Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 14, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atalanta
Inter 		16.9%
62.9%		20.2%
+515
-182
+495
-198
1.00
2.10		3.10
o3+101
u3-111
o3+110
u3-128
Lecce
Napoli 		8.7%
77.2%		14.1%
+935
-256
+930
-305
0.82
2.71		3.53
o2¼-110
u2¼-101
o2½+125
u2½-135
Juventus
Udinese 		62.1%
15.7%		22.2%
-182
+560
-190
+520
1.83
0.80		2.63
o2½-111
u2½+101
o2½-105
u2½-115
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Games for Mar 15, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Parma
Torino		26.4%
48.1%		25.5%
+282
+130
+295
+120
1
4		-0.86237-0.82867-0.73185
Sassuolo
Lazio		25.3%
51.9%		22.8%
+255
+127
+241
+130
1
1		-1.20815-1.19191-1.47894
Inter
Milan		41.1%
31.5%		27.4%
+143
+227
+147
+230
0
1		-1.20768-1.22095-1.15496
Roma
Genoa		47.0%
27.0%		25.9%
+106
+362
+100
+340
1
2		-1.53991-1.51873-1.30756
Parma
Fiorentina		19.6%
58.8%		21.6%
+430
-132
+410
-135
0
0		-1.32588-1.34834-1.53026
Hellas Verona
Bologna		13.3%
68.2%		18.4%
+560
-163
+480
-153
2
1		-1.91759-1.79216-2.01395
Cremonese
Lecce		23.2%
51.6%		25.2%
+277
+140
+325
+121
1
2		-0.89502-0.82508-0.66225
Pisa
Juventus		5.0%
83.7%		11.3%
+1550
-490
+1400
-485
0
4		-0.21529-0.22532-0.17846
Udinese
Atalanta		13.0%
69.7%		17.2%
+458
-135
+480
-145
2
2		-1.32201-1.33222-1.75921
Torino
Napoli		10.1%
73.2%		16.7%
+620
-172
+570
-175
1
2		-0.47933-0.50296-0.31148
Fiorentina
Udinese		43.4%
29.7%		26.9%
+142
+240
+140
+230
0
3		-1.25836-1.23533-1.21325
Bologna
Pisa		56.1%
21.1%		22.7%
-102
+375
-110
+375
1
0		-0.68778-0.66649-0.57754
Juventus
Roma		29.3%
43.5%		27.2%
+200
+165
+196
+161
3
3		-1.17516-1.17406-1.30357
Lazio
Torino		33.6%
38.3%		28.0%
+196
+196
+198
+190
0
2		-1.11139-1.10157-0.95849
Atalanta
Sassuolo		50.5%
26.3%		23.2%
+131
+245
+122
+275
1
2		-1.26383-1.33724-1.33454
Milan
Cremonese		72.6%
10.3%		17.1%
-256
+800
-205
+735
2
0		-0.35570-0.41131-0.32014
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.86237 
Sportsbooks11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.82867 
DRatings11-0-0 (1.000)0-0.73185
0.13052
0.09682

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.