Cagliari at Fiorentina

Updated

Cagliari

25.2%21.7%53.0%
Cagliari WinDrawFiorentina Win
0.91Projected Goals 1.92
0Final Score 3

Fiorentina

Last 5 Games

Cagliari
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Sampdoria+150
T 1-1 vs Venezia-120
L 0-2 at Napoli+1250
L 2-0 vs Empoli+105
T 2-2 at Lazio+620
Fiorentina
Money Line
L 0-1 at Venezia-110
L 2-1 vs Napoli+285
W 1-0 at Udinese+150
L 3-1 vs Inter+325
W 2-1 at Genoa+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cagliari+360+450+500+514+456+500+514+529.6
Fiorentina-135-170-170-173-173-170-170-161.8
Draw+300+310+325+337+306+325+337+348.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cagliari+390---+400+500+500+529.6
Fiorentina-145----175-180-175-161.8
Draw+295---+240+310+310+348.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cagliari: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cagliari: 30.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cagliari: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cagliari ML moved from +470 to +456
Fiorentina ML moved from -165 to -171

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cagliari: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cagliari: 30.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cagliari: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cagliari ML
Fiorentina ML moved from -160 to -175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2¾-108o2¾-113o2¾-110-o2¾-113o2¾-103o2¾-105
Underu2¾-108u2¾-112u2¾-107u2¾-100-u2¾-107u2¾-107u2¾+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o2½-130--o2½-150o2½-130o2½-130o2¾-105
Underu2½+125u2½+110--u2½+120u2½+110u2½+120u2¾+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.0%
 
No49.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.92%
Exactly 223.65%
Exactly 415.75%
Exactly 64.20%
Exactly 80.60%
 
Exactly 116.73%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 58.91%
Exactly 71.70%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Cagliari
Exactly 040.17%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 216.71%
Exactly 35.08%
Exactly 41.16%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 014.73%
Exactly 128.21%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 317.25%
Exactly 48.26%
Exactly 53.16%
Exactly 61.01%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.01%
Exactly 223.14%
Exactly 43.30%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.35%
Exactly 310.10%
Exactly 50.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cagliari
Exactly 065.56%
Exactly 127.68%
Exactly 25.84%
Exactly 30.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 041.20%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 216.20%
Exactly 34.79%
Exactly 41.06%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cagliari
Wins by 2+ goals5.64%
Wins by 3+ goals1.39%
Wins by 4+ goals0.26%
Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals36.23%
Wins by 3+ goals17.50%
Wins by 4+ goals6.96%
Wins by 5+ goals2.30%
Wins by 6+ goals0.62%
Wins by 7+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Cagliari
Fiorentina
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Cagliari
Wins by 1 goal11.70%
Wins by 2 goals4.24%
Wins by 3 goals1.13%
Wins by 4 goals0.23%
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal24.57%
Wins by 2 goals18.73%
Wins by 3 goals10.54%
Wins by 4 goals4.66%
Wins by 5 goals1.69%
Wins by 6 goals0.51%
Wins by 7 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.08%5.92%
1.577.35%22.65%
2.553.70%46.30%
3.531.41%68.59%
4.515.66%84.34%
5.56.75%93.25%
6.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals Cagliari Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.83%40.17%
1.523.19%76.81%
2.56.48%93.52%
3.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.27%14.73%
1.557.06%42.94%
2.530.04%69.96%
3.512.79%87.21%
4.54.53%95.47%
5.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.99%27.01%
1.537.64%62.36%
2.514.50%85.50%
3.54.40%95.60%
4.51.10%98.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cagliari
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
5.92%
11.33%
10.85%
6.93%
3.32%
1.27%
1
5.40%
10.34%
9.90%
6.32%
3.03%
1.16%
2
2.46%
4.71%
4.51%
2.88%
1.38%
0.53%
3
0.75%
1.43%
1.37%
0.88%
0.42%
0.16%
4
0.17%
0.33%
0.31%
0.20%
0.10%
0.04%
Cagliari
1-05.40%
2-02.46%
2-14.71%
3-00.75%
3-11.43%
3-21.37%
4-00.17%
4-10.33%
4-20.31%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-05.92%
1-110.34%
2-24.51%
3-30.88%
Fiorentina
0-111.33%
0-210.85%
1-29.90%
0-36.93%
1-36.32%
2-32.88%
0-43.32%
1-43.03%
2-41.38%
3-40.42%
0-51.27%
1-51.16%
2-50.53%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Cagliari
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
27.01%
23.95%
10.62%
3.14%
0.70%
0.12%
1
11.40%
10.11%
4.48%
1.33%
0.29%
0.05%
2
2.41%
2.14%
0.95%
0.28%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.34%
0.30%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Cagliari
1-011.40%
2-02.41%
2-12.14%
3-00.34%
3-10.30%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-027.01%
1-110.11%
2-20.95%
Fiorentina
0-123.95%
0-210.62%
1-24.48%
0-33.14%
1-31.33%
2-30.28%
0-40.70%
1-40.29%
0-50.12%