Milan at Roma

Updated

Milan

31.5%26.6%41.9%
Milan WinDrawRoma Win
1.15Projected Goals 1.38
1Final Score 1

Roma

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Lecce-375
W 3-1 at Como+140
T 1-1 at Fiorentina+120
T 1-1 vs Genoa-215
W 1-0 at Cagliari-160
Roma
Money Line
W 2-0 at Torino-114
W 0-2 vs Sassuolo-141
W 2-0 at Lecce-133
L 0-1 at Atalanta+250
W 1-3 vs Genoa-170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+203+205+205+195+206+206+206+216.6
Roma+168+172+164+172+171+171+172+180.4
Draw+188+194+190+198+195+195+195+205.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+205-+200--+180+200+216.6
Roma+165-+163--+180+180+180.4
Draw+190-+203--+200+203+205.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Roma: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +192 to +186
Roma ML moved from +178 to +172

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Roma: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Roma: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +188 to +182
Roma ML moved from +177 to +163

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-113o2¼-102o2¼-108o2¼-108o2¼-108o2¼-108o2¼-102o2¼+102
Underu2¼-107u2¼-109u2¼-112u2¼-112u2¼-112u2¼-112u2¼-109u2¼-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120o2½+125o2½+128--o2½+120o2½+128o2¼+102
Underu2½-140u2½-145u2½-148--u2½-140u2½-140u2¼-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.3%
 
No48.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.93%
Exactly 225.47%
Exactly 413.63%
Exactly 62.92%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.10%
Exactly 321.52%
Exactly 56.91%
Exactly 71.06%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 031.42%
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 221.05%
Exactly 38.12%
Exactly 42.35%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Roma
Exactly 025.24%
Exactly 134.75%
Exactly 223.92%
Exactly 310.98%
Exactly 43.78%
Exactly 51.04%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.93%
Exactly 221.29%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 38.33%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 058.51%
Exactly 131.36%
Exactly 28.40%
Exactly 31.50%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Roma
Exactly 052.87%
Exactly 133.70%
Exactly 210.74%
Exactly 32.28%
Exactly 40.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals12.78%
Wins by 3+ goals4.02%
Wins by 4+ goals1.01%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%
Roma
Wins by 2+ goals19.56%
Wins by 3+ goals7.17%
Wins by 4+ goals2.10%
Wins by 5+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Roma
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Milan
Wins by 1 goal18.72%
Wins by 2 goals8.76%
Wins by 3 goals3.01%
Wins by 4 goals0.81%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%
Roma
Wins by 1 goal22.26%
Wins by 2 goals12.39%
Wins by 3 goals5.06%
Wins by 4 goals1.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.07%7.93%
1.571.97%28.03%
2.546.50%53.50%
3.524.98%75.02%
4.511.35%88.65%
5.54.44%95.56%
6.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.58%31.42%
1.532.20%67.80%
2.511.15%88.85%
3.53.02%96.98%

Total Goals Roma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.76%25.24%
1.540.01%59.99%
2.516.09%83.91%
3.55.11%94.89%
4.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.07%30.93%
1.532.77%67.23%
2.511.48%88.52%
3.53.15%96.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Roma
Score012345
0
7.93%
10.92%
7.52%
3.45%
1.19%
0.33%
1
9.18%
12.64%
8.70%
3.99%
1.37%
0.38%
2
5.31%
7.32%
5.04%
2.31%
0.80%
0.22%
3
2.05%
2.82%
1.94%
0.89%
0.31%
0.08%
4
0.59%
0.82%
0.56%
0.26%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.14%
0.19%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Milan
1-09.18%
2-05.31%
2-17.32%
3-02.05%
3-12.82%
3-21.94%
4-00.59%
4-10.82%
4-20.56%
4-30.26%
5-00.14%
5-10.19%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-07.93%
1-112.64%
2-25.04%
3-30.89%
Roma
0-110.92%
0-27.52%
1-28.70%
0-33.45%
1-33.99%
2-32.31%
0-41.19%
1-41.37%
2-40.80%
3-40.31%
0-50.33%
1-50.38%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Roma
Score01234
0
30.93%
19.72%
6.28%
1.34%
0.21%
1
16.58%
10.57%
3.37%
0.72%
0.11%
2
4.44%
2.83%
0.90%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.79%
0.51%
0.16%
0.03%
0.01%
4
0.11%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Milan
1-016.58%
2-04.44%
2-12.83%
3-00.79%
3-10.51%
3-20.16%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-030.93%
1-110.57%
2-20.90%
Roma
0-119.72%
0-26.28%
1-23.37%
0-31.34%
1-30.72%
2-30.19%
0-40.21%
1-40.11%