Union Berlin at Mainz 05

Updated

Union Berlin

21.9%23.3%54.7%
Union Berlin WinDrawMainz 05 Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.77
3Final Score 1

Mainz 05

Last 5 Games

Union Berlin
Money Line
T 2-2 vs FC Koln+159
L 1-3 at RB Leipzig+525
L 2-1 vs Wolfsburg+120
L 1-3 at FC Heidenheim+155
T 1-1 vs FC St. Pauli+125
Mainz 05
Money Line
W 2-1 at FC St. Pauli+160
L 4-3 vs Bayern Munich+330
T 1-1 at Borussia Monchengladbach+215
L 1-0 vs Freiburg+128
W 2-1 at Hoffenheim+345

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Union Berlin+325+370+350+360+360+360+370+376.5
Mainz 05-125-147-150-144-144-144-144-132.4
Draw+280+320+330+338+338+338+338+353.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Union Berlin+345-+350--+330+350+376.5
Mainz 05-135--142---130-130-132.4
Draw+300-+310--+295+310+353.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Union Berlin: 20.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Union Berlin: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Union Berlin ML moved from +330 to +320
Mainz 05 ML moved from -139 to -145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Mainz 05: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Union Berlin: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Union Berlin: 0.0%
Mainz 05: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Union Berlin ML moved from +375 to +316
Mainz 05 ML moved from -127 to -142

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-7.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o3¼-114o3¼-120o3¼-118o3¼-118o3¼-118o3¼-114o3¼-107
Underu2¾-118u3¼+102u3¼+100u3¼-102u3¼-102u3¼-102u3¼+102u3¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o3-115o3½-105--o3-130o3-115o3¼-107
Underu2½+125u3-105u3½-115--u3+110u3½-115u3¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 50.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-113 to o3-135
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.5%
 
No46.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.04%
Exactly 223.79%
Exactly 415.62%
Exactly 64.10%
Exactly 80.58%
 
Exactly 116.96%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 58.77%
Exactly 71.64%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Union Berlin
Exactly 035.58%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 219.00%
Exactly 36.55%
Exactly 41.69%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Mainz 05
Exactly 016.98%
Exactly 130.11%
Exactly 226.69%
Exactly 315.77%
Exactly 46.99%
Exactly 52.48%
Exactly 60.73%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.27%
Exactly 223.02%
Exactly 43.24%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.43%
Exactly 39.97%
Exactly 50.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Union Berlin
Exactly 061.97%
Exactly 129.65%
Exactly 27.09%
Exactly 31.13%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Mainz 05
Exactly 044.01%
Exactly 136.12%
Exactly 214.83%
Exactly 34.06%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Union Berlin
Wins by 2+ goals7.87%
Wins by 3+ goals2.17%
Wins by 4+ goals0.45%
Mainz 05
Wins by 2+ goals30.64%
Wins by 3+ goals13.84%
Wins by 4+ goals5.13%
Wins by 5+ goals1.58%
Wins by 6+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Union Berlin
Mainz 05
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Union Berlin
Wins by 1 goal14.00%
Wins by 2 goals5.70%
Wins by 3 goals1.71%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%
Mainz 05
Wins by 1 goal24.03%
Wins by 2 goals16.80%
Wins by 3 goals8.70%
Wins by 4 goals3.55%
Wins by 5 goals1.19%
Wins by 6 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.96%6.04%
1.577.00%23.00%
2.553.21%46.79%
3.530.95%69.05%
4.515.33%84.67%
5.56.57%93.43%
6.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Union Berlin Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.42%35.58%
1.527.66%72.34%
2.58.66%91.34%
3.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals Mainz 05 Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.02%16.98%
1.552.91%47.09%
2.526.21%73.79%
3.510.44%89.56%
4.53.45%96.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.73%27.27%
1.537.30%62.70%
2.514.27%85.73%
3.54.30%95.70%
4.51.06%98.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Union Berlin
Mainz 05
Score012345
0
6.04%
10.71%
9.50%
5.61%
2.49%
0.88%
1
6.24%
11.07%
9.81%
5.80%
2.57%
0.91%
2
3.23%
5.72%
5.07%
3.00%
1.33%
0.47%
3
1.11%
1.97%
1.75%
1.03%
0.46%
0.16%
4
0.29%
0.51%
0.45%
0.27%
0.12%
0.04%
Union Berlin
1-06.24%
2-03.23%
2-15.72%
3-01.11%
3-11.97%
3-21.75%
4-00.29%
4-10.51%
4-20.45%
4-30.27%
Draw
0-06.04%
1-111.07%
2-25.07%
3-31.03%
4-40.12%
Mainz 05
0-110.71%
0-29.50%
1-29.81%
0-35.61%
1-35.80%
2-33.00%
0-42.49%
1-42.57%
2-41.33%
3-40.46%
0-50.88%
1-50.91%
2-50.47%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Union Berlin
Mainz 05
Score01234
0
27.27%
22.39%
9.19%
2.51%
0.52%
1
13.05%
10.71%
4.40%
1.20%
0.25%
2
3.12%
2.56%
1.05%
0.29%
0.06%
3
0.50%
0.41%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
Union Berlin
1-013.05%
2-03.12%
2-12.56%
3-00.50%
3-10.41%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-027.27%
1-110.71%
2-21.05%
Mainz 05
0-122.39%
0-29.19%
1-24.40%
0-32.51%
1-31.20%
2-30.29%
0-40.52%
1-40.25%