Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for April 27, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Milan
Juventus 		26.8%
46.7%		26.5%
+285
+112
+290
+100
1.02
1.44		2.46
o2½+102
u2½-116
o2½+105
u2½-120
Hellas Verona
Lazio 		16.4%
63.1%		20.5%
+465
-150
+440
-160
0.93
2.05		2.98
o2¼-120
u2½-122
o2½+105
u2½-125
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Apr 26, 2024
Games for Apr 28, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Roma
Udinese		40.8%
32.1%		27.1%
+292
+386

2
1		-1.40597-0.89771
Inter
Milan		37.2%
34.8%		28.0%
+107
+284
+105
+270
2
1		-0.74488-0.75683-0.99021
Bologna
Roma		14.7%
66.0%		19.3%
+265
+140
+241
+135
3
1		-1.31308-1.26723-1.91909
Atalanta
Monza		52.1%
24.1%		23.8%
-110
+325
-105
+291
2
1		-0.66530-0.70938-0.65177
Frosinone
Torino		16.9%
60.7%		22.4%
+440
-139
+415
-140
0
0		-1.36449-1.37484-1.49803
Udinese
Hellas Verona		27.9%
45.9%		26.1%
+200
+185
+195
+179
0
1		-1.06912-1.06178-0.77801
Napoli
Empoli		59.0%
18.8%		22.1%
-147
+426
-140
+400
0
1		-1.68832-1.64222-1.67052
Juventus
Cagliari		63.8%
15.1%		21.2%
-110
+375
-118
+376
2
2		-1.27261-1.26823-1.55249
Lazio
Genoa		33.0%
39.6%		27.4%
+150
+217
+155
+220
1
0		-0.94292-0.96706-1.10912
Hellas Verona
Atalanta		9.0%
76.6%		14.3%
+623
-214
+575
-210
2
2		-1.60465-1.55946-1.94156
Genoa
Fiorentina		21.6%
54.2%		24.2%
+410
-117
+375
-110
1
1		-1.28374-1.26227-1.41898
Cagliari
Inter		3.9%
86.6%		9.5%
+1700
-513
+1500
-530
2
2		-2.08901-2.06294-2.35820
Milan
Sassuolo		61.9%
17.5%		20.5%
-113
+345
-125
+325
3
3		-1.38585-1.41679-1.58392
Frosinone
Napoli		8.7%
75.9%		15.4%
+825
-290
+775
-300
2
2		-1.76873-1.75730-1.87087
Juventus
Torino		46.0%
27.1%		26.9%
+130
+287
+130
+270
0
0		-1.12479-1.12488-1.31375
Inter
Udinese		62.7%
16.1%		21.2%
-241
+740
-246
+700
2
1		-0.37452-0.38657-0.46657
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-1.40597 
Sportsbooks10-0-0 (0.500)1 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.89771
0.50826

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.