Bologna at Milan

Updated

Bologna

32.9%27.0%40.0%
Bologna WinDrawMilan Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.31
1Final Score 3

Milan

Last 5 Games

Bologna
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Juventus+140
T 0-0 at Udinese-125
W 0-1 vs Inter+240
L 0-2 at Atalanta+306
T 1-1 vs Napoli+170
Milan
Money Line
W 2-1 at Genoa-135
W 2-0 at Venezia-150
L 1-0 vs Atalanta+165
W 4-0 at Udinese-110
T 2-2 vs Fiorentina-130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bologna+190+229+225+248+229+248+248+260.2
Milan+143+127+125+118+120+118+127+125.6
Draw+241+239+235+246+236+246+246+258.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bologna+175-+214-+185+205+214+260.2
Milan+150-+130-+110+130+130+125.6
Draw+240-+228-+235+245+245+258.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bologna: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bologna: 20.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bologna: 20.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bologna ML moved from +210 to +201
Milan ML moved from +149 to +143

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bologna: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bologna: 10.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bologna: 0.0%
Milan: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bologna ML moved from +201 to +194
Milan ML moved from +135 to +110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-104o2½-110o2½-110o2½-115o2½-111o2½-115o2½-110o2½-104
Underu2½-116u2½-107u2½-110u2½-105u2½-109u2½-105u2½-105u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2½-105o2½-105-o2½-115o2½-105o2½-105o2½-104
Underu2½-118u2½-115u2½-115-u2½-115u2½-115u2½-115u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.37%
Exactly 225.75%
Exactly 413.21%
Exactly 62.71%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.76%
Exactly 321.29%
Exactly 56.55%
Exactly 70.96%
Exact Goals Scored - Bologna
Exactly 031.15%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 221.19%
Exactly 38.24%
Exactly 42.40%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 026.85%
Exactly 135.31%
Exactly 223.21%
Exactly 310.17%
Exactly 43.34%
Exactly 50.88%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.70%
Exactly 220.92%
Exactly 42.30%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 38.01%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bologna
Exactly 058.27%
Exactly 131.47%
Exactly 28.50%
Exactly 31.53%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 054.40%
Exactly 133.12%
Exactly 210.08%
Exactly 32.05%
Exactly 40.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bologna
Wins by 2+ goals13.50%
Wins by 3+ goals4.29%
Wins by 4+ goals1.09%
Wins by 5+ goals0.22%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals18.10%
Wins by 3+ goals6.39%
Wins by 4+ goals1.81%
Wins by 5+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Bologna
Milan
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Bologna
Wins by 1 goal19.41%
Wins by 2 goals9.22%
Wins by 3 goals3.20%
Wins by 4 goals0.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal21.88%
Wins by 2 goals11.71%
Wins by 3 goals4.59%
Wins by 4 goals1.40%
Wins by 5 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.63%8.37%
1.570.88%29.12%
2.545.13%54.87%
3.523.84%76.16%
4.510.63%89.37%
5.54.08%95.92%
6.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Bologna Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.85%31.15%
1.532.52%67.48%
2.511.33%88.67%
3.53.09%96.91%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.15%26.85%
1.537.84%62.16%
2.514.63%85.37%
3.54.46%95.54%
4.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.30%31.70%
1.531.88%68.12%
2.510.96%89.04%
3.52.95%97.05%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bologna
Milan
Score012345
0
8.37%
11.00%
7.23%
3.17%
1.04%
0.27%
1
9.76%
12.83%
8.43%
3.70%
1.21%
0.32%
2
5.69%
7.48%
4.92%
2.16%
0.71%
0.19%
3
2.21%
2.91%
1.91%
0.84%
0.28%
0.07%
4
0.65%
0.85%
0.56%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.15%
0.20%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Bologna
1-09.76%
2-05.69%
2-17.48%
3-02.21%
3-12.91%
3-21.91%
4-00.65%
4-10.85%
4-20.56%
4-30.24%
5-00.15%
5-10.20%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-08.37%
1-112.83%
2-24.92%
3-30.84%
Milan
0-111.00%
0-27.23%
1-28.43%
0-33.17%
1-33.70%
2-32.16%
0-41.04%
1-41.21%
2-40.71%
3-40.28%
0-50.27%
1-50.32%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Bologna
Milan
Score01234
0
31.70%
19.30%
5.87%
1.19%
0.18%
1
17.12%
10.42%
3.17%
0.64%
0.10%
2
4.62%
2.81%
0.86%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.83%
0.51%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Bologna
1-017.12%
2-04.62%
2-12.81%
3-00.83%
3-10.51%
3-20.15%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-031.70%
1-110.42%
2-20.86%
Milan
0-119.30%
0-25.87%
1-23.17%
0-31.19%
1-30.64%
2-30.17%
0-40.18%