Genoa at Milan

Updated

Genoa

6.2%12.2%81.6%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.67Projected Goals 2.81
0Final Score 2

Milan

Last 5 Games

Genoa
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Lazio+310
L 0-1 at Hellas Verona+375
W 0-1 vs Torino+200
T 0-0 at Atalanta+800
T 0-0 vs Empoli+150
Milan
Money Line
T 0-0 at Torino-115
T 0-0 vs Bologna-350
W 1-0 at Cagliari-150
W 0-1 vs Empoli-310
W 1-0 at Napoli+260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Genoa+841+750+840+854+811+840+854+873.1
Milan-300-280-270-258-310-270-258-238.0
Draw+390+400+400+403+400+400+403+418.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Genoa+1060----+850+850+873.1
Milan-315-----280-280-238.0
Draw+380----+380+380+418.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Genoa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Genoa: 0.0%
Milan: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Genoa: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Genoa ML moved from +870 to +840
Milan ML moved from -265 to -276

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Genoa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Genoa: 0.0%
Milan: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Genoa: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Genoa ML moved from +1060 to +850
No Steam Moves On Milan ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-120o2½-118o2½-118-o2½-118o2½-118o2½-109
Underu2½-105u2½+100u2½-102u2½+103-u2½-102u2½+103u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-120--o2½-120o2½-115o2½-115o2½-109
Underu2½-105u2½+100--u2½-110u2½-105u2½+100u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-122 to u2½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.7%
 
No54.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.09%
Exactly 218.68%
Exactly 418.82%
Exactly 67.58%
Exactly 81.64%
Exactly 100.22%
 
Exactly 110.75%
Exactly 321.65%
Exactly 513.08%
Exactly 73.77%
Exactly 90.63%
Exact Goals Scored - Genoa
Exactly 051.38%
Exactly 134.22%
Exactly 211.39%
Exactly 32.53%
Exactly 40.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 06.02%
Exactly 116.91%
Exactly 223.76%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 415.64%
Exactly 58.79%
Exactly 64.12%
Exactly 71.65%
Exactly 80.58%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.00%
Exactly 225.90%
Exactly 45.59%
Exactly 60.48%
 
Exactly 132.19%
Exactly 313.90%
Exactly 51.80%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Genoa
Exactly 073.47%
Exactly 122.65%
Exactly 23.49%
Exactly 30.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 027.22%
Exactly 135.42%
Exactly 223.05%
Exactly 310.00%
Exactly 43.25%
Exactly 50.85%
Exactly 60.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Genoa
Wins by 2+ goals1.46%
Wins by 3+ goals0.25%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals61.73%
Wins by 3+ goals39.87%
Wins by 4+ goals21.97%
Wins by 5+ goals10.41%
Wins by 6+ goals4.28%
Wins by 7+ goals1.52%
Wins by 8+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Genoa
Milan
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Genoa
Wins by 1 goal4.68%
Wins by 2 goals1.21%
Wins by 3 goals0.22%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal19.79%
Wins by 2 goals21.85%
Wins by 3 goals17.91%
Wins by 4 goals11.56%
Wins by 5 goals6.13%
Wins by 6 goals2.75%
Wins by 7 goals1.07%
Wins by 8 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.91%3.09%
1.586.16%13.84%
2.567.48%32.52%
3.545.83%54.17%
4.527.01%72.99%
5.513.93%86.07%
6.56.35%93.65%
7.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals Genoa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.62%51.38%
1.514.41%85.59%
2.53.01%96.99%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.98%6.02%
1.577.07%22.93%
2.553.31%46.69%
3.531.04%68.96%
4.515.40%84.60%
5.56.60%93.40%
6.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.00%20.00%
1.547.82%52.18%
2.521.91%78.09%
3.58.02%91.98%
4.52.42%97.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Genoa
Milan
Score012345
0
3.09%
8.69%
12.21%
11.44%
8.04%
4.52%
1
2.06%
5.79%
8.13%
7.62%
5.35%
3.01%
2
0.69%
1.93%
2.71%
2.54%
1.78%
1.00%
3
0.15%
0.43%
0.60%
0.56%
0.40%
0.22%
Genoa
1-02.06%
2-00.69%
2-11.93%
3-00.15%
3-10.43%
3-20.60%
Draw
0-03.09%
1-15.79%
2-22.71%
3-30.56%
Milan
0-18.69%
0-212.21%
1-28.13%
0-311.44%
1-37.62%
2-32.54%
0-48.04%
1-45.35%
2-41.78%
3-40.40%
0-54.52%
1-53.01%
2-51.00%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Genoa
Milan
Score0123456
0
20.00%
26.02%
16.93%
7.34%
2.39%
0.62%
0.13%
1
6.17%
8.02%
5.22%
2.26%
0.74%
0.19%
0.04%
2
0.95%
1.24%
0.80%
0.35%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Genoa
1-06.17%
2-00.95%
2-11.24%
Draw
0-020.00%
1-18.02%
2-20.80%
Milan
0-126.02%
0-216.93%
1-25.22%
0-37.34%
1-32.26%
2-30.35%
0-42.39%
1-40.74%
2-40.11%
0-50.62%
1-50.19%
0-60.13%