Union Berlin at St. Pauli

Updated

Union Berlin

39.7%26.3%34.0%
Union Berlin WinDrawSt. Pauli Win
1.37Projected Goals 1.24
0Final Score 3

FC St. Pauli

Last 5 Games

Union Berlin
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Mainz 05+180
L 2-0 vs Augsburg+115
L 0-2 at FC Heidenheim+130
L 1-4 at Werder Bremen+245
T 1-1 vs VfL Bochum-170
FC St. Pauli
Money Line
W 2-0 at FC Heidenheim+205
L 0-1 at VfL Bochum+185
L 1-0 vs Eintracht Frankfurt+245
W 1-0 at VfB Stuttgart+555
L 2-0 vs Werder Bremen+188

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Union Berlin+195-+220+230+224+230+230+241.6
St. Pauli+155-+135+140+134+140+140+148.4
Draw+215-+220+217+214+217+220+228.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Union Berlin+210-+218-+185+220+220+241.6
St. Pauli+145-+135-+125+140+140+148.4
Draw+215-+220-+200+210+220+228.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Union Berlin: 30.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Union Berlin: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Union Berlin: 0.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Union Berlin ML moved from +204 to +198
St. Pauli ML moved from +148 to +140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Union Berlin: 30.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Union Berlin: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Union Berlin: 0.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Union Berlin ML moved from +210 to +200
St. Pauli ML moved from +135 to +125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105-o2¼-118o2¼-114o2¼-115o2¼-114o2¼-114o2¼-104
Underu2¼-115-u2¼-102u2¼-106u2¼-105u2¼-106u2¼-102u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-145o2½+115o2½+115-o2-145o2½+115o2-145o2¼-104
Underu2+125u2½-135u2½-135-u2+115u2½-135u2½-135u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-145 to o2½+115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.0%
 
No47.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.35%
Exactly 225.04%
Exactly 414.22%
Exactly 63.23%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.19%
Exactly 321.79%
Exactly 57.42%
Exactly 71.20%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Union Berlin
Exactly 025.51%
Exactly 134.85%
Exactly 223.80%
Exactly 310.84%
Exactly 43.70%
Exactly 51.01%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 028.81%
Exactly 135.85%
Exactly 222.31%
Exactly 39.25%
Exactly 42.88%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.86%
Exactly 221.81%
Exactly 42.65%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 38.79%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Union Berlin
Exactly 053.13%
Exactly 133.60%
Exactly 210.62%
Exactly 32.24%
Exactly 40.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 056.20%
Exactly 132.38%
Exactly 29.33%
Exactly 31.79%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Union Berlin
Wins by 2+ goals18.28%
Wins by 3+ goals6.62%
Wins by 4+ goals1.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.44%
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 2+ goals14.53%
Wins by 3+ goals4.84%
Wins by 4+ goals1.29%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Union Berlin
Wins by 1 goal21.36%
Wins by 2 goals11.67%
Wins by 3 goals4.70%
Wins by 4 goals1.48%
Wins by 5 goals0.37%
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 1 goal19.46%
Wins by 2 goals9.69%
Wins by 3 goals3.55%
Wins by 4 goals1.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.65%7.35%
1.573.46%26.54%
2.548.42%51.58%
3.526.63%73.37%
4.512.40%87.60%
5.54.98%95.02%
6.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals Union Berlin Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.49%25.51%
1.539.63%60.37%
2.515.83%84.17%
3.55.00%95.00%
4.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals FC St. Pauli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.19%28.81%
1.535.34%64.66%
2.513.03%86.97%
3.53.78%96.22%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.14%29.86%
1.534.05%65.95%
2.512.24%87.76%
3.53.45%96.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
Score012345
0
7.35%
9.15%
5.69%
2.36%
0.73%
0.18%
1
10.04%
12.49%
7.77%
3.23%
1.00%
0.25%
2
6.86%
8.53%
5.31%
2.20%
0.69%
0.17%
3
3.12%
3.89%
2.42%
1.00%
0.31%
0.08%
4
1.07%
1.33%
0.83%
0.34%
0.11%
0.03%
5
0.29%
0.36%
0.23%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Union Berlin
1-010.04%
2-06.86%
2-18.53%
3-03.12%
3-13.89%
3-22.42%
4-01.07%
4-11.33%
4-20.83%
4-30.34%
5-00.29%
5-10.36%
5-20.23%
Draw
0-07.35%
1-112.49%
2-25.31%
3-31.00%
4-40.11%
FC St. Pauli
0-19.15%
0-25.69%
1-27.77%
0-32.36%
1-33.23%
2-32.20%
0-40.73%
1-41.00%
2-40.69%
3-40.31%
0-50.18%
1-50.25%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
Score01234
0
29.86%
17.21%
4.96%
0.95%
0.14%
1
18.88%
10.88%
3.13%
0.60%
0.09%
2
5.97%
3.44%
0.99%
0.19%
0.03%
3
1.26%
0.73%
0.21%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.20%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Union Berlin
1-018.88%
2-05.97%
2-13.44%
3-01.26%
3-10.73%
3-20.21%
4-00.20%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-029.86%
1-110.88%
2-20.99%
FC St. Pauli
0-117.21%
0-24.96%
1-23.13%
0-30.95%
1-30.60%
2-30.19%
0-40.14%
Eint Frankfurt at Hoffenheim
Mainz 05 at Werder Bremen