Napoli at Spezia

Updated

Napoli

73.0%16.3%10.7%
Napoli WinDrawWin
2.44Projected Goals 0.83
3Final Score 0

Spezia

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Roma-130
W 2-0 at Salernitana-325
W 1-5 vs Juventus+108
W 2-0 at Sampdoria-215
L 0-1 at Inter+210
Spezia
Money Line
L 0-2 at Bologna+360
L 2-0 vs Roma+435
W 1-0 at Torino+425
T 0-0 vs Lecce+150
T 2-2 vs Atalanta+355

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-235-255-280-262-260-262-255-238.4
Spezia+657+729+750+815+871+815+871+895.5
Draw+385+398+400+395+400+395+400+412.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-260----335-270-270-238.4
Spezia+700---+650+740+740+895.5
Draw+390---+345+390+390+412.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Spezia: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Spezia: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from -249 to -258
Spezia ML moved from +750 to +725

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Spezia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 10.0%
Spezia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Spezia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from -260 to -270
Spezia ML moved from +750 to +725

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+119o3+115o2¾-115o2¾-112o3+122o2¾-112o3+122o3+128
Underu3-141u3-135u2¾-105u2¾-108u3-137u2¾-108u3-135u3-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+115o3+120--o3+105o3+120o3+120o3+128
Underu3-135u3-140--u3-135u3-140u3-135u3-128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.3%
 
No48.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.81%
Exactly 220.34%
Exactly 418.10%
Exactly 66.44%
Exactly 81.23%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.45%
Exactly 322.15%
Exactly 511.83%
Exactly 73.01%
Exactly 90.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 08.69%
Exactly 121.23%
Exactly 225.93%
Exactly 321.12%
Exactly 412.89%
Exactly 56.30%
Exactly 62.56%
Exactly 70.89%
Exactly 80.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Spezia
Exactly 043.81%
Exactly 136.16%
Exactly 214.92%
Exactly 34.10%
Exactly 40.85%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.02%
Exactly 225.21%
Exactly 44.81%
Exactly 60.37%
 
Exactly 133.32%
Exactly 312.71%
Exactly 51.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 032.27%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 220.64%
Exactly 37.78%
Exactly 42.20%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Spezia
Exactly 068.24%
Exactly 126.08%
Exactly 24.98%
Exactly 30.63%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals50.44%
Wins by 3+ goals29.24%
Wins by 4+ goals14.28%
Wins by 5+ goals5.93%
Spezia
Wins by 2+ goals3.11%
Wins by 3+ goals0.69%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Spezia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal22.42%
Wins by 2 goals21.20%
Wins by 3 goals14.97%
Wins by 4 goals8.35%
Wins by 5 goals3.83%
Spezia
Wins by 1 goal7.57%
Wins by 2 goals2.42%
Wins by 3 goals0.57%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.19%3.81%
1.583.75%16.25%
2.563.41%36.59%
3.541.26%58.74%
4.523.16%76.84%
5.511.33%88.67%
6.54.89%95.11%
7.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.31%8.69%
1.570.07%29.93%
2.544.14%55.86%
3.523.02%76.98%
4.510.13%89.87%
5.53.83%96.17%
6.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Spezia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.19%43.81%
1.520.03%79.97%
2.55.11%94.89%
3.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.98%22.02%
1.544.65%55.35%
2.519.44%80.56%
3.56.73%93.27%
4.51.92%98.08%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Spezia
Score0123
0
3.81%
3.14%
1.30%
0.36%
1
9.30%
7.68%
3.17%
0.87%
2
11.36%
9.38%
3.87%
1.06%
3
9.25%
7.63%
3.15%
0.87%
4
5.65%
4.66%
1.92%
0.53%
5
2.76%
2.28%
0.94%
0.26%
Napoli
1-09.30%
2-011.36%
2-19.38%
3-09.25%
3-17.63%
3-23.15%
4-05.65%
4-14.66%
4-21.92%
4-30.53%
5-02.76%
5-12.28%
5-20.94%
5-30.26%
Draw
0-03.81%
1-17.68%
2-23.87%
3-30.87%
4-40.11%
Spezia
0-13.14%
0-21.30%
1-23.17%
0-30.36%
1-30.87%
2-31.06%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Spezia
Score0123
0
22.02%
8.42%
1.61%
0.20%
1
24.91%
9.52%
1.82%
0.23%
2
14.08%
5.38%
1.03%
0.13%
3
5.31%
2.03%
0.39%
0.05%
4
1.50%
0.57%
0.11%
0.01%
5
0.34%
0.13%
0.02%
0.00%
Napoli
1-024.91%
2-014.08%
2-15.38%
3-05.31%
3-12.03%
3-20.39%
4-01.50%
4-10.57%
4-20.11%
5-00.34%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-022.02%
1-19.52%
2-21.03%
Spezia
0-18.42%
0-21.61%
1-21.82%
0-30.20%
1-30.23%
2-30.13%