremen-115-113-115-114-117-114-113-106.1
Draw+300+292+295+285+281+285+295+298.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hoffenheim+275-+310-+245+300+310+327.3
Werder Bremen-115--120--130-120-120-106.1
Draw+300-+280-+265+290+290+298.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hoffenheim: 20.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hoffenheim: 10.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hoffenheim ML moved from +298 to +250
No Steam Moves On Werder Bremen ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hoffenheim: 20.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hoffenheim: 10.0%
Werder Bremen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Hoffenheim ML
No Steam Moves On Werder Bremen ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-118o3-108o3-108o3-110o3-107o3-110o3-107o3+100
Underu3-102u3-109u3-112u3-110u3-113u3-110u3-109u3+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3-105o3-105-o3-135o3-135o3-105o3+100
Underu3+100u3-115u3-115-u3+105u3+115u3+115u3+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¼-115 to u3-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3+105 to u3-115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes59.4%
 
No40.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.91%
Exactly 222.30%
Exactly 416.88%
Exactly 65.11%
Exactly 80.83%
 
Exactly 114.79%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.18%
Exactly 72.20%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Hoffenheim
Exactly 028.03%
Exactly 135.65%
Exactly 222.67%
Exactly 39.61%
Exactly 43.06%
Exactly 50.78%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Werder Bremen
Exactly 017.50%
Exactly 130.51%
Exactly 226.58%
Exactly 315.44%
Exactly 46.73%
Exactly 52.34%
Exactly 60.68%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.76%
Exactly 224.12%
Exactly 43.92%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.57%
Exactly 311.22%
Exactly 51.09%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hoffenheim
Exactly 055.49%
Exactly 132.68%
Exactly 29.62%
Exactly 31.89%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Werder Bremen
Exactly 044.63%
Exactly 136.01%
Exactly 214.53%
Exactly 33.91%
Exactly 40.79%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Hoffenheim
Wins by 2+ goals11.72%
Wins by 3+ goals3.88%
Wins by 4+ goals1.03%
Wins by 5+ goals0.22%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 2+ goals26.19%
Wins by 3+ goals11.46%
Wins by 4+ goals4.13%
Wins by 5+ goals1.24%
Wins by 6+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Hoffenheim
Wins by 1 goal16.24%
Wins by 2 goals7.84%
Wins by 3 goals2.85%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%
Werder Bremen
Wins by 1 goal22.25%
Wins by 2 goals14.73%
Wins by 3 goals7.33%
Wins by 4 goals2.89%
Wins by 5 goals0.94%
Wins by 6 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.09%4.91%
1.580.30%19.70%
2.558.01%41.99%
3.535.60%64.40%
4.518.72%81.28%
5.58.54%91.46%
6.53.42%96.58%
7.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Hoffenheim Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.97%28.03%
1.536.32%63.68%
2.513.65%86.35%
3.54.03%95.97%

Total Goals Werder Bremen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.50%17.50%
1.551.99%48.01%
2.525.41%74.59%
3.59.97%90.03%
4.53.24%96.76%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.24%24.76%
1.540.67%59.33%
2.516.55%83.45%
3.55.32%94.68%
4.51.41%98.59%

Score Props

Correct Score

Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
Score012345
0
4.91%
8.55%
7.45%
4.33%
1.89%
0.66%
1
6.24%
10.88%
9.48%
5.50%
2.40%
0.84%
2
3.97%
6.92%
6.03%
3.50%
1.53%
0.53%
3
1.68%
2.93%
2.55%
1.48%
0.65%
0.23%
4
0.54%
0.93%
0.81%
0.47%
0.21%
0.07%
5
0.14%
0.24%
0.21%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
Hoffenheim
1-06.24%
2-03.97%
2-16.92%
3-01.68%
3-12.93%
3-22.55%
4-00.54%
4-10.93%
4-20.81%
4-30.47%
5-00.14%
5-10.24%
5-20.21%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-04.91%
1-110.88%
2-26.03%
3-31.48%
4-40.21%
Werder Bremen
0-18.55%
0-27.45%
1-29.48%
0-34.33%
1-35.50%
2-33.50%
0-41.89%
1-42.40%
2-41.53%
3-40.65%
0-50.66%
1-50.84%
2-50.53%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
Score01234
0
24.76%
19.98%
8.06%
2.17%
0.44%
1
14.58%
11.77%
4.75%
1.28%
0.26%
2
4.29%
3.46%
1.40%
0.38%
0.08%
3
0.84%
0.68%
0.27%
0.07%
0.01%
4
0.12%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Hoffenheim
1-014.58%
2-04.29%
2-13.46%
3-00.84%
3-10.68%
3-20.27%
4-00.12%
4-10.10%
Draw
0-024.76%
1-111.77%
2-21.40%
Werder Bremen
0-119.98%
0-28.06%
1-24.75%
0-32.17%
1-31.28%
2-30.38%
0-40.44%
1-40.26%