Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for October 25, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Cagliari
Udinese 		21.1%
54.8%		24.1%
+260
+115

0.95
1.69		2.64
o2½+102
u2½-116

Como
Torino 		15.8%
63.2%		21.1%
+200
+156

0.86
1.97		2.83
o2¼-115
u2½-126

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Oct 24, 2024
Games for Oct 26, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Monza
Hellas Verona		28.5%
44.7%		26.8%
+243
+141
+235
+140
3
0		-1.26631-1.25527-1.25439
Inter
Roma		48.4%
26.1%		25.4%
-103
+317
-115
+320
1
0		-0.70316-0.66460-0.72501
Torino
Cagliari		36.4%
34.9%		28.7%
+240
+145
+240
+139
2
3		-0.92581-0.91091-1.05314
Fiorentina
Lecce		39.5%
33.0%		27.5%
+136
+237
+138
+230
6
0		-0.88644-0.89299-0.92925
Atalanta
Venezia		58.2%
19.7%		22.1%
-198
+550
-165
+550
2
0		-0.43940-0.46860-0.54175
Napoli
Empoli		61.0%
17.4%		21.6%
-138
+456
-155
+470
1
0		-0.57104-0.54457-0.49453
Lazio
Juventus		18.0%
59.4%		22.6%
+310
+114
+295
+115
0
1		-0.77951-0.79769-0.52163
Udinese
Milan		10.4%
72.8%		16.8%
+770
-258
+780
-300
0
1		-0.35332-0.33701-0.31696
Bologna
Genoa		39.0%
33.1%		27.9%
+103
+347
+115
+326
2
2		-1.22367-1.16456-1.27679
Milan
Fiorentina		37.5%
34.9%		27.5%
+107
+273
+100
+266
1
2		-1.33408-1.34358-1.05171
Roma
Monza		47.4%
26.9%		25.7%
-102
+333
+100
+315
1
1		-1.25334-1.24765-1.35806
Parma
Bologna		22.2%
53.9%		23.8%
+283
+103
+282
-105
0
0		-1.33203-1.36156-1.43343
Empoli
Lazio		12.9%
68.4%		18.7%
+562
-161
+520
-175
1
2		-0.49905-0.50155-0.38028
Cagliari
Juventus		7.7%
77.3%		15.0%
+640
-194
+765
-254
1
1		-1.50368-1.61752-1.89752
Torino
Inter		6.1%
81.1%		12.8%
+925
-292
+980
-330
2
3		-0.32178-0.30257-0.20894
Genoa
Atalanta		13.7%
67.5%		18.8%
+675
-200
+650
-220
1
5		-0.40819-0.40386-0.39269
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.26631 
Sportsbooks10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.25527 
DRatings10-1-0 (0.000)0-1.25439
0.01192
0.00088

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.