Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 21, 2022

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Bologna
Hellas Verona
26.3%
51.5%
22.2%
+306
-104
+300
-110
0.97
1.88
2.85
o2½-133
u2¾-112
o2½-130
u2½+110
Games for Jan 20, 2022

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Genoa
Fiorentina
24.0%
55.9%
20.0%
+760
-238
+720
-250
0
6
-0.37378-0.38649-0.58141
Spezia
Milan
11.4%
80.8%
7.8%
+982
-325
+950
-350
2
1
-2.40495-2.40163-2.17077
Napoli
Bologna
61.4%
21.7%
17.0%
-113
+365
-120
+335
2
0
-0.64607-0.65427-0.48854
Inter
Atalanta
34.3%
40.6%
25.1%
+132
+222
+125
+215
0
0
-1.02466-1.01809-0.98564
Cagliari
Roma
16.4%
72.1%
11.5%
+818
-273
+810
-285
0
1
-0.33549-0.34969-0.32728
Empoli
Venezia
35.2%
35.7%
29.1%
+149
+195
+140
+185
1
1
-1.01524-1.01327-1.03761
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 01/17/22
#TeamWLTPtsWinChamps LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
1Inter (15-1-5, 50 pts)25.44.08.784.878.7%99.6%0.4%0.0%
2Milan (15-4-3, 48 pts)23.27.87.076.68.5%82.1%17.6%0.0%
3Napoli (14-4-4, 46 pts)22.97.57.776.27.8%85.8%13.9%0.0%
4Atalanta (12-3-6, 42 pts)21.46.510.174.32.9%71.5%27.2%0.0%
5Juventus (12-5-5, 41 pts)21.68.08.473.12.1%56.2%41.9%0.0%
6Fiorentina (11-8-2, 35 pts)16.914.46.757.40.0%0.8%15.0%0.0%
7Roma (11-9-2, 35 pts)18.813.16.162.60.0%3.1%53.3%0.0%
8Lazio (10-7-5, 35 pts)16.811.99.459.60.0%0.9%25.9%0.0%
9Torino (9-8-4, 31 pts)14.215.48.551.00.0%0.0%1.7%0.0%
10Hellas Verona (8-8-6, 30 pts)12.914.610.549.10.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%
11Empoli (8-9-5, 29 pts)11.917.09.144.90.0%0.0%0.2%0.6%
12Sassuolo (7-8-7, 28 pts)13.613.311.151.80.0%0.0%2.2%0.1%
13Bologna (8-10-3, 27 pts)12.917.67.546.20.0%0.0%0.1%0.6%
14Spezia (6-12-4, 22 pts)10.119.97.938.40.0%0.0%0.0%14.9%
15Udinese (4-8-8, 20 pts)10.215.012.943.30.0%0.0%0.1%2.8%
16Sampdoria (5-12-5, 20 pts)10.018.79.339.30.0%0.0%0.0%7.4%
17Venezia (4-11-6, 18 pts)7.520.69.932.30.0%0.0%0.0%60.4%
18Cagliari (3-12-7, 16 pts)7.519.510.933.60.0%0.0%0.0%45.0%
19Genoa (1-12-9, 12 pts)5.519.213.229.80.0%0.0%0.0%73.9%
20Salernitana (3-15-2, 11 pts)6.325.66.125.10.0%0.0%0.0%94.3%

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.