Napoli at Sampdoria

Updated

Napoli

49.5%23.0%27.5%
Napoli WinDrawSampdoria Win
1.81Projected Goals 1.00
4Final Score 0

Sampdoria

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
W 4-0 at Udinese-115
W 1-2 vs Juventus+115
W 2-1 at Genoa-170
W 0-2 vs Venezia-450
T 1-1 vs Hellas Verona-400
Sampdoria
Money Line
W 3-0 at Empoli+160
T 2-2 vs Inter+440
T 0-0 at Sassuolo+225
L 1-0 vs Milan+290
W 0-3 vs Parma-150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-116-140-135-140-135-135-135-131.1
Sampdoria+337+360+375+398+340+375+398+408.6
Draw+289+310+300+316+287+300+316+323.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli-120----140-135-135-131.1
Sampdoria+325---+275+355+355+408.6
Draw+275---+260+285+285+323.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sampdoria: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Sampdoria: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Sampdoria: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from -131 to -140
Sampdoria ML moved from +330 to +320

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sampdoria: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Sampdoria: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Sampdoria: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from -115 to -135
Sampdoria ML moved from +300 to +275

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+100o3+100o3-105o3+104-o3-105o3+104o3+110
Underu2¾-110u3-120u3-115u3-115-u3-115u3-115u3-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o2½-150--o2½-140o3-105o2½-140o3+110
Underu2½+110u2½+130--u2½+110u3-115u3-115u3-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-140 to o3-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.9%
 
No47.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.04%
Exactly 223.79%
Exactly 415.62%
Exactly 64.10%
Exactly 80.58%
 
Exactly 116.95%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 58.77%
Exactly 71.64%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 016.46%
Exactly 129.69%
Exactly 226.79%
Exactly 316.12%
Exactly 47.27%
Exactly 52.62%
Exactly 60.79%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Sampdoria
Exactly 036.70%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.44%
Exactly 36.16%
Exactly 41.54%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.27%
Exactly 223.02%
Exactly 43.24%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.43%
Exactly 39.97%
Exactly 50.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 043.37%
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 215.14%
Exactly 34.22%
Exactly 40.88%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sampdoria
Exactly 062.87%
Exactly 129.18%
Exactly 26.77%
Exactly 31.05%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals31.92%
Wins by 3+ goals14.65%
Wins by 4+ goals5.52%
Wins by 5+ goals1.73%
Sampdoria
Wins by 2+ goals7.28%
Wins by 3+ goals1.95%
Wins by 4+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Sampdoria
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal24.22%
Wins by 2 goals17.28%
Wins by 3 goals9.12%
Wins by 4 goals3.79%
Wins by 5 goals1.29%
Sampdoria
Wins by 1 goal13.45%
Wins by 2 goals5.33%
Wins by 3 goals1.55%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.96%6.04%
1.577.01%22.99%
2.553.22%46.78%
3.530.96%69.04%
4.515.34%84.66%
5.56.57%93.43%
6.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.54%16.46%
1.553.85%46.15%
2.527.06%72.94%
3.510.94%89.06%
4.53.67%96.33%
5.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Sampdoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.30%36.70%
1.526.51%73.49%
2.58.07%91.93%
3.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.73%27.27%
1.537.30%62.70%
2.514.28%85.72%
3.54.30%95.70%
4.51.06%98.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Sampdoria
Score01234
0
6.04%
6.05%
3.03%
1.01%
0.25%
1
10.90%
10.92%
5.47%
1.83%
0.46%
2
9.83%
9.86%
4.94%
1.65%
0.41%
3
5.91%
5.93%
2.97%
0.99%
0.25%
4
2.67%
2.67%
1.34%
0.45%
0.11%
5
0.96%
0.97%
0.48%
0.16%
0.04%
Napoli
1-010.90%
2-09.83%
2-19.86%
3-05.91%
3-15.93%
3-22.97%
4-02.67%
4-12.67%
4-21.34%
4-30.45%
5-00.96%
5-10.97%
5-20.48%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-06.04%
1-110.92%
2-24.94%
3-30.99%
4-40.11%
Sampdoria
0-16.05%
0-23.03%
1-25.47%
0-31.01%
1-31.83%
2-31.65%
0-40.25%
1-40.46%
2-40.41%
3-40.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Sampdoria
Score0123
0
27.27%
12.65%
2.94%
0.45%
1
22.78%
10.57%
2.45%
0.38%
2
9.52%
4.42%
1.02%
0.16%
3
2.65%
1.23%
0.29%
0.04%
4
0.55%
0.26%
0.06%
0.01%
Napoli
1-022.78%
2-09.52%
2-14.42%
3-02.65%
3-11.23%
3-20.29%
4-00.55%
4-10.26%
Draw
0-027.27%
1-110.57%
2-21.02%
Sampdoria
0-112.65%
0-22.94%
1-22.45%
0-30.45%
1-30.38%
2-30.16%