Mainz 05 at Hamburger SV

Updated

Mainz 05

32.7%25.0%42.3%
Mainz 05 WinDrawHamburger SV Win
1.30Projected Goals 1.52
0Final Score 4

Hamburger SV

Last 5 Games

Mainz 05
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Dortmund+255
W 4-1 at Augsburg+160
L 1-0 vs RB Leipzig+145
T 1-1 at Wolfsburg+234
L 1-0 vs FC Koln-110
Hamburger SV
Money Line
T 0-0 at Union Berlin+290
W 1-2 vs FC Heidenheim-125
L 0-5 at Bayern Munich+2500
L 2-0 vs FC St. Pauli+140
T 0-0 at Borussia Monchengladbach+290

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+144+118+115+118+112+118+118+125.5
Hamburger SV+172+219+215+220+219+220+220+231.0
Draw+265+273+270+280+271+280+280+293.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Mainz 05+145-+113-+115+115+115+125.5
Hamburger SV+170-+220-+175+220+220+231.0
Draw+265-+262-+235+265+265+293.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Hamburger SV: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Hamburger SV: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Hamburger SV: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mainz 05 ML moved from +127 to +118
Hamburger SV ML moved from +235 to +220

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Hamburger SV: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Hamburger SV: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Mainz 05: 0.0%
Hamburger SV: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Mainz 05 ML moved from +125 to +110
Hamburger SV ML moved from +220 to +210

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-118o3-117o3-115o3-115o3-113o3-115o3-113o3-104
Underu2¾-102u3+100u3-105u3-105u3-107u3-105u3+100u3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-150o3-115o3-115-o3-105o3-115o3-105o3-104
Underu2½+130u3-105u3-105-u3-125u3-105u3-105u3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-115 to o3-107
The Under moved from u3-112 to u2¾-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-145 to o3+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.9%
 
No43.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.95%
Exactly 223.68%
Exactly 415.72%
Exactly 64.17%
Exactly 80.59%
 
Exactly 116.78%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 58.87%
Exactly 71.68%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 027.10%
Exactly 135.38%
Exactly 223.10%
Exactly 310.05%
Exactly 43.28%
Exactly 50.86%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Hamburger SV
Exactly 021.94%
Exactly 133.28%
Exactly 225.24%
Exactly 312.76%
Exactly 44.84%
Exactly 51.47%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.07%
Exactly 223.11%
Exactly 43.29%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.37%
Exactly 310.07%
Exactly 50.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 054.63%
Exactly 133.03%
Exactly 29.98%
Exactly 32.01%
Exactly 40.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hamburger SV
Exactly 049.55%
Exactly 134.79%
Exactly 212.22%
Exactly 32.86%
Exactly 40.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals14.24%
Wins by 3+ goals4.88%
Wins by 4+ goals1.34%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%
Hamburger SV
Wins by 2+ goals20.72%
Wins by 3+ goals8.09%
Wins by 4+ goals2.55%
Wins by 5+ goals0.63%
Wins by 6+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal18.45%
Wins by 2 goals9.36%
Wins by 3 goals3.54%
Wins by 4 goals1.05%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%
Hamburger SV
Wins by 1 goal21.43%
Wins by 2 goals12.63%
Wins by 3 goals5.55%
Wins by 4 goals1.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.05%5.95%
1.577.27%22.73%
2.553.59%46.41%
3.531.31%68.69%
4.515.58%84.42%
5.56.71%93.29%
6.52.53%97.47%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.90%27.10%
1.537.52%62.48%
2.514.42%85.58%
3.54.37%95.63%
4.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Hamburger SV Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.06%21.94%
1.544.78%55.22%
2.519.54%80.46%
3.56.78%93.22%
4.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.93%27.07%
1.537.56%62.44%
2.514.44%85.56%
3.54.38%95.62%
4.51.09%98.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
Score012345
0
5.95%
9.02%
6.84%
3.46%
1.31%
0.40%
1
7.76%
11.78%
8.93%
4.51%
1.71%
0.52%
2
5.07%
7.69%
5.83%
2.95%
1.12%
0.34%
3
2.21%
3.35%
2.54%
1.28%
0.49%
0.15%
4
0.72%
1.09%
0.83%
0.42%
0.16%
0.05%
5
0.19%
0.29%
0.22%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Mainz 05
1-07.76%
2-05.07%
2-17.69%
3-02.21%
3-13.35%
3-22.54%
4-00.72%
4-11.09%
4-20.83%
4-30.42%
5-00.19%
5-10.29%
5-20.22%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-05.95%
1-111.78%
2-25.83%
3-31.28%
4-40.16%
Hamburger SV
0-19.02%
0-26.84%
1-28.93%
0-33.46%
1-34.51%
2-32.95%
0-41.31%
1-41.71%
2-41.12%
3-40.49%
0-50.40%
1-50.52%
2-50.34%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
Score01234
0
27.07%
19.01%
6.67%
1.56%
0.27%
1
16.36%
11.49%
4.03%
0.94%
0.17%
2
4.95%
3.47%
1.22%
0.29%
0.05%
3
1.00%
0.70%
0.25%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.15%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Mainz 05
1-016.36%
2-04.95%
2-13.47%
3-01.00%
3-10.70%
3-20.25%
4-00.15%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-027.07%
1-111.49%
2-21.22%
Hamburger SV
0-119.01%
0-26.67%
1-24.03%
0-31.56%
1-30.94%
2-30.29%
0-40.27%
1-40.17%