Napoli at Fiorentina

Updated

Napoli

47.0%25.0%28.0%
Napoli WinDrawFiorentina Win
1.60Projected Goals 0.96
2Final Score 0

Fiorentina

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Udinese-300
W 4-1 at Spezia-200
T 1-1 vs Cagliari-265
W 2-0 at Torino-105
W 2-5 vs Lazio+105
Fiorentina
Money Line
T 0-0 at Cagliari+235
W 0-2 vs Lazio+295
T 3-3 at Bologna+150
T 1-1 vs Juventus+525
W 2-1 at Hellas Verona+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-135-217-215-220-227-220-215-
Fiorentina+340+505+550+580+528+580+580-
Draw+315+402+380+400+384+400+402-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-230----270-245-245-
Fiorentina+425---+500+625+625-
Draw+320---+330+390+390-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from -208 to -217
Fiorentina ML moved from +575 to +550

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Fiorentina: 90.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from -230 to -270
No Steam Moves On Fiorentina ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o3¼-108o3-140o3¼-110-o3¼-110o3-140-
Underu3-130u3¼-114u3+115u3¼-110-u3¼-110u3¼-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3-125--o3-125o3-130o3-125-
Underu3-125u3+105--u3-105u3+110u3+110-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-105 to o3-125
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.2%
 
No50.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.72%
Exactly 225.32%
Exactly 413.85%
Exactly 63.03%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.77%
Exactly 321.62%
Exactly 57.10%
Exactly 71.11%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 020.07%
Exactly 132.23%
Exactly 225.88%
Exactly 313.86%
Exactly 45.56%
Exactly 51.79%
Exactly 60.48%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 038.45%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.56%
Exactly 35.60%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.54%
Exactly 221.48%
Exactly 42.52%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 38.49%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 047.54%
Exactly 135.35%
Exactly 213.14%
Exactly 33.26%
Exactly 40.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 064.24%
Exactly 128.43%
Exactly 26.29%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals27.88%
Wins by 3+ goals11.75%
Wins by 4+ goals4.03%
Wins by 5+ goals1.15%
Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals7.73%
Wins by 3+ goals2.02%
Wins by 4+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Fiorentina
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal24.67%
Wins by 2 goals16.13%
Wins by 3 goals7.71%
Wins by 4 goals2.89%
Wins by 5 goals0.88%
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal14.68%
Wins by 2 goals5.71%
Wins by 3 goals1.62%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.28%7.72%
1.572.52%27.48%
2.547.20%52.80%
3.525.57%74.43%
4.511.72%88.28%
5.54.63%95.37%
6.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.93%20.07%
1.547.70%52.30%
2.521.82%78.18%
3.57.97%92.03%
4.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.55%38.45%
1.524.80%75.20%
2.57.24%92.76%
3.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.46%30.54%
1.533.24%66.76%
2.511.75%88.25%
3.53.26%96.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Fiorentina
Score01234
0
7.72%
7.37%
3.52%
1.12%
0.27%
1
12.39%
11.84%
5.66%
1.80%
0.43%
2
9.95%
9.51%
4.55%
1.45%
0.35%
3
5.33%
5.09%
2.43%
0.78%
0.19%
4
2.14%
2.04%
0.98%
0.31%
0.07%
5
0.69%
0.66%
0.31%
0.10%
0.02%
Napoli
1-012.39%
2-09.95%
2-19.51%
3-05.33%
3-15.09%
3-22.43%
4-02.14%
4-12.04%
4-20.98%
4-30.31%
5-00.69%
5-10.66%
5-20.31%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-07.72%
1-111.84%
2-24.55%
3-30.78%
Fiorentina
0-17.37%
0-23.52%
1-25.66%
0-31.12%
1-31.80%
2-31.45%
0-40.27%
1-40.43%
2-40.35%
3-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Fiorentina
Score0123
0
30.54%
13.51%
2.99%
0.44%
1
22.71%
10.05%
2.22%
0.33%
2
8.44%
3.74%
0.83%
0.12%
3
2.09%
0.93%
0.20%
0.03%
4
0.39%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Napoli
1-022.71%
2-08.44%
2-13.74%
3-02.09%
3-10.93%
3-20.20%
4-00.39%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-030.54%
1-110.05%
2-20.83%
Fiorentina
0-113.51%
0-22.99%
1-22.22%
0-30.44%
1-30.33%
2-30.12%