Hoffenheim at Dortmund

Updated

Hoffenheim

14.7%17.3%68.0%
WinDrawDortmund Win
1.09Projected Goals 2.50
3Final Score 2

Dortmund

Last 5 Games

Hoffenheim
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Union Berlin-110
T 1-1 vs FC Koln-134
T 2-2 at Wolfsburg+225
T 1-1 vs FC Heidenheim-142
L 2-3 at Freiburg+254
Dortmund
Money Line
T 1-1 at Wolfsburg+109
W 0-3 vs Freiburg-220
T 0-0 at FC Heidenheim-105
W 1-3 vs VfL Bochum-280
W 4-0 at FC Koln-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hoffenheim+486+482+475+525+510+525+525+547.4
Dortmund-209-212-230-225-223-225-212-201.6
Draw+417+431+460+445+454+445+460+464.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hoffenheim+420-+500-+500+525+525+547.4
Dortmund-190--230--300-230-230-201.6
Draw+395-+430-+375+420+430+464.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Dortmund: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hoffenheim: 10.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hoffenheim ML moved from +509 to +499
Dortmund ML moved from -215 to -225

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Dortmund: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hoffenheim: 10.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hoffenheim ML moved from +545 to +500
Dortmund ML moved from -230 to -300

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-120o4-108o4-118o4-108o4-105o4-108o4-105o4+102
Underu3½+102u4-110u4-102u4-112u4-109u4-112u4-102u4-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-120o4+110o3½-145-o3½-130o4+100o3½-130o4+102
Underu3½+100u4-130u3½+125-u3½+100u4-120u4-120u4-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-125 to o4+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes61.0%
 
No39.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.76%
Exactly 217.78%
Exactly 419.10%
Exactly 68.21%
Exactly 81.89%
Exactly 100.27%
 
Exactly 19.91%
Exactly 321.28%
Exactly 513.71%
Exactly 74.21%
Exactly 90.75%
Exact Goals Scored - Hoffenheim
Exactly 033.56%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 220.01%
Exactly 37.28%
Exactly 41.99%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 08.22%
Exactly 120.54%
Exactly 225.66%
Exactly 321.37%
Exactly 413.35%
Exactly 56.67%
Exactly 62.78%
Exactly 70.99%
Exactly 80.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.97%
Exactly 226.21%
Exactly 46.03%
Exactly 60.56%
 
Exactly 131.54%
Exactly 314.52%
Exactly 52.01%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hoffenheim
Exactly 060.32%
Exactly 130.49%
Exactly 27.71%
Exactly 31.30%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 031.45%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 221.04%
Exactly 38.11%
Exactly 42.35%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Hoffenheim
Wins by 2+ goals5.15%
Wins by 3+ goals1.41%
Wins by 4+ goals0.29%
Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals46.21%
Wins by 3+ goals26.56%
Wins by 4+ goals12.94%
Wins by 5+ goals5.38%
Wins by 6+ goals1.91%
Wins by 7+ goals0.55%
Wins by 8+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Hoffenheim
Dortmund
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Hoffenheim
Wins by 1 goal9.47%
Wins by 2 goals3.74%
Wins by 3 goals1.12%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal21.69%
Wins by 2 goals19.66%
Wins by 3 goals13.62%
Wins by 4 goals7.56%
Wins by 5 goals3.48%
Wins by 6 goals1.36%
Wins by 7 goals0.45%
Wins by 8 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.24%2.76%
1.587.33%12.67%
2.569.55%30.45%
3.548.27%51.73%
4.529.17%70.83%
5.515.45%84.55%
6.57.25%92.75%
7.53.04%96.96%
8.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Hoffenheim Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.44%33.56%
1.529.80%70.20%
2.59.80%90.20%
3.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.78%8.22%
1.571.23%28.77%
2.545.57%54.43%
3.524.20%75.80%
4.510.86%89.14%
5.54.19%95.81%
6.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.03%18.97%
1.549.49%50.51%
2.523.28%76.72%
3.58.76%91.24%
4.52.73%97.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Hoffenheim
Dortmund
Score0123456
0
2.76%
6.89%
8.61%
7.17%
4.48%
2.24%
0.93%
1
3.01%
7.53%
9.40%
7.83%
4.89%
2.44%
1.02%
2
1.65%
4.11%
5.13%
4.27%
2.67%
1.33%
0.56%
3
0.60%
1.50%
1.87%
1.56%
0.97%
0.49%
0.20%
4
0.16%
0.41%
0.51%
0.42%
0.27%
0.13%
0.06%
Hoffenheim
1-03.01%
2-01.65%
2-14.11%
3-00.60%
3-11.50%
3-21.87%
4-00.16%
4-10.41%
4-20.51%
4-30.42%
Draw
0-02.76%
1-17.53%
2-25.13%
3-31.56%
4-40.27%
Dortmund
0-16.89%
0-28.61%
1-29.40%
0-37.17%
1-37.83%
2-34.27%
0-44.48%
1-44.89%
2-42.67%
3-40.97%
0-52.24%
1-52.44%
2-51.33%
3-50.49%
4-50.13%
0-60.93%
1-61.02%
2-60.56%
3-60.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Hoffenheim
Dortmund
Score012345
0
18.97%
21.94%
12.69%
4.89%
1.41%
0.33%
1
9.59%
11.09%
6.42%
2.47%
0.72%
0.17%
2
2.42%
2.80%
1.62%
0.63%
0.18%
0.04%
3
0.41%
0.47%
0.27%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Hoffenheim
1-09.59%
2-02.42%
2-12.80%
3-00.41%
3-10.47%
3-20.27%
Draw
0-018.97%
1-111.09%
2-21.62%
3-30.11%
Dortmund
0-121.94%
0-212.69%
1-26.42%
0-34.89%
1-32.47%
2-30.63%
0-41.41%
1-40.72%
2-40.18%
0-50.33%
1-50.17%