Hertha BSC at Mainz 05

Updated

Hertha BSC

30.0%23.2%46.8%
Hertha BSC WinDrawMainz 05 Win
1.15Projected Goals 1.79
0Final Score 4

Mainz 05

Last 5 Games

Hertha BSC
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Arminia Bielefeld+100
T 2-2 at VfB Stuttgart+270
T 1-1 vs Augsburg-110
L 0-2 at Union Berlin+325
T 1-1 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+240
Mainz 05
Money Line
L 1-2 at Bayern Munich+1125
W 0-3 vs Wolfsburg+120
L 1-2 at VfB Stuttgart+180
T 1-1 vs FC Koln+110
T 1-1 vs Borussia Monchengladbach+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hertha BSC+350+320+340--+340+340+355.4
Mainz 05-125-110-108---108-108-101.1
Draw+255+245+247--+247+247+260.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hertha BSC+375-+325-+325+310+325+355.4
Mainz 05-130--110--150-105-105-101.1
Draw+265-+240-+240+240+240+260.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hertha BSC: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hertha BSC: 20.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hertha BSC: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hertha BSC ML moved from +310 to +295
Mainz 05 ML moved from +100 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hertha BSC: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hertha BSC: 20.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hertha BSC: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hertha BSC ML moved from +308 to +292
Mainz 05 ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2¼-118o2¼-121--o2¼-121o2¼-118o2¼-109
Underu2½-115u2¼-102u2¼+101--u2¼+101u2¼+101u2¼+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+115o2½+110-o2½+115o2½+115o2½+115o2¼-109
Underu2½-120u2½-135u2½-130-u2½-145u2½-135u2½-130u2¼+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-115 to u2½-145

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.8%
 
No43.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.31%
Exactly 222.88%
Exactly 416.43%
Exactly 64.72%
Exactly 80.73%
 
Exactly 115.58%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.65%
Exactly 71.98%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Hertha BSC
Exactly 031.79%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 220.87%
Exactly 37.97%
Exactly 42.28%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 016.70%
Exactly 129.89%
Exactly 226.75%
Exactly 315.96%
Exactly 47.14%
Exactly 52.56%
Exactly 60.76%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.68%
Exactly 223.73%
Exactly 43.65%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.91%
Exactly 310.75%
Exactly 50.99%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hertha BSC
Exactly 058.83%
Exactly 131.21%
Exactly 28.28%
Exactly 31.46%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 043.66%
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 214.99%
Exactly 34.14%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Hertha BSC
Wins by 2+ goals9.34%
Wins by 3+ goals2.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.63%
Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals29.19%
Wins by 3+ goals13.16%
Wins by 4+ goals4.88%
Wins by 5+ goals1.51%
Wins by 6+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Hertha BSC
Mainz 05
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Hertha BSC
Wins by 1 goal14.86%
Wins by 2 goals6.56%
Wins by 3 goals2.15%
Wins by 4 goals0.54%
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal23.21%
Wins by 2 goals16.03%
Wins by 3 goals8.27%
Wins by 4 goals3.38%
Wins by 5 goals1.13%
Wins by 6 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.69%5.31%
1.579.11%20.89%
2.556.23%43.77%
3.533.84%66.16%
4.517.41%82.59%
5.57.76%92.24%
6.53.04%96.96%
7.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Hertha BSC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.21%31.79%
1.531.77%68.23%
2.510.90%89.10%
3.52.93%97.07%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.30%16.70%
1.553.42%46.58%
2.526.67%73.33%
3.510.71%89.29%
4.53.57%96.43%
5.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.32%25.68%
1.539.40%60.60%
2.515.68%84.32%
3.54.92%95.08%
4.51.27%98.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Hertha BSC
Mainz 05
Score012345
0
5.31%
9.50%
8.50%
5.07%
2.27%
0.81%
1
6.08%
10.89%
9.74%
5.81%
2.60%
0.93%
2
3.49%
6.24%
5.58%
3.33%
1.49%
0.53%
3
1.33%
2.38%
2.13%
1.27%
0.57%
0.20%
4
0.38%
0.68%
0.61%
0.36%
0.16%
0.06%
Hertha BSC
1-06.08%
2-03.49%
2-16.24%
3-01.33%
3-12.38%
3-22.13%
4-00.38%
4-10.68%
4-20.61%
4-30.36%
Draw
0-05.31%
1-110.89%
2-25.58%
3-31.27%
4-40.16%
Mainz 05
0-19.50%
0-28.50%
1-29.74%
0-35.07%
1-35.81%
2-33.33%
0-42.27%
1-42.60%
2-41.49%
3-40.57%
0-50.81%
1-50.93%
2-50.53%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Hertha BSC
Mainz 05
Score01234
0
25.68%
21.29%
8.82%
2.44%
0.50%
1
13.63%
11.29%
4.68%
1.29%
0.27%
2
3.61%
3.00%
1.24%
0.34%
0.07%
3
0.64%
0.53%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
Hertha BSC
1-013.63%
2-03.61%
2-13.00%
3-00.64%
3-10.53%
3-20.22%
Draw
0-025.68%
1-111.29%
2-21.24%
Mainz 05
0-121.29%
0-28.82%
1-24.68%
0-32.44%
1-31.29%
2-30.34%
0-40.50%
1-40.27%