Freiburg at Union Berlin

Updated

Freiburg

47.2%25.3%27.5%
Freiburg WinDrawUnion Berlin Win
1.56Projected Goals 1.12
2Final Score 4

Union Berlin

Last 5 Games

Freiburg
Money Line
L 1-0 vs RB Leipzig+302
W 1-0 at FC Koln+193
W 0-4 vs Schalke 04-120
W 2-1 at Werder Bremen+168
L 1-0 vs Bayern Munich+573
Union Berlin
Money Line
L 0-1 at Augsburg+133
T 0-0 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+191
W 1-0 at Borussia Monchengladbach+200
T 1-1 vs VfL Bochum-140
L 1-2 at Dortmund+440

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+250+314+295+315+311+315+315+329.4
Union Berlin+123+107+105+110+113+110+113+117.3
Draw+226+218+220+215+219+215+220+225.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+260-+307-+255+290+307+329.4
Union Berlin+115-+106--105+110+110+117.3
Draw+225-+211-+200+215+215+225.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 50.0%
Union Berlin: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 0.0%
Union Berlin: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Freiburg ML
Union Berlin ML moved from +125 to +115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 50.0%
Union Berlin: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 0.0%
Union Berlin: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Freiburg ML moved from +271 to +260
Union Berlin ML moved from +113 to +106

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-131o2-108o2-112o2-105o2-105o2-105o2-105o2+104
Underu2+111u2-108u2-108u2-115u2-110u2-115u2-108u2-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-130o2-120o2-114-o2-120o2-120o2-114o2+104
Underu2+110u2+100u2-106-u2-110u2+100u2+100u2-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.2%
 
No46.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.88%
Exactly 224.64%
Exactly 414.71%
Exactly 63.51%
Exactly 80.45%
 
Exactly 118.42%
Exactly 321.99%
Exactly 57.88%
Exactly 71.34%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 021.15%
Exactly 132.86%
Exactly 225.52%
Exactly 313.21%
Exactly 45.13%
Exactly 51.59%
Exactly 60.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Union Berlin
Exactly 032.53%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 220.51%
Exactly 37.68%
Exactly 42.16%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.96%
Exactly 222.24%
Exactly 42.85%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.89%
Exactly 39.19%
Exactly 50.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 048.71%
Exactly 135.04%
Exactly 212.60%
Exactly 33.02%
Exactly 40.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Union Berlin
Exactly 059.45%
Exactly 130.92%
Exactly 28.04%
Exactly 31.39%
Exactly 40.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals23.98%
Wins by 3+ goals9.67%
Wins by 4+ goals3.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.80%
Union Berlin
Wins by 2+ goals10.65%
Wins by 3+ goals3.17%
Wins by 4+ goals0.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Freiburg
Union Berlin
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal23.15%
Wins by 2 goals14.31%
Wins by 3 goals6.53%
Wins by 4 goals2.34%
Wins by 5 goals0.67%
Union Berlin
Wins by 1 goal16.74%
Wins by 2 goals7.48%
Wins by 3 goals2.46%
Wins by 4 goals0.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.12%6.88%
1.574.70%25.30%
2.550.06%49.94%
3.528.07%71.93%
4.513.36%86.64%
5.55.49%94.51%
6.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.85%21.15%
1.545.99%54.01%
2.520.47%79.53%
3.57.25%92.75%
4.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals Union Berlin Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.47%32.53%
1.530.94%69.06%
2.510.43%89.57%
3.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.04%28.96%
1.535.15%64.85%
2.512.91%87.09%
3.53.73%96.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Freiburg
Union Berlin
Score012345
0
6.88%
7.73%
4.34%
1.62%
0.46%
0.10%
1
10.69%
12.00%
6.74%
2.52%
0.71%
0.16%
2
8.30%
9.32%
5.24%
1.96%
0.55%
0.12%
3
4.30%
4.83%
2.71%
1.01%
0.28%
0.06%
4
1.67%
1.87%
1.05%
0.39%
0.11%
0.02%
5
0.52%
0.58%
0.33%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Freiburg
1-010.69%
2-08.30%
2-19.32%
3-04.30%
3-14.83%
3-22.71%
4-01.67%
4-11.87%
4-21.05%
4-30.39%
5-00.52%
5-10.58%
5-20.33%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.88%
1-112.00%
2-25.24%
3-31.01%
4-40.11%
Union Berlin
0-17.73%
0-24.34%
1-26.74%
0-31.62%
1-32.52%
2-31.96%
0-40.46%
1-40.71%
2-40.55%
3-40.28%
0-50.10%
1-50.16%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Freiburg
Union Berlin
Score0123
0
28.96%
15.06%
3.92%
0.68%
1
20.83%
10.83%
2.82%
0.49%
2
7.49%
3.89%
1.01%
0.18%
3
1.80%
0.93%
0.24%
0.04%
4
0.32%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Freiburg
1-020.83%
2-07.49%
2-13.89%
3-01.80%
3-10.93%
3-20.24%
4-00.32%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-028.96%
1-110.83%
2-21.01%
Union Berlin
0-115.06%
0-23.92%
1-22.82%
0-30.68%
1-30.49%
2-30.18%