Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Fiorentina
Atalanta		16.5%
63.7%		19.8%
+470
-177
+460
-176
3
2		-1.76820-1.76055-1.80442
Inter
Hellas Verona		62.3%
16.6%		21.1%
-231
+635
-225
+580
2
2		-1.70534-1.64807-1.55490
Udinese
Frosinone		37.8%
33.7%		28.5%
+213
+162
+200
+155
1
0		-1.15461-1.14263-0.97299
Sassuolo
Lazio		16.4%
64.2%		19.4%
+815
-295
+815
-320
1
1		-1.76428-1.76387-1.63948
Roma
Empoli		52.3%
23.5%		24.1%
+225
+125
+210
+125
1
2		-0.83310-0.85477-1.44719
Torino
Atalanta		15.8%
64.6%		19.6%
+190
+150
+175
+165
0
3		-0.93491-1.00092-0.43734
Monza
Juventus		11.0%
71.0%		18.0%
+500
-187
+475
-188
0
2		-0.46248-0.47427-0.34286
Bologna
Genoa		29.1%
44.6%		26.3%
+157
+199
+158
+215
0
2		-1.11972-1.16386-0.80710
Fiorentina
Cagliari		50.3%
24.5%		25.3%
-134
+400
-140
+379
3
2		-0.57987-0.58327-0.68756
Juventus
Bologna		47.8%
26.4%		25.8%
+183
+176
+185
+170
3
3		-1.18440-1.17432-1.35507
Genoa
Roma		12.4%
69.2%		18.4%
+670
-209
+615
-205
0
1		-0.40983-0.43094-0.36868
Lazio
Inter		11.6%
70.9%		17.4%
+490
-177
+475
-180
1
1		-1.53605-1.52468-1.74583
Frosinone
Monza		16.9%
60.6%		22.4%
+135
+223
+131
+220
1
0		-0.87110-0.86398-1.77496
Empoli
Udinese		20.4%
56.3%		23.2%
+350
-101
+340
-105
1
1		-1.23193-1.22905-1.45925
Cagliari
Sassuolo		17.8%
61.2%		21.0%
+202
+150
+185
+150
2
0		-1.13445-1.08806-1.72642
Milan
Torino		36.6%
35.1%		28.2%
+212
+158
+205
+150
1
3		-0.97204-0.96063-1.04563
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.