Brazil Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 20, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Fortaleza
Criciuma 		44.7%
26.4%		28.9%


1.26
0.89		2.15


Vasco da Gama
Fluminense 		16.2%
60.0%		23.8%
+320
-108

0.74
1.69		2.43
o2¼-122
u2½-125

Volatility Bet Value Active
Cuiaba
Gremio 		18.4%
56.7%		24.9%
+460
-147

0.79
1.61		2.40
o2¼-115
u2½-126

Volatility Bet Value Active
Corinthians
Bragantino 		21.1%
53.2%		25.7%
+285
+107

0.87
1.54		2.41
o2-133
u2¼-120

Cruzeiro
Atletico Mineiro 		10.8%
68.9%		20.3%
+338
-107

0.61
1.93		2.54
o2-127
u2+107

Games for Apr 19, 2024
Games for Apr 21, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo RJ		22.2%
50.3%		27.5%
+400
-129

0
1		-0.61052-0.68635
Sao Paulo
Flamengo		14.3%
65.4%		20.3%
+480
-139

1
2		-0.57327-0.42427
Internacional
Palmeiras		14.8%
63.2%		21.9%
+495
-142

1
0		-1.81180-1.90764
Cruzeiro
Fortaleza		15.8%
59.3%		24.8%
+312
+101

1
1		-1.24698-1.39360
Corinthians
Juventude		42.4%
27.3%		30.3%
+145
+254

0
2		-1.28891-1.29711
Criciuma
Atletico Mineiro		7.0%
78.0%		15.0%
+735
-220

1
1		-1.51376-1.89492
Vasco da Gama
Bragantino		16.8%
60.3%		23.0%
+311
-105

1
2		-0.70556-0.50619
Athletico Paranaense
Gremio		20.3%
54.4%		25.3%
+178
+168

0
2		-1.01669-0.60824
Fluminense
Bahia		30.0%
41.6%		28.4%
+255
+116

1
2		-0.80002-0.87798
Palmeiras
Vitoria		56.5%
19.5%		24.1%
+110
+300

1
0		-0.76205-0.57169
Botafogo RJ
Cruzeiro		31.2%
36.1%		32.7%
+262
+123

2
3		-0.83945-1.01874
Gremio
Vasco da Gama		34.3%
35.6%		30.0%
+262
+126

1
2		-0.83688-1.03223
Atletico Mineiro
Corinthians		34.5%
34.8%		30.7%
+200
+164

0
0		-1.15433-1.17987
Cuiaba
Athletico Paranaense		21.8%
50.1%		28.1%
+552
-160

0
4		-0.51361-0.69115
Flamengo
Atletico Goianiense		41.5%
30.4%		28.1%
-135
+405

2
1		-0.59135-0.88056
Bragantino
Fluminense		23.6%
50.4%		26.0%
+423
-124

2
2		-1.30320-1.34715
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.61052 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.68635
-0.07583

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor is used to predict future Brazilian Serie A soccer games based on a computer formula that utilizes data from past games. These predictions don’t account for injuries, or other unknown factors that may be cause the results of the game to be swayed in one direction or another.