Werder Bremen at Dortmund

Updated

Werder Bremen

6.1%10.6%83.3%
WinDrawDortmund Win
0.82Projected Goals 3.19
3Final Score 2

Dortmund

Last 5 Games

Werder Bremen
Money Line
T 2-2 vs VfB Stuttgart+125
T 2-2 at Wolfsburg+250
L 4-2 vs Borussia Monchengladbach+205
L 0-2 at Augsburg+205
T 0-0 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+310
Dortmund
Money Line
W 3-1 at Freiburg+130
W 0-1 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+105
W 1-2 vs Hertha BSC-185
W 3-1 at SpVgg Greuther Furth-280
L 4-3 vs VfL Bochum-230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Werder Bremen+631+615+550+620+657+620+657+622.3
Dortmund-245-240-245-235-291-235-235-211.0
Draw+417+414+420+415+444+415+444+446.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Werder Bremen+625-+662-+530+625+662+622.3
Dortmund-270--272--305-270-270-211.0
Draw+440-+426-+360+440+430+446.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Dortmund: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Werder Bremen: 20.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Werder Bremen ML moved from +659 to +615
Dortmund ML moved from -270 to -291

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Werder Bremen: 0.0%
Dortmund: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Werder Bremen: 20.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Werder Bremen ML moved from +550 to +530
No Steam Moves On Dortmund ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-106o3½+104o3½-105o3¼-113-o3¼-113o3¼-113o3½+122
Underu3½-110u3½-122u3½-115u3¼-107-u3¼-107u3½-115u3½-122
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-105o3½+105o3½+105-o3½-110o3½+105o3½+105o3½+122
Underu3½-115u3½-125u3½-125-u3½-120u3½-125u3½-120u3½-122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-115 to u3¼-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.3%
 
No46.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.82%
Exactly 214.61%
Exactly 419.54%
Exactly 610.45%
Exactly 82.99%
Exactly 100.53%
 
Exactly 17.29%
Exactly 319.51%
Exactly 515.65%
Exactly 75.98%
Exactly 91.33%
Exactly 110.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Werder Bremen
Exactly 044.44%
Exactly 136.04%
Exactly 214.61%
Exactly 33.95%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 04.10%
Exactly 113.09%
Exactly 220.91%
Exactly 322.27%
Exactly 417.79%
Exactly 511.36%
Exactly 66.05%
Exactly 72.76%
Exactly 81.10%
Exactly 90.39%
Exactly 100.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 015.65%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 47.72%
Exactly 60.88%
 
Exactly 129.03%
Exactly 316.64%
Exactly 52.86%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Werder Bremen
Exactly 068.70%
Exactly 125.79%
Exactly 24.84%
Exactly 30.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 022.78%
Exactly 133.70%
Exactly 224.92%
Exactly 312.29%
Exactly 44.54%
Exactly 51.34%
Exactly 60.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Werder Bremen
Wins by 2+ goals1.66%
Wins by 3+ goals0.35%
Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals65.81%
Wins by 3+ goals45.39%
Wins by 4+ goals27.16%
Wins by 5+ goals14.16%
Wins by 6+ goals6.47%
Wins by 7+ goals2.61%
Wins by 8+ goals0.92%
Wins by 9+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Werder Bremen
Dortmund
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Werder Bremen
Wins by 1 goal4.42%
Wins by 2 goals1.31%
Wins by 3 goals0.29%
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal17.41%
Wins by 2 goals20.42%
Wins by 3 goals18.23%
Wins by 4 goals13.00%
Wins by 5 goals7.68%
Wins by 6 goals3.86%
Wins by 7 goals1.69%
Wins by 8 goals0.65%
Wins by 9 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.18%1.82%
1.590.88%9.12%
2.576.27%23.73%
3.556.77%43.23%
4.537.23%62.77%
5.521.58%78.42%
6.511.13%88.87%
7.55.15%94.85%
8.52.15%97.85%

Total Goals Werder Bremen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.56%44.44%
1.519.51%80.49%
2.54.90%95.10%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.90%4.10%
1.582.81%17.19%
2.561.90%38.10%
3.539.63%60.37%
4.521.85%78.15%
5.510.48%89.52%
6.54.43%95.57%
7.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.35%15.65%
1.555.32%44.68%
2.528.41%71.59%
3.511.76%88.24%
4.54.05%95.95%
5.51.19%98.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

Werder Bremen
Dortmund
Score012345
0
1.82%
5.82%
9.29%
9.90%
7.90%
5.05%
1
1.48%
4.72%
7.54%
8.03%
6.41%
4.10%
2
0.60%
1.91%
3.06%
3.25%
2.60%
1.66%
3
0.16%
0.52%
0.83%
0.88%
0.70%
0.45%
Werder Bremen
1-01.48%
2-00.60%
2-11.91%
3-00.16%
3-10.52%
3-20.83%
Draw
0-01.82%
1-14.72%
2-23.06%
3-30.88%
4-40.14%
Dortmund
0-15.82%
0-29.29%
1-27.54%
0-39.90%
1-38.03%
2-33.25%
0-47.90%
1-46.41%
2-42.60%
3-40.70%
0-55.05%
1-54.10%
2-51.66%
3-50.45%

Correct Score - First Half

Werder Bremen
Dortmund
Score0123456
0
15.65%
23.15%
17.12%
8.44%
3.12%
0.92%
0.23%
1
5.88%
8.69%
6.43%
3.17%
1.17%
0.35%
0.09%
2
1.10%
1.63%
1.21%
0.60%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
3
0.14%
0.20%
0.15%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Werder Bremen
1-05.88%
2-01.10%
2-11.63%
3-00.14%
3-10.20%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-015.65%
1-18.69%
2-21.21%
Dortmund
0-123.15%
0-217.12%
1-26.43%
0-38.44%
1-33.17%
2-30.60%
0-43.12%
1-41.17%
2-40.22%
0-50.92%
1-50.35%
0-60.23%