Mainz 05 at Dortmund

Updated

Mainz 05

14.3%17.8%68.0%
WinDrawDortmund Win
1.01Projected Goals 2.39
2Final Score 2

Dortmund

Last 5 Games

Mainz 05
Money Line
L 4-1 vs VfB Stuttgart+180
L 0-3 at Eintracht Frankfurt+240
L 3-2 vs Schalke 04-150
L 0-3 at Wolfsburg+210
W 1-3 vs Bayern Munich+465
Dortmund
Money Line
W 3-0 at Augsburg-258
W 2-5 vs Borussia Monchengladbach-450
W 0-6 vs Wolfsburg-200
T 1-1 at VfL Bochum-230
W 0-4 vs Eintracht Frankfurt-170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+888+1050+1000+1100-+1100+1100+1142.3
Dortmund-385-464-500-470--470-464-391.3
Draw+591+666+700+685-+685+700+712.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+1245-+1130--+1165+1165+1142.3
Dortmund-625--567---600-567-391.3
Draw+765-+725--+755+755+712.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 40.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 10.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mainz 05 ML moved from +1088 to +1050
Dortmund ML moved from -550 to -575

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 40.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 10.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mainz 05 ML moved from +1200 to +1130
Dortmund ML moved from -575 to -600

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo4+100o4-120o4-120o4-115-o4-115o4-115o4-104
Underu4-118u4+102u4+100u4-105-u4-105u4+102u4+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo4-120o4-125o4-120-o4-130o4-125o4-120o4-104
Underu4+100u4+105u4+100-u4+100u4+105u4+105u4+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.8%
 
No42.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.33%
Exactly 219.28%
Exactly 418.59%
Exactly 67.17%
Exactly 81.48%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.33%
Exactly 321.86%
Exactly 512.65%
Exactly 73.48%
Exactly 90.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 036.43%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.57%
Exactly 36.25%
Exactly 41.58%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 09.15%
Exactly 121.88%
Exactly 226.16%
Exactly 320.86%
Exactly 412.47%
Exactly 55.97%
Exactly 62.38%
Exactly 70.81%
Exactly 80.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.70%
Exactly 225.68%
Exactly 45.31%
Exactly 60.44%
 
Exactly 132.60%
Exactly 313.48%
Exactly 51.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 062.66%
Exactly 129.29%
Exactly 26.85%
Exactly 31.07%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 033.04%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 220.26%
Exactly 37.48%
Exactly 42.07%
Exactly 50.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals4.79%
Wins by 3+ goals1.24%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%
Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals45.53%
Wins by 3+ goals25.59%
Wins by 4+ goals12.14%
Wins by 5+ goals4.90%
Wins by 6+ goals1.68%
Wins by 7+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Mainz 05
Dortmund
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal9.43%
Wins by 2 goals3.55%
Wins by 3 goals1.00%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal22.35%
Wins by 2 goals19.93%
Wins by 3 goals13.46%
Wins by 4 goals7.24%
Wins by 5 goals3.22%
Wins by 6 goals1.21%
Wins by 7 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.67%3.33%
1.585.33%14.67%
2.566.06%33.94%
3.544.20%55.80%
4.525.61%74.39%
5.512.97%87.03%
6.55.80%94.20%
7.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.57%36.43%
1.526.78%73.22%
2.58.21%91.79%
3.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.85%9.15%
1.568.98%31.02%
2.542.82%57.18%
3.521.96%78.04%
4.59.49%90.51%
5.53.52%96.48%
6.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.30%20.70%
1.546.69%53.31%
2.521.02%78.98%
3.57.54%92.46%
4.52.23%97.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Mainz 05
Dortmund
Score012345
0
3.33%
7.97%
9.53%
7.60%
4.54%
2.17%
1
3.36%
8.05%
9.62%
7.67%
4.59%
2.20%
2
1.70%
4.06%
4.86%
3.87%
2.32%
1.11%
3
0.57%
1.37%
1.64%
1.30%
0.78%
0.37%
4
0.14%
0.35%
0.41%
0.33%
0.20%
0.09%
Mainz 05
1-03.36%
2-01.70%
2-14.06%
3-00.57%
3-11.37%
3-21.64%
4-00.14%
4-10.35%
4-20.41%
4-30.33%
Draw
0-03.33%
1-18.05%
2-24.86%
3-31.30%
4-40.20%
Dortmund
0-17.97%
0-29.53%
1-29.62%
0-37.60%
1-37.67%
2-33.87%
0-44.54%
1-44.59%
2-42.32%
3-40.78%
0-52.17%
1-52.20%
2-51.11%
3-50.37%

Correct Score - First Half

Mainz 05
Dortmund
Score012345
0
20.70%
22.93%
12.69%
4.69%
1.30%
0.29%
1
9.68%
10.72%
5.93%
2.19%
0.61%
0.13%
2
2.26%
2.51%
1.39%
0.51%
0.14%
0.03%
3
0.35%
0.39%
0.22%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Mainz 05
1-09.68%
2-02.26%
2-12.51%
3-00.35%
3-10.39%
3-20.22%
Draw
0-020.70%
1-110.72%
2-21.39%
Dortmund
0-122.93%
0-212.69%
1-25.93%
0-34.69%
1-32.19%
2-30.51%
0-41.30%
1-40.61%
2-40.14%
0-50.29%
1-50.13%