Dortmund at Freiburg

Updated

Dortmund

55.1%22.1%22.8%
Dortmund WinDrawFreiburg Win
1.92Projected Goals 1.17

Freiburg

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Hoffenheim-155
W 2-1 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+160
T 3-3 vs VfB Stuttgart-130
T 1-1 at Hamburger SV-112
W 1-0 at Augsburg-179
Freiburg
Money Line
L 1-2 at FC Heidenheim-125
W 0-4 vs Mainz 05-130
L 2-6 at Bayern Munich+1650
W 1-2 vs FC St. Pauli-125
T 0-0 at Union Berlin+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+114-+114+117-+117+117+129.7
Freiburg+235-+235+225-+225+235+244.0
Draw+250-+250+245-+245+250+265.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund-----+129.7
Freiburg-----+244.0
Draw-----+265.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 30.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Dortmund ML
No Steam Moves On Freiburg ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-116o2½-120o2½-120-o2½-120o2½-116o2½-109
Underu2½+100u2½+104u2½+100u2½+100-u2½+100u2½+104u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-109
Under-----u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes58.8%
 
No41.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.54%
Exactly 221.71%
Exactly 417.30%
Exactly 65.51%
Exactly 80.94%
 
Exactly 114.04%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 510.70%
Exactly 72.44%
Exactly 90.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 014.57%
Exactly 128.06%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 317.36%
Exactly 48.36%
Exactly 53.22%
Exactly 61.03%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 031.17%
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 221.18%
Exactly 38.23%
Exactly 42.40%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.89%
Exactly 224.48%
Exactly 44.18%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.20%
Exactly 311.68%
Exactly 51.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 040.99%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 216.30%
Exactly 34.85%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 058.29%
Exactly 131.46%
Exactly 28.49%
Exactly 31.53%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals31.99%
Wins by 3+ goals15.19%
Wins by 4+ goals5.97%
Wins by 5+ goals1.95%
Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals8.85%
Wins by 3+ goals2.70%
Wins by 4+ goals0.66%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Freiburg
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal23.02%
Wins by 2 goals16.79%
Wins by 3 goals9.22%
Wins by 4 goals4.02%
Wins by 5 goals1.44%
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal13.93%
Wins by 2 goals6.15%
Wins by 3 goals2.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.54%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.46%4.54%
1.581.42%18.58%
2.559.71%40.29%
3.537.34%62.66%
4.520.05%79.95%
5.59.35%90.65%
6.53.84%96.16%
7.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.43%14.57%
1.557.37%42.63%
2.530.34%69.66%
3.512.99%87.01%
4.54.63%95.37%
5.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.83%31.17%
1.532.49%67.51%
2.511.32%88.68%
3.53.09%96.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.11%23.89%
1.541.91%58.09%
2.517.42%82.58%
3.55.74%94.26%
4.51.55%98.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Freiburg
Score01234
0
4.54%
5.29%
3.08%
1.20%
0.35%
1
8.75%
10.20%
5.94%
2.31%
0.67%
2
8.43%
9.82%
5.72%
2.22%
0.65%
3
5.41%
6.31%
3.68%
1.43%
0.42%
4
2.61%
3.04%
1.77%
0.69%
0.20%
5
1.00%
1.17%
0.68%
0.27%
0.08%
Dortmund
1-08.75%
2-08.43%
2-19.82%
3-05.41%
3-16.31%
3-23.68%
4-02.61%
4-13.04%
4-21.77%
4-30.69%
5-01.00%
5-11.17%
5-20.68%
5-30.27%
Draw
0-04.54%
1-110.20%
2-25.72%
3-31.43%
4-40.20%
Freiburg
0-15.29%
0-23.08%
1-25.94%
0-31.20%
1-32.31%
2-32.22%
0-40.35%
1-40.67%
2-40.65%
3-40.42%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Freiburg
Score0123
0
23.89%
12.89%
3.48%
0.63%
1
21.31%
11.50%
3.10%
0.56%
2
9.50%
5.13%
1.38%
0.25%
3
2.83%
1.53%
0.41%
0.07%
4
0.63%
0.34%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-021.31%
2-09.50%
2-15.13%
3-02.83%
3-11.53%
3-20.41%
4-00.63%
4-10.34%
5-00.11%
Draw
0-023.89%
1-111.50%
2-21.38%
Freiburg
0-112.89%
0-23.48%
1-23.10%
0-30.63%
1-30.56%
2-30.25%