Salernitana at Fiorentina

Updated

Salernitana

11.0%17.5%71.5%
WinDrawFiorentina Win
0.77Projected Goals 2.28
1Final Score 2

Fiorentina

Last 5 Games

Salernitana
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Cremonese+120
W 3-1 at Lazio+575
W 0-1 vs Spezia+110
L 0-2 at Inter+950
W 1-2 vs Hellas Verona+160
Fiorentina
Money Line
W 2-0 at Sampdoria-120
W 2-1 at Spezia-110
L 4-3 vs Inter+230
T 1-1 at Lecce+110
L 4-0 vs Lazio+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Salernitana+500+499+500+545+555+545+555+571.2
Fiorentina-190-173-180-183-177-183-173-165.6
Draw+330+317+310+330+329+330+330+339.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Salernitana+500---+480+515+515+571.2
Fiorentina-185----230-190-190-165.6
Draw+325---+285+330+330+339.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Salernitana: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Salernitana: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Salernitana: 20.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Salernitana ML moved from +575 to +545
Fiorentina ML moved from -180 to -186

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Salernitana: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Salernitana: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Salernitana: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Salernitana ML moved from +525 to +515
Fiorentina ML moved from -180 to -195

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o2½-134o2¾-105o2¾-103o2½-127o2¾-103o2½-127o2½-119
Underu2½+120u2½+114u2¾-115u2¾-117u2½+112u2¾-117u2¾-115u2½+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-130--o2½-140o2½-130o2½-130o2½-119
Underu2½+110u2½+110--u2½+110u2½+110u2½+110u2½+119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.74%
Exactly 222.04%
Exactly 417.07%
Exactly 65.29%
Exactly 80.88%
 
Exactly 114.46%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.41%
Exactly 72.30%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Salernitana
Exactly 046.34%
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 213.71%
Exactly 33.51%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 010.23%
Exactly 123.33%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 320.20%
Exactly 411.51%
Exactly 55.25%
Exactly 61.99%
Exactly 70.65%
Exactly 80.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.38%
Exactly 224.28%
Exactly 44.03%
Exactly 60.27%
 
Exactly 134.41%
Exactly 311.43%
Exactly 51.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Salernitana
Exactly 070.04%
Exactly 124.94%
Exactly 24.44%
Exactly 30.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 034.80%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.38%
Exactly 36.82%
Exactly 41.80%
Exactly 50.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Salernitana
Wins by 2+ goals3.07%
Wins by 3+ goals0.65%
Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals47.93%
Wins by 3+ goals26.64%
Wins by 4+ goals12.38%
Wins by 5+ goals4.87%
Wins by 6+ goals1.63%
Wins by 7+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Salernitana
Fiorentina
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Salernitana
Wins by 1 goal7.93%
Wins by 2 goals2.42%
Wins by 3 goals0.54%
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal23.50%
Wins by 2 goals21.30%
Wins by 3 goals14.26%
Wins by 4 goals7.50%
Wins by 5 goals3.24%
Wins by 6 goals1.18%
Wins by 7 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.26%4.74%
1.580.80%19.20%
2.558.76%41.24%
3.536.37%63.63%
4.519.30%80.70%
5.58.89%91.11%
6.53.60%96.40%
7.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Salernitana Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.66%46.34%
1.518.02%81.98%
2.54.31%95.69%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.77%10.23%
1.566.44%33.56%
2.539.85%60.15%
3.519.65%80.35%
4.58.14%91.86%
5.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.62%24.38%
1.541.22%58.78%
2.516.93%83.07%
3.55.50%94.50%
4.51.47%98.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Salernitana
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
4.74%
10.81%
12.32%
9.36%
5.34%
2.43%
1
3.65%
8.31%
9.48%
7.20%
4.10%
1.87%
2
1.40%
3.20%
3.64%
2.77%
1.58%
0.72%
3
0.36%
0.82%
0.93%
0.71%
0.40%
0.18%
Salernitana
1-03.65%
2-01.40%
2-13.20%
3-00.36%
3-10.82%
3-20.93%
Draw
0-04.74%
1-18.31%
2-23.64%
3-30.71%
Fiorentina
0-110.81%
0-212.32%
1-29.48%
0-39.36%
1-37.20%
2-32.77%
0-45.34%
1-44.10%
2-41.58%
3-40.40%
0-52.43%
1-51.87%
2-50.72%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Salernitana
Fiorentina
Score012345
0
24.38%
25.73%
13.58%
4.78%
1.26%
0.27%
1
8.68%
9.16%
4.84%
1.70%
0.45%
0.09%
2
1.55%
1.63%
0.86%
0.30%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.18%
0.19%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Salernitana
1-08.68%
2-01.55%
2-11.63%
3-00.18%
3-10.19%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-024.38%
1-19.16%
2-20.86%
Fiorentina
0-125.73%
0-213.58%
1-24.84%
0-34.78%
1-31.70%
2-30.30%
0-41.26%
1-40.45%
0-50.27%