Italy Serie A Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Milan
Fiorentina		37.5%
34.9%		27.5%
+107
+273
+100
+266
1
2		-1.33408-1.34358-1.05171
Roma
Monza		47.4%
26.9%		25.7%
-102
+333
+100
+315
1
1		-1.25334-1.24765-1.35806
Parma
Bologna		22.2%
53.9%		23.8%
+283
+103
+282
-105
0
0		-1.33203-1.36156-1.43343
Empoli
Lazio		12.9%
68.4%		18.7%
+562
-161
+520
-175
1
2		-0.49905-0.50155-0.38028
Cagliari
Juventus		7.7%
77.3%		15.0%
+640
-194
+765
-254
1
1		-1.50368-1.61752-1.89752
Torino
Inter		6.1%
81.1%		12.8%
+925
-292
+980
-330
2
3		-0.32178-0.30257-0.20894
Genoa
Atalanta		13.7%
67.5%		18.8%
+675
-200
+650
-220
1
5		-0.40819-0.40386-0.39269
Lecce
Udinese		24.6%
50.1%		25.3%
+217
+166
+220
+160
0
1		-0.99742-0.98019-0.69111
Venezia
Hellas Verona		18.3%
59.2%		22.5%
+199
+161
+195
+155
1
2		-0.98618-0.97880-0.52416
Como
Napoli		7.5%
79.0%		13.6%
+620
-194
+600
-202
1
3		-0.42719-0.43555-0.23629
Monza
Napoli		10.0%
73.6%		16.4%
+1000
-280
+1050
-350
0
2		-0.31012-0.29070-0.30663
Fiorentina
Empoli		42.3%
30.6%		27.1%
+127
+252
+120
+240
0
0		-1.23182-1.24434-1.30586
Hellas Verona
Como		30.1%
43.3%		26.7%
+360
+110
+326
+105
2
3		-0.72439-0.73437-0.83806
Venezia
Roma		7.0%
79.7%		13.3%
+675
-207
+655
-240
1
2		-0.40148-0.39601-0.22683
Lazio
Torino		36.0%
35.5%		28.5%
+155
+215
+155
+195
3
2		-0.95797-0.97880-1.02051
Atalanta
Bologna		42.2%
32.0%		25.8%
+167
+196
+162
+191
1
1		-1.21976-1.20028-1.35352
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Italy’s Serie A features twenty teams that play a home-and-home series with the other nineteen teams in the league for a total of 38 rounds of football. Currently, the top two teams that finish in the Serie A standings qualify for the Champions League Group Stage. The third place team makes Champions League Qualifying and fourth and fifth place teams earn berths to the Europa League. The teams that place in the bottom three of the table are relegated to Italy’s Serie B.