Lecce at Bologna

Updated

Lecce

16.6%20.5%62.9%
WinDrawBologna Win
0.95Projected Goals 2.06
0Final Score 4

Bologna

Last 5 Games

Lecce
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Fiorentina+265
L 1-2 at Genoa+295
L 3-0 vs Juventus+425
T 1-1 vs Cagliari+125
L 0-1 at Atalanta+810
Bologna
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Sassuolo-170
T 2-2 at Milan+422
L 1-2 at Cagliari+145
T 1-1 vs Genoa+123
L 0-3 at Udinese+125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+430+477+460+535+498+535+535+557.4
Bologna-135-145-155-150-151-150-145-137.8
Draw+268+265+280+260+276+260+280+272.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+440-+499-+405+485+499+557.4
Bologna-140--150--165-155-150-137.8
Draw+255-+250-+225+265+265+272.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bologna: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Bologna: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 20.0%
Bologna: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +472 to +466
Bologna ML moved from -144 to -150

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bologna: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Bologna: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 0.0%
Bologna: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +460 to +440
Bologna ML moved from -140 to -150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102o2½+118o2¼-112o2¼-110o2¼-107o2¼-110o2¼-107o2¼+100
Underu2¼-122u2½-140u2¼-108u2¼-110u2¼-107u2¼-110u2½-140u2¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+125o2½+115o2½+130-o2½+125o2½+125o2½+130o2¼+100
Underu2½-145u2½-135u2½-150-u2½-155u2½-145u2½-135u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.6%
 
No46.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.94%
Exactly 222.34%
Exactly 416.85%
Exactly 65.08%
Exactly 80.82%
 
Exactly 114.85%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.14%
Exactly 72.19%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Lecce
Exactly 038.58%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.50%
Exactly 35.56%
Exactly 41.32%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Bologna
Exactly 012.80%
Exactly 126.31%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 318.54%
Exactly 49.53%
Exactly 53.92%
Exactly 61.34%
Exactly 70.39%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.83%
Exactly 224.09%
Exactly 43.90%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.59%
Exactly 311.19%
Exactly 51.09%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lecce
Exactly 064.34%
Exactly 128.37%
Exactly 26.26%
Exactly 30.92%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bologna
Exactly 038.60%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.49%
Exactly 35.55%
Exactly 41.32%
Exactly 50.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lecce
Wins by 2+ goals5.50%
Wins by 3+ goals1.40%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%
Bologna
Wins by 2+ goals38.93%
Wins by 3+ goals19.78%
Wins by 4+ goals8.36%
Wins by 5+ goals2.99%
Wins by 6+ goals0.91%
Wins by 7+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Lecce
Bologna
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Lecce
Wins by 1 goal11.08%
Wins by 2 goals4.11%
Wins by 3 goals1.13%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Bologna
Wins by 1 goal23.92%
Wins by 2 goals19.15%
Wins by 3 goals11.42%
Wins by 4 goals5.37%
Wins by 5 goals2.08%
Wins by 6 goals0.68%
Wins by 7 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.06%4.94%
1.580.21%19.79%
2.557.87%42.13%
3.535.47%64.53%
4.518.62%81.38%
5.58.48%91.52%
6.53.39%96.61%
7.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Lecce Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.42%38.58%
1.524.68%75.32%
2.57.18%92.82%
3.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Bologna Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.20%12.80%
1.560.89%39.11%
2.533.85%66.15%
3.515.31%84.69%
4.55.78%94.22%
5.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.17%24.83%
1.540.57%59.43%
2.516.48%83.52%
3.55.29%94.71%
4.51.40%98.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lecce
Bologna
Score012345
0
4.94%
10.15%
10.43%
7.15%
3.68%
1.51%
1
4.70%
9.67%
9.94%
6.81%
3.50%
1.44%
2
2.24%
4.60%
4.73%
3.24%
1.67%
0.69%
3
0.71%
1.46%
1.50%
1.03%
0.53%
0.22%
4
0.17%
0.35%
0.36%
0.25%
0.13%
0.05%
Lecce
1-04.70%
2-02.24%
2-14.60%
3-00.71%
3-11.46%
3-21.50%
4-00.17%
4-10.35%
4-20.36%
4-30.25%
Draw
0-04.94%
1-19.67%
2-24.73%
3-31.03%
4-40.13%
Bologna
0-110.15%
0-210.43%
1-29.94%
0-37.15%
1-36.81%
2-33.24%
0-43.68%
1-43.50%
2-41.67%
3-40.53%
0-51.51%
1-51.44%
2-50.69%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Lecce
Bologna
Score012345
0
24.83%
23.64%
11.25%
3.57%
0.85%
0.16%
1
10.95%
10.43%
4.96%
1.57%
0.37%
0.07%
2
2.42%
2.30%
1.09%
0.35%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.36%
0.34%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Lecce
1-010.95%
2-02.42%
2-12.30%
3-00.36%
3-10.34%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-024.83%
1-110.43%
2-21.09%
Bologna
0-123.64%
0-211.25%
1-24.96%
0-33.57%
1-31.57%
2-30.35%
0-40.85%
1-40.37%
0-50.16%