Holstein Kiel at Wolfsburg

Updated

Holstein Kiel

12.7%16.8%70.6%
WinDrawWolfsburg Win
0.96Projected Goals 2.49
2Final Score 2

Wolfsburg

Last 5 Games

Holstein Kiel
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Hoffenheim+190
W 2-4 vs Dortmund+650
L 2-3 at Freiburg+560
W 1-5 vs Augsburg+262
L 1-4 at Borussia Monchengladbach+595
Wolfsburg
Money Line
L 2-3 at Bayern Munich+1600
W 1-5 vs Borussia Monchengladbach-110
W 1-0 at Hoffenheim+200
L 3-1 vs Dortmund+230
L 2-3 at Freiburg+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Holstein Kiel+500+542+475+545+534+545+545+567.9
Wolfsburg-205-214-215-213-223-213-213-191.7
Draw+380+394+400+400+396+400+400+417.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Holstein Kiel+610-+530-+560+580+580+567.9
Wolfsburg-250--220--300-240-220-191.7
Draw+410-+385-+340+400+400+417.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Holstein Kiel: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Wolfsburg: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Holstein Kiel: 0.0%
Wolfsburg: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Holstein Kiel: 0.0%
Wolfsburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Holstein Kiel ML moved from +500 to +475
Wolfsburg ML moved from -208 to -214

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Holstein Kiel: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Wolfsburg: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Holstein Kiel: 0.0%
Wolfsburg: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Holstein Kiel: 20.0%
Wolfsburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Holstein Kiel ML moved from +590 to +530
Wolfsburg ML moved from -265 to -300

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3½+114o3¼-110o3¼-110o3¼-111o3¼-110o3¼-110o3¼+100
Underu3-115u3½-134u3¼-110u3¼-110u3¼-109u3¼-110u3½-134u3¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3½+105o3½+110-o3-125o3½+110o3-125o3¼+100
Underu3-105u3½-125u3½-130-u3-105u3½-130u3½-125u3¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¼-117 to u3-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-125 to o3½-125
The Under moved from u3½+105 to u3½-130

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.8%
 
No43.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.17%
Exactly 218.88%
Exactly 418.75%
Exactly 67.45%
Exactly 81.58%
Exactly 100.21%
 
Exactly 110.94%
Exactly 321.72%
Exactly 512.94%
Exactly 73.67%
Exactly 90.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Holstein Kiel
Exactly 038.08%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.75%
Exactly 35.71%
Exactly 41.38%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Wolfsburg
Exactly 08.32%
Exactly 120.68%
Exactly 225.72%
Exactly 321.32%
Exactly 413.25%
Exactly 56.59%
Exactly 62.73%
Exactly 70.97%
Exactly 80.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.22%
Exactly 225.83%
Exactly 45.50%
Exactly 60.47%
 
Exactly 132.32%
Exactly 313.76%
Exactly 51.76%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Holstein Kiel
Exactly 063.96%
Exactly 128.59%
Exactly 26.39%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Wolfsburg
Exactly 031.62%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 220.96%
Exactly 38.04%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Holstein Kiel
Wins by 2+ goals4.09%
Wins by 3+ goals1.02%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
Wolfsburg
Wins by 2+ goals48.50%
Wins by 3+ goals28.10%
Wins by 4+ goals13.77%
Wins by 5+ goals5.75%
Wins by 6+ goals2.05%
Wins by 7+ goals0.60%
Wins by 8+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Holstein Kiel
Wolfsburg
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Holstein Kiel
Wins by 1 goal8.53%
Wins by 2 goals3.07%
Wins by 3 goals0.83%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Wolfsburg
Wins by 1 goal21.97%
Wins by 2 goals20.40%
Wins by 3 goals14.33%
Wins by 4 goals8.02%
Wins by 5 goals3.70%
Wins by 6 goals1.45%
Wins by 7 goals0.48%
Wins by 8 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.83%3.17%
1.585.90%14.10%
2.567.02%32.98%
3.545.30%54.70%
4.526.55%73.45%
5.513.61%86.39%
6.56.17%93.83%
7.52.49%97.51%

Total Goals Holstein Kiel Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.92%38.08%
1.525.15%74.85%
2.57.40%92.60%
3.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Wolfsburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.68%8.32%
1.571.00%29.00%
2.545.28%54.72%
3.523.96%76.04%
4.510.71%89.29%
5.54.11%95.89%
6.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.78%20.22%
1.547.45%52.55%
2.521.62%78.38%
3.57.86%92.14%
4.52.36%97.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Holstein Kiel
Wolfsburg
Score012345
0
3.17%
7.88%
9.79%
8.12%
5.05%
2.51%
1
3.06%
7.60%
9.46%
7.84%
4.87%
2.42%
2
1.48%
3.67%
4.56%
3.78%
2.35%
1.17%
3
0.48%
1.18%
1.47%
1.22%
0.76%
0.38%
4
0.11%
0.29%
0.35%
0.29%
0.18%
0.09%
Holstein Kiel
1-03.06%
2-01.48%
2-13.67%
3-00.48%
3-11.18%
3-21.47%
4-00.11%
4-10.29%
4-20.35%
4-30.29%
Draw
0-03.17%
1-17.60%
2-24.56%
3-31.22%
4-40.18%
Wolfsburg
0-17.88%
0-29.79%
1-29.46%
0-38.12%
1-37.84%
2-33.78%
0-45.05%
1-44.87%
2-42.35%
3-40.76%
0-52.51%
1-52.42%
2-51.17%
3-50.38%

Correct Score - First Half

Holstein Kiel
Wolfsburg
Score012345
0
20.22%
23.28%
13.40%
5.14%
1.48%
0.34%
1
9.04%
10.41%
5.99%
2.30%
0.66%
0.15%
2
2.02%
2.33%
1.34%
0.51%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.30%
0.35%
0.20%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
Holstein Kiel
1-09.04%
2-02.02%
2-12.33%
3-00.30%
3-10.35%
3-20.20%
Draw
0-020.22%
1-110.41%
2-21.34%
Wolfsburg
0-123.28%
0-213.40%
1-25.99%
0-35.14%
1-32.30%
2-30.51%
0-41.48%
1-40.66%
2-40.15%
0-50.34%
1-50.15%