Milan at Frosinone

Updated

Milan

57.9%23.3%18.8%
Milan WinDrawWin
1.76Projected Goals 0.89
3Final Score 2

Frosinone

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Bologna-140
W 3-2 at Udinese-115
W 1-3 vs Roma+110
W 3-0 at Empoli-155
W 0-1 vs Sassuolo-195
Frosinone
Money Line
T 1-1 at Hellas Verona+244
W 1-3 vs Cagliari+140
L 0-5 at Atalanta+700
L 3-2 vs Monza+160
L 1-3 at Lazio+474

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-133-135-135-132-133-132-132-122.2
Frosinone+348+365+340+369+349+369+369+385.3
Draw+306+300+300+296+303+296+303+309.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan-150--135--180-135-135-122.2
Frosinone+380-+350-+350+345+350+385.3
Draw+310-+290-+280+300+300+309.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Frosinone: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 10.0%
Frosinone: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Frosinone: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from -145 to -152
Frosinone ML moved from +375 to +369

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Frosinone: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 20.0%
Frosinone: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Frosinone: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Milan ML
Frosinone ML moved from +395 to +350

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+108o3+111o2¾-118o2¾-117o2¾-116o2¾-117o2¾-116o2¾-106
Underu3-128u3-131u2¾-102u2¾-103u2¾+100u2¾-103u3-131u2¾+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3+105o3+115-o3+100o3+110o3+115o2¾-106
Underu3-125u3-125u3-135-u3-130u3-130u3-125u2¾+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+100 to o3-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.06%
Exactly 224.81%
Exactly 414.52%
Exactly 63.40%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.72%
Exactly 321.91%
Exactly 57.70%
Exactly 71.29%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 017.20%
Exactly 130.28%
Exactly 226.65%
Exactly 315.63%
Exactly 46.88%
Exactly 52.42%
Exactly 60.71%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Frosinone
Exactly 041.05%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 216.27%
Exactly 34.83%
Exactly 41.07%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.31%
Exactly 222.07%
Exactly 42.77%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.97%
Exactly 39.03%
Exactly 50.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 044.27%
Exactly 136.07%
Exactly 214.70%
Exactly 33.99%
Exactly 40.81%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Frosinone
Exactly 066.22%
Exactly 127.30%
Exactly 25.63%
Exactly 30.77%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals32.80%
Wins by 3+ goals14.91%
Wins by 4+ goals5.55%
Wins by 5+ goals1.71%
Frosinone
Wins by 2+ goals6.06%
Wins by 3+ goals1.48%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Frosinone
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Milan
Wins by 1 goal25.07%
Wins by 2 goals17.90%
Wins by 3 goals9.36%
Wins by 4 goals3.83%
Wins by 5 goals1.28%
Frosinone
Wins by 1 goal12.68%
Wins by 2 goals4.58%
Wins by 3 goals1.21%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.94%7.06%
1.574.22%25.78%
2.549.41%50.59%
3.527.50%72.50%
4.512.98%87.02%
5.55.28%94.72%
6.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.80%17.20%
1.552.52%47.48%
2.525.87%74.13%
3.510.24%89.76%
4.53.36%96.64%

Total Goals Frosinone Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.95%41.05%
1.522.40%77.60%
2.56.13%93.87%
3.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.69%29.31%
1.534.71%65.29%
2.512.64%87.36%
3.53.62%96.38%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Frosinone
Score01234
0
7.06%
6.29%
2.80%
0.83%
0.18%
1
12.43%
11.07%
4.93%
1.46%
0.33%
2
10.94%
9.74%
4.34%
1.29%
0.29%
3
6.42%
5.71%
2.54%
0.75%
0.17%
4
2.82%
2.51%
1.12%
0.33%
0.07%
5
0.99%
0.88%
0.39%
0.12%
0.03%
Milan
1-012.43%
2-010.94%
2-19.74%
3-06.42%
3-15.71%
3-22.54%
4-02.82%
4-12.51%
4-21.12%
4-30.33%
5-00.99%
5-10.88%
5-20.39%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-07.06%
1-111.07%
2-24.34%
3-30.75%
Frosinone
0-16.29%
0-22.80%
1-24.93%
0-30.83%
1-31.46%
2-31.29%
0-40.18%
1-40.33%
2-40.29%
3-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Frosinone
Score0123
0
29.31%
12.08%
2.49%
0.34%
1
23.89%
9.85%
2.03%
0.28%
2
9.73%
4.01%
0.83%
0.11%
3
2.64%
1.09%
0.22%
0.03%
4
0.54%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
Milan
1-023.89%
2-09.73%
2-14.01%
3-02.64%
3-11.09%
3-20.22%
4-00.54%
4-10.22%
Draw
0-029.31%
1-19.85%
2-20.83%
Frosinone
0-112.08%
0-22.49%
1-22.03%
0-30.34%
1-30.28%
2-30.11%