Atalanta at Lecce

Updated

Atalanta

55.1%22.2%22.7%
Atalanta WinDrawLecce Win
1.91Projected Goals 1.15
1Final Score 2

Lecce

Last 5 Games

Atalanta
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Napoli+215
W 2-0 at Empoli-130
L 2-0 vs Lazio+100
W 1-2 vs Sassuolo-150
T 2-2 at Udinese+190
Lecce
Money Line
T 1-1 at Udinese+455
L 1-0 vs Juventus+280
L 0-2 at Bologna+255
T 1-1 vs Fiorentina+275
L 1-2 at Roma+650

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta-125+130+130+128+133+128+133+138.8
Lecce+330+244+230+245+257+245+257+265.8
Draw+270+219+205+227+217+227+227+224.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta-115----120+120+120+138.8
Lecce+335---+270+250+270+265.8
Draw+250---+220+220+220+224.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 20.0%
Lecce: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Lecce: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from -125 to -135
Lecce ML moved from +252 to +244

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 20.0%
Lecce: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Lecce: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atalanta ML
Lecce ML moved from +290 to +250

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+100o2½+118o2¼-108o2¼-107-o2¼-107o2¼-107o2½+118
Underu2¾-120u2½-140u2¼-112u2¼-113-u2¼-113u2½-140u2½-118
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+115--o2½+110o2½+120o2½+120o2½+118
Underu2½-120u2½-135--u2½-140u2½-140u2½-135u2½-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-118 to u2¼-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes58.2%
 
No41.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.69%
Exactly 221.96%
Exactly 417.13%
Exactly 65.34%
Exactly 80.89%
 
Exactly 114.35%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 510.48%
Exactly 72.34%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 014.81%
Exactly 128.29%
Exactly 227.01%
Exactly 317.19%
Exactly 48.21%
Exactly 53.14%
Exactly 61.00%
Exactly 70.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Lecce
Exactly 031.67%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 220.93%
Exactly 38.02%
Exactly 42.31%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.26%
Exactly 224.33%
Exactly 44.07%
Exactly 60.27%
 
Exactly 134.36%
Exactly 311.49%
Exactly 51.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 041.31%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 216.15%
Exactly 34.76%
Exactly 41.05%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lecce
Exactly 058.72%
Exactly 131.26%
Exactly 28.32%
Exactly 31.48%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals31.88%
Wins by 3+ goals15.06%
Wins by 4+ goals5.89%
Wins by 5+ goals1.91%
Lecce
Wins by 2+ goals8.73%
Wins by 3+ goals2.64%
Wins by 4+ goals0.64%

Exact Winning Margin

Atalanta
Lecce
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal23.13%
Wins by 2 goals16.81%
Wins by 3 goals9.18%
Wins by 4 goals3.97%
Wins by 5 goals1.41%
Lecce
Wins by 1 goal13.93%
Wins by 2 goals6.09%
Wins by 3 goals2.00%
Wins by 4 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.31%4.69%
1.580.95%19.05%
2.559.00%41.00%
3.536.61%63.39%
4.519.48%80.52%
5.59.00%91.00%
6.53.66%96.34%
7.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.19%14.81%
1.556.90%43.10%
2.529.89%70.11%
3.512.70%87.30%
4.54.49%95.51%
5.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Lecce Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.33%31.67%
1.531.91%68.09%
2.510.98%89.02%
3.52.96%97.04%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.74%24.26%
1.541.38%58.62%
2.517.05%82.95%
3.55.56%94.44%
4.51.49%98.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atalanta
Lecce
Score01234
0
4.69%
5.39%
3.10%
1.19%
0.34%
1
8.96%
10.30%
5.92%
2.27%
0.65%
2
8.56%
9.84%
5.65%
2.17%
0.62%
3
5.45%
6.26%
3.60%
1.38%
0.40%
4
2.60%
2.99%
1.72%
0.66%
0.19%
5
0.99%
1.14%
0.66%
0.25%
0.07%
Atalanta
1-08.96%
2-08.56%
2-19.84%
3-05.45%
3-16.26%
3-23.60%
4-02.60%
4-12.99%
4-21.72%
4-30.66%
5-00.99%
5-11.14%
5-20.66%
5-30.25%
Draw
0-04.69%
1-110.30%
2-25.65%
3-31.38%
4-40.19%
Lecce
0-15.39%
0-23.10%
1-25.92%
0-31.19%
1-32.27%
2-32.17%
0-40.34%
1-40.65%
2-40.62%
3-40.40%

Correct Score - First Half

Atalanta
Lecce
Score0123
0
24.26%
12.91%
3.44%
0.61%
1
21.45%
11.42%
3.04%
0.54%
2
9.48%
5.05%
1.34%
0.24%
3
2.79%
1.49%
0.40%
0.07%
4
0.62%
0.33%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Atalanta
1-021.45%
2-09.48%
2-15.05%
3-02.79%
3-11.49%
3-20.40%
4-00.62%
4-10.33%
5-00.11%
Draw
0-024.26%
1-111.42%
2-21.34%
Lecce
0-112.91%
0-23.44%
1-23.04%
0-30.61%
1-30.54%
2-30.24%