Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for February 5, 2023

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Milan
Inter
24.8%
50.3%
24.9%
+311
+104
+300
-105
1.05
1.60
2.65
o2½+100
u2½-113
o2½-105
u2½-115
Games for Feb 4, 2023

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %
Orig.
Draw %
Closing
ML
Orig. Total
Goals
Closing
O/U
PeriodCurrent
Score
Bologna
Fiorentina
17.9%
60.8%
21.3%
+365
-121
+355
-120
2.96
o2½-105
u2½-110
o2½-105
u2½-115
1st H
45:00
1
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Udinese
Torino
22.3%
53.6%
24.0%
+228
+152
+215
+145
0
1
-0.94323-0.94819-0.62353
Napoli
Spezia
73.0%
10.7%
16.3%
-255
+871
-270
+740
3
0
-0.35193-0.36660-0.31534
Atalanta
Sassuolo
46.1%
30.0%
23.9%
-105
+297
-110
+280
0
1
-1.39776-1.38390-1.20454
Empoli
Roma
8.0%
78.4%
13.6%
+675
-195
+650
-215
0
2
-0.43114-0.43183-0.24386
Lecce
Cremonese
24.9%
50.0%
25.1%
+199
+181
+190
+165
2
0
-1.11328-1.11355-1.39179
Hellas Verona
Udinese
15.2%
64.7%
20.0%
+366
-107
+340
-115
1
1
-1.26983-1.28906-1.60739
Roma
Napoli
16.0%
64.0%
19.9%
+415
-125
+400
-130
1
2
-0.60974-0.61639-0.44572
Fiorentina
Lazio
29.0%
45.7%
25.3%
+311
+108
+300
+100
1
1
-1.25218-1.25632-1.37314
Monza
Juventus
9.7%
73.4%
16.9%
+485
-152
+530
-180
2
0
-1.79649-1.89087-2.33718
Sassuolo
Milan
8.4%
77.9%
13.8%
+608
-205
+565
-220
5
2
-1.97458-1.94400-2.47956
Sampdoria
Atalanta
8.3%
78.2%
13.5%
+1010
-301
+840
-300
0
2
-0.30753-0.33700-0.24591
Inter
Cremonese
63.1%
15.7%
21.2%
-221
+706
-225
+645
2
1
-0.39393-0.41771-0.45980
Torino
Empoli
53.2%
22.8%
24.0%
+159
+220
+140
+235
2
2
-1.15458-1.14599-1.42849
Salernitana
Lecce
22.9%
53.0%
24.1%
+405
-119
+375
-120
2
1
-1.64067-1.60699-1.47613
Spezia
Bologna
13.2%
68.7%
18.0%
+374
-109
+360
-115
0
2
-0.67229-0.67525-0.37472
Milan
Lazio
39.8%
33.6%
26.6%
+162
+184
+160
+180
0
4
-1.07561-1.07790-1.09064
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.89764 
Sportsbooks32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.89956 
DRatings32-1-0 (0.667)0-0.71447
0.18317
0.18509

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.