Chapecoense at Palmeiras

Updated

Chapecoense

7.7%15.6%76.7%
WinDrawPalmeiras Win
0.60Projected Goals 2.35
0Final Score 1

Palmeiras

Last 5 Games

Chapecoense
Money Line
L 1-2 at Cruzeiro
T 1-1 at Mirassol
L 2-1 vs Bragantino
L 1-2 at Fluminense
L 4-1 vs Botafogo RJ
Palmeiras
Money Line
W 3-0 at Flamengo
T 1-1 vs Cruzeiro
T 1-1 vs Santos
W 1-0 at Bragantino
W 0-1 vs Athletico Paranaense

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chapecoense+1100-+625+705+714+705+714+745.9
Palmeiras-460--240-255-256-255-240-216.0
Draw+525-+380+380+381+380+381+404.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chapecoense-----+745.9
Palmeiras------216.0
Draw-----+404.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chapecoense: 0.0%
Palmeiras: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chapecoense: 0.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML
No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115-o2½-138o2¾-105o2¾-106o2¾-105o2½-138o2¾+104
Underu2¾-105-u2½+114u2¾-115u2¾-113u2¾-115u2¾-113u2¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+104
Under-----u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.8%
 
No59.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.22%
Exactly 222.75%
Exactly 416.53%
Exactly 64.80%
Exactly 80.75%
 
Exactly 115.41%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.76%
Exactly 72.03%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Chapecoense
Exactly 054.93%
Exactly 132.91%
Exactly 29.86%
Exactly 31.97%
Exactly 40.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 09.50%
Exactly 122.37%
Exactly 226.32%
Exactly 320.65%
Exactly 412.15%
Exactly 55.72%
Exactly 62.24%
Exactly 70.75%
Exactly 80.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.48%
Exactly 223.81%
Exactly 43.71%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.84%
Exactly 310.85%
Exactly 51.01%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chapecoense
Exactly 075.77%
Exactly 121.02%
Exactly 22.92%
Exactly 30.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 033.63%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 219.97%
Exactly 37.25%
Exactly 41.98%
Exactly 50.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chapecoense
Wins by 2+ goals1.74%
Wins by 3+ goals0.28%
Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals53.38%
Wins by 3+ goals30.81%
Wins by 4+ goals14.86%
Wins by 5+ goals6.07%
Wins by 6+ goals2.11%
Wins by 7+ goals0.61%
Wins by 8+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Chapecoense
Palmeiras
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Chapecoense
Wins by 1 goal5.91%
Wins by 2 goals1.46%
Wins by 3 goals0.25%
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal23.24%
Wins by 2 goals22.57%
Wins by 3 goals15.95%
Wins by 4 goals8.79%
Wins by 5 goals3.96%
Wins by 6 goals1.50%
Wins by 7 goals0.49%
Wins by 8 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.78%5.22%
1.579.37%20.63%
2.556.61%43.39%
3.534.22%65.78%
4.517.69%82.31%
5.57.92%92.08%
6.53.12%96.88%
7.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Chapecoense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.545.07%54.93%
1.512.16%87.84%
2.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.50%9.50%
1.568.13%31.87%
2.541.81%58.19%
3.521.16%78.84%
4.59.01%90.99%
5.53.29%96.71%
6.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.52%25.48%
1.539.68%60.32%
2.515.86%84.14%
3.55.01%94.99%
4.51.30%98.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chapecoense
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
5.22%
12.28%
14.46%
11.34%
6.67%
3.14%
1
3.13%
7.36%
8.66%
6.80%
4.00%
1.88%
2
0.94%
2.21%
2.60%
2.04%
1.20%
0.56%
3
0.19%
0.44%
0.52%
0.41%
0.24%
0.11%
Chapecoense
1-03.13%
2-00.94%
2-12.21%
3-00.19%
3-10.44%
3-20.52%
Draw
0-05.22%
1-17.36%
2-22.60%
3-30.41%
Palmeiras
0-112.28%
0-214.46%
1-28.66%
0-311.34%
1-36.80%
2-32.04%
0-46.67%
1-44.00%
2-41.20%
3-40.24%
0-53.14%
1-51.88%
2-50.56%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Chapecoense
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
25.48%
27.77%
15.13%
5.50%
1.50%
0.33%
1
7.07%
7.70%
4.20%
1.52%
0.42%
0.09%
2
0.98%
1.07%
0.58%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
Chapecoense
1-07.07%
2-00.98%
2-11.07%
Draw
0-025.48%
1-17.70%
2-20.58%
Palmeiras
0-127.77%
0-215.13%
1-24.20%
0-35.50%
1-31.52%
2-30.21%
0-41.50%
1-40.42%
0-50.33%