Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 1, 2022

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Torino
Napoli
7.9%
78.2%
14.0%
+462
-160

0.72
2.65
3.37
o2½-130
u2¾-120

Roma
Inter
13.6%
67.8%
18.5%
+267
+105

0.90
2.24
3.14
o2½-131
u2¾-118

Milan
Empoli
70.3%
12.0%
17.7%
-157
+450

2.30
0.83
3.13
o2½-118
u2½+102

Games for Sep 30, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Napoli
Milan
28.6%
45.4%
26.0%
+233
+137
+240
+130
2
1
-1.23248-1.27397-1.25292
Atalanta
Roma
31.9%
43.6%
24.5%
+275
+115
+260
+105
1
0
-1.34235-1.33094-1.14231
Juventus
Monza
65.5%
13.9%
20.6%
-116
+321
-125
+325
0
1
-1.47120-1.49955-1.97134
Hellas Verona
Fiorentina
28.6%
45.8%
25.6%
+355
-117
+320
-120
0
2
-0.64582-0.65857-0.78049
Lazio
Cremonese
60.1%
17.9%
22.0%
-110
+310
-120
+310
4
0
-0.67047-0.65732-0.50976
Inter
Udinese
67.2%
13.4%
19.4%
+100
+295
-110
+285
1
3
-1.39691-1.39707-2.01118
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 09/18/22
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Atalanta (5-0-2, 17 pts)18.98.710.467.26.8%58.2%25.0%0.0%
2Milan (5-0-2, 17 pts)21.56.89.774.131.4%87.2%10.0%0.0%
3Udinese (5-1-1, 16 pts)15.912.59.657.30.3%10.0%22.1%0.1%
4Napoli (4-1-2, 14 pts)20.58.09.671.020.7%77.0%16.3%0.0%
5Lazio (4-1-2, 14 pts)17.010.410.661.61.2%27.4%31.3%0.0%
6Roma (4-2-1, 13 pts)16.811.79.559.81.3%16.7%27.4%0.0%
7Inter (4-3-0, 12 pts)22.68.66.874.536.0%86.7%10.5%0.0%
8Juventus (2-1-4, 10 pts)16.89.012.262.62.3%31.8%33.1%0.0%
9Torino (3-3-1, 10 pts)13.015.49.648.70.0%0.8%4.7%4.4%
10Fiorentina (2-2-3, 9 pts)12.613.711.749.60.0%1.3%6.0%3.0%
11Sassuolo (2-2-3, 9 pts)13.013.311.750.60.0%1.6%7.4%2.0%
12Spezia (2-3-2, 8 pts)10.017.910.140.00.0%0.1%0.2%30.5%
13Salernitana (1-2-4, 7 pts)8.417.611.937.20.0%0.0%0.3%42.5%
14Empoli (1-2-4, 7 pts)8.816.912.338.80.0%0.0%0.6%33.9%
15Lecce (1-3-3, 6 pts)9.517.111.439.90.0%0.1%0.2%29.7%
16Bologna (1-3-3, 6 pts)11.215.211.645.20.0%0.7%1.9%8.9%
17Hellas Verona (1-4-2, 5 pts)12.015.310.746.70.0%0.4%2.8%8.0%
18Monza (1-5-1, 4 pts)9.219.59.336.90.0%0.0%0.0%44.6%
19Sampdoria (0-5-2, 2 pts)9.917.510.640.30.0%0.0%0.2%26.1%
20Cremonese (0-5-2, 2 pts)7.720.210.033.30.0%0.0%0.0%66.3%

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.