Atalanta at Roma

Updated

Atalanta

31.9%24.5%43.6%
Atalanta WinDrawRoma Win
1.32Projected Goals 1.59
1Final Score 0

Roma

Last 5 Games

Atalanta
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Cremonese-300
W 2-0 at Monza-130
W 1-3 vs Torino-115
W 1-0 at Hellas Verona-115
T 1-1 vs Milan+180
Roma
Money Line
W 2-1 at Empoli-145
L 0-4 at Udinese+100
W 0-3 vs Monza-300
T 1-1 at Juventus+215
W 0-1 vs Cremonese-400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+251+251+240+275+246+275+275+282.5
Roma+100+115+115+112+109+112+115+121.3
Draw+263+246+240+235+238+235+246+248.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+235---+245+260+260+282.5
Roma+115----115+105+105+121.3
Draw+245---+230+250+250+248.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 10.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 20.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from +260 to +245
Roma ML moved from +103 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 20.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atalanta ML
Roma ML moved from -105 to -115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o2½-110o2½-110o2½-105-o2½-105o2½-105o2½+104
Underu2¾-115u2½-108u2½-110u2½-115-u2½-115u2½-108u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-120--o2½-125o2½-115o2½-115o2½+104
Underu2½+100u2½+100--u2½-105u2½-105u2½+100u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes58.4%
 
No41.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.45%
Exactly 223.07%
Exactly 416.28%
Exactly 64.59%
Exactly 80.69%
 
Exactly 115.85%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 59.47%
Exactly 71.91%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 026.62%
Exactly 135.23%
Exactly 223.32%
Exactly 310.29%
Exactly 43.40%
Exactly 50.90%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Roma
Exactly 020.47%
Exactly 132.47%
Exactly 225.75%
Exactly 313.62%
Exactly 45.40%
Exactly 51.71%
Exactly 60.45%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.00%
Exactly 223.59%
Exactly 43.57%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 135.02%
Exactly 310.59%
Exactly 50.96%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 054.18%
Exactly 133.20%
Exactly 210.17%
Exactly 32.08%
Exactly 40.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Roma
Exactly 047.98%
Exactly 135.24%
Exactly 212.94%
Exactly 33.17%
Exactly 40.58%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals13.92%
Wins by 3+ goals4.80%
Wins by 4+ goals1.33%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%
Roma
Wins by 2+ goals22.06%
Wins by 3+ goals8.96%
Wins by 4+ goals2.98%
Wins by 5+ goals0.82%
Wins by 6+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Atalanta
Roma
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal17.95%
Wins by 2 goals9.12%
Wins by 3 goals3.47%
Wins by 4 goals1.04%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%
Roma
Wins by 1 goal21.51%
Wins by 2 goals13.10%
Wins by 3 goals5.98%
Wins by 4 goals2.16%
Wins by 5 goals0.64%
Wins by 6 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.55%5.45%
1.578.70%21.30%
2.555.63%44.37%
3.533.26%66.74%
4.516.98%83.02%
5.57.51%92.49%
6.52.92%97.08%
7.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.38%26.62%
1.538.15%61.85%
2.514.84%85.16%
3.54.55%95.45%
4.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Roma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.53%20.47%
1.547.06%52.94%
2.521.31%78.69%
3.57.69%92.31%
4.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.00%26.00%
1.538.98%61.02%
2.515.39%84.61%
3.54.80%95.20%
4.51.23%98.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atalanta
Roma
Score012345
0
5.45%
8.64%
6.85%
3.62%
1.44%
0.46%
1
7.21%
11.44%
9.07%
4.80%
1.90%
0.60%
2
4.77%
7.57%
6.00%
3.17%
1.26%
0.40%
3
2.11%
3.34%
2.65%
1.40%
0.56%
0.18%
4
0.70%
1.11%
0.88%
0.46%
0.18%
0.06%
5
0.18%
0.29%
0.23%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
Atalanta
1-07.21%
2-04.77%
2-17.57%
3-02.11%
3-13.34%
3-22.65%
4-00.70%
4-11.11%
4-20.88%
4-30.46%
5-00.18%
5-10.29%
5-20.23%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-05.45%
1-111.44%
2-26.00%
3-31.40%
4-40.18%
Roma
0-18.64%
0-26.85%
1-29.07%
0-33.62%
1-34.80%
2-33.17%
0-41.44%
1-41.90%
2-41.26%
3-40.56%
0-50.46%
1-50.60%
2-50.40%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Atalanta
Roma
Score01234
0
26.00%
19.09%
7.01%
1.72%
0.32%
1
15.93%
11.70%
4.30%
1.05%
0.19%
2
4.88%
3.59%
1.32%
0.32%
0.06%
3
1.00%
0.73%
0.27%
0.07%
0.01%
4
0.15%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Atalanta
1-015.93%
2-04.88%
2-13.59%
3-01.00%
3-10.73%
3-20.27%
4-00.15%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-026.00%
1-111.70%
2-21.32%
Roma
0-119.09%
0-27.01%
1-24.30%
0-31.72%
1-31.05%
2-30.32%
0-40.32%
1-40.19%