Union Berlin at Freiburg

Updated

Union Berlin

29.4%25.7%44.9%
Union Berlin WinDrawFreiburg Win
1.15Projected Goals 1.49
1Final Score 4

Freiburg

Last 5 Games

Union Berlin
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Augsburg-125
L 0-5 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+230
W 1-2 vs Borussia Monchengladbach+100
L 1-2 at VfL Bochum-114
W 0-2 vs Dortmund+185
Freiburg
Money Line
L 1-3 at RB Leipzig+360
W 0-2 vs FC Koln-155
W 2-0 at Schalke 04-115
W 0-2 vs Werder Bremen-110
L 0-5 at Bayern Munich+600

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Union Berlin+235+312+300+304+322+304+322+331.1
Freiburg+120+112+110+112+116+112+116+120.6
Draw+220+208+195+217+211+217+217+217.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Union Berlin+255-+306-+280+305+306+331.1
Freiburg+110-+105--105+110+110+120.6
Draw+240-+214-+185+205+214+217.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Union Berlin: 10.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Union Berlin: 0.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Union Berlin ML moved from +310 to +304
Freiburg ML moved from +118 to +112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Union Berlin: 10.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Union Berlin: 0.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Union Berlin ML moved from +290 to +280
Freiburg ML moved from -110 to -120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2-112o2-102o2-104o2½+164o2-104o2-102o2½+169
Underu2½-112u2-106u2-118u2-116u2½-179u2-116u2-106u2½-169
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2-120o2-118-o2-130o2-120o2-118o2½+169
Underu2½-120u2+100u2-102-u2+100u2+100u2+100u2½-169

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¼-125 to u2-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-135 to u2+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.1%
 
No46.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.10%
Exactly 224.84%
Exactly 414.48%
Exactly 63.38%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.78%
Exactly 321.90%
Exactly 57.66%
Exactly 71.28%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Union Berlin
Exactly 031.51%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 221.01%
Exactly 38.09%
Exactly 42.34%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 022.54%
Exactly 133.58%
Exactly 225.01%
Exactly 312.42%
Exactly 44.63%
Exactly 51.38%
Exactly 60.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.39%
Exactly 222.03%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 38.99%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Union Berlin
Exactly 058.58%
Exactly 131.33%
Exactly 28.38%
Exactly 31.49%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 050.17%
Exactly 134.60%
Exactly 211.93%
Exactly 32.74%
Exactly 40.47%

Alternate Props

Spread

Union Berlin
Wins by 2+ goals11.78%
Wins by 3+ goals3.67%
Wins by 4+ goals0.91%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%
Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals22.11%
Wins by 3+ goals8.61%
Wins by 4+ goals2.70%
Wins by 5+ goals0.67%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Union Berlin
Freiburg
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Union Berlin
Wins by 1 goal17.60%
Wins by 2 goals8.11%
Wins by 3 goals2.76%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal22.70%
Wins by 2 goals13.49%
Wins by 3 goals5.91%
Wins by 4 goals2.03%
Wins by 5 goals0.56%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.90%7.10%
1.574.11%25.89%
2.549.27%50.73%
3.527.37%72.63%
4.512.90%87.10%
5.55.24%94.76%
6.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Union Berlin Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.49%31.51%
1.532.10%67.90%
2.511.09%88.91%
3.53.00%97.00%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.46%22.54%
1.543.87%56.13%
2.518.86%81.14%
3.56.44%93.56%
4.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.61%29.39%
1.534.62%65.38%
2.512.59%87.41%
3.53.59%96.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Union Berlin
Freiburg
Score012345
0
7.10%
10.58%
7.88%
3.91%
1.46%
0.43%
1
8.20%
12.22%
9.10%
4.52%
1.68%
0.50%
2
4.74%
7.06%
5.26%
2.61%
0.97%
0.29%
3
1.82%
2.72%
2.02%
1.00%
0.37%
0.11%
4
0.53%
0.78%
0.58%
0.29%
0.11%
0.03%
5
0.12%
0.18%
0.13%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
Union Berlin
1-08.20%
2-04.74%
2-17.06%
3-01.82%
3-12.72%
3-22.02%
4-00.53%
4-10.78%
4-20.58%
4-30.29%
5-00.12%
5-10.18%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-07.10%
1-112.22%
2-25.26%
3-31.00%
4-40.11%
Freiburg
0-110.58%
0-27.88%
1-29.10%
0-33.91%
1-34.52%
2-32.61%
0-41.46%
1-41.68%
2-40.97%
3-40.37%
0-50.43%
1-50.50%
2-50.29%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Union Berlin
Freiburg
Score01234
0
29.39%
20.27%
6.99%
1.61%
0.28%
1
15.72%
10.84%
3.74%
0.86%
0.15%
2
4.20%
2.90%
1.00%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.75%
0.52%
0.18%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.10%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Union Berlin
1-015.72%
2-04.20%
2-12.90%
3-00.75%
3-10.52%
3-20.18%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-029.39%
1-110.84%
2-21.00%
Freiburg
0-120.27%
0-26.99%
1-23.74%
0-31.61%
1-30.86%
2-30.23%
0-40.28%
1-40.15%