Hoffenheim at Freiburg

Updated

Hoffenheim

26.9%23.8%49.3%
Hoffenheim WinDrawFreiburg Win
1.21Projected Goals 1.71
1Final Score 2

Freiburg

Last 5 Games

Hoffenheim
Money Line
L 0-1 at Mainz 05+305
L 1-0 vs Dortmund+356
L 0-1 at Augsburg+155
L 3-1 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+170
L 2-5 at VfL Bochum+150
Freiburg
Money Line
T 0-0 at Borussia Monchengladbach+198
T 1-1 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen+130
W 2-0 at VfL Bochum+148
W 1-2 vs VfB Stuttgart+105
L 1-5 at Dortmund+399

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hoffenheim+260+334+310+335+334+335+335+350.2
Freiburg+100-118-120-117-115-117-115-108.7
Draw+270+272+275+276+278+276+278+289.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hoffenheim+285-+334-+280+335+335+350.2
Freiburg-105--125--130-120-120-108.7
Draw+260-+275-+235+265+275+289.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hoffenheim: 20.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hoffenheim ML moved from +320 to +310
Freiburg ML moved from +101 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hoffenheim: 20.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Freiburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hoffenheim ML moved from +265 to +255
Freiburg ML moved from -115 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o2½-120o2½-115o2½-119o2½-117o2½-119o2½-115o2½-108
Underu2¾-115u2½+102u2½-105u2½-101u2½+102u2½-101u2½+102u2½+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-135o2½-125o2½-122-o2½-125o2½-120o2½-120o2½-108
Underu2½+115u2½+105u2½+102-u2½-105u2½+100u2½+105u2½+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.4%
 
No42.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.39%
Exactly 222.99%
Exactly 416.34%
Exactly 64.64%
Exactly 80.71%
 
Exactly 115.75%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.54%
Exactly 71.94%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Hoffenheim
Exactly 029.95%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 221.77%
Exactly 38.75%
Exactly 42.64%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 018.00%
Exactly 130.87%
Exactly 226.46%
Exactly 315.13%
Exactly 46.48%
Exactly 52.22%
Exactly 60.64%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.87%
Exactly 223.65%
Exactly 43.60%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.98%
Exactly 310.66%
Exactly 50.97%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hoffenheim
Exactly 057.22%
Exactly 131.94%
Exactly 28.92%
Exactly 31.66%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 045.21%
Exactly 135.89%
Exactly 214.25%
Exactly 33.77%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Hoffenheim
Wins by 2+ goals10.88%
Wins by 3+ goals3.46%
Wins by 4+ goals0.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%
Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals26.55%
Wins by 3+ goals11.53%
Wins by 4+ goals4.12%
Wins by 5+ goals1.22%
Wins by 6+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Hoffenheim
Freiburg
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Hoffenheim
Wins by 1 goal15.98%
Wins by 2 goals7.42%
Wins by 3 goals2.58%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal22.72%
Wins by 2 goals15.01%
Wins by 3 goals7.42%
Wins by 4 goals2.90%
Wins by 5 goals0.93%
Wins by 6 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.61%5.39%
1.578.86%21.14%
2.555.87%44.13%
3.533.49%66.51%
4.517.15%82.85%
5.57.61%92.39%
6.52.97%97.03%
7.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Hoffenheim Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.05%29.95%
1.533.94%66.06%
2.512.17%87.83%
3.53.43%96.57%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.00%18.00%
1.551.13%48.87%
2.524.67%75.33%
3.59.54%90.46%
4.53.06%96.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.13%25.87%
1.539.15%60.85%
2.515.51%84.49%
3.54.85%95.15%
4.51.24%98.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Hoffenheim
Freiburg
Score012345
0
5.39%
9.24%
7.93%
4.53%
1.94%
0.67%
1
6.50%
11.15%
9.56%
5.46%
2.34%
0.80%
2
3.92%
6.72%
5.76%
3.29%
1.41%
0.48%
3
1.57%
2.70%
2.32%
1.32%
0.57%
0.19%
4
0.47%
0.81%
0.70%
0.40%
0.17%
0.06%
5
0.11%
0.20%
0.17%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
Hoffenheim
1-06.50%
2-03.92%
2-16.72%
3-01.57%
3-12.70%
3-22.32%
4-00.47%
4-10.81%
4-20.70%
4-30.40%
5-00.11%
5-10.20%
5-20.17%
Draw
0-05.39%
1-111.15%
2-25.76%
3-31.32%
4-40.17%
Freiburg
0-19.24%
0-27.93%
1-29.56%
0-34.53%
1-35.46%
2-33.29%
0-41.94%
1-42.34%
2-41.41%
3-40.57%
0-50.67%
1-50.80%
2-50.48%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Hoffenheim
Freiburg
Score01234
0
25.87%
20.54%
8.15%
2.16%
0.43%
1
14.44%
11.46%
4.55%
1.20%
0.24%
2
4.03%
3.20%
1.27%
0.34%
0.07%
3
0.75%
0.60%
0.24%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.10%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Hoffenheim
1-014.44%
2-04.03%
2-13.20%
3-00.75%
3-10.60%
3-20.24%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-025.87%
1-111.46%
2-21.27%
Freiburg
0-120.54%
0-28.15%
1-24.55%
0-32.16%
1-31.20%
2-30.34%
0-40.43%
1-40.24%