Milan at Roma

Updated

Milan

37.4%27.0%35.5%
Milan WinDrawRoma Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.23
1Final Score 1

Roma

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Lecce-195
T 1-1 at Bologna+175
T 0-0 vs Empoli-290
W 4-0 at Napoli+320
L 1-3 at Udinese+110
Roma
Money Line
L 1-3 at Atalanta+215
W 0-3 vs Udinese-115
W 1-0 at Torino+145
W 0-3 vs Sampdoria-290
L 0-1 at Lazio+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+184+194+190+202+202+202+202+212.4
Roma+171+178+170+178+180+178+180+187.6
Draw+214+194+195+191+203+191+203+201.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+180---+160+185+185+212.4
Roma+175---+155+175+175+187.6
Draw+205---+185+195+195+201.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +184 to +177
Roma ML moved from +180 to +173

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Roma: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Roma: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Roma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Milan ML
No Steam Moves On Roma ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-132o2+104o2+102o2+102o2+102o2+102o2+104o2+111
Underu2+112u2-122u2-122u2-122u2-117u2-122u2-117u2-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-125o2-105--o2-110o2-105o2-105o2+111
Underu2+105u2-115--u2-120u2-115u2-115u2-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.8%
 
No49.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.26%
Exactly 225.68%
Exactly 413.31%
Exactly 62.76%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.59%
Exactly 321.35%
Exactly 56.64%
Exactly 70.98%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 028.16%
Exactly 135.69%
Exactly 222.61%
Exactly 39.55%
Exactly 43.03%
Exactly 50.77%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Roma
Exactly 029.32%
Exactly 135.97%
Exactly 222.07%
Exactly 39.03%
Exactly 42.77%
Exactly 50.68%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.51%
Exactly 221.01%
Exactly 42.34%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 38.09%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 055.61%
Exactly 132.63%
Exactly 29.57%
Exactly 31.87%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Roma
Exactly 056.66%
Exactly 132.19%
Exactly 29.14%
Exactly 31.73%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals16.41%
Wins by 3+ goals5.60%
Wins by 4+ goals1.53%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%
Roma
Wins by 2+ goals15.16%
Wins by 3+ goals5.03%
Wins by 4+ goals1.33%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Roma
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Milan
Wins by 1 goal21.00%
Wins by 2 goals10.81%
Wins by 3 goals4.07%
Wins by 4 goals1.20%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%
Roma
Wins by 1 goal20.33%
Wins by 2 goals10.13%
Wins by 3 goals3.70%
Wins by 4 goals1.05%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.74%8.26%
1.571.15%28.85%
2.545.47%54.53%
3.524.12%75.88%
4.510.81%89.19%
5.54.16%95.84%
6.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.84%28.16%
1.536.16%63.84%
2.513.54%86.46%
3.53.99%96.01%

Total Goals Roma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.68%29.32%
1.534.71%65.29%
2.512.64%87.36%
3.53.62%96.38%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.49%31.51%
1.532.10%67.90%
2.511.09%88.91%
3.53.00%97.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Roma
Score012345
0
8.26%
10.13%
6.21%
2.54%
0.78%
0.19%
1
10.46%
12.84%
7.88%
3.22%
0.99%
0.24%
2
6.63%
8.13%
4.99%
2.04%
0.63%
0.15%
3
2.80%
3.44%
2.11%
0.86%
0.26%
0.06%
4
0.89%
1.09%
0.67%
0.27%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.22%
0.28%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
Milan
1-010.46%
2-06.63%
2-18.13%
3-02.80%
3-13.44%
3-22.11%
4-00.89%
4-11.09%
4-20.67%
4-30.27%
5-00.22%
5-10.28%
5-20.17%
Draw
0-08.26%
1-112.84%
2-24.99%
3-30.86%
Roma
0-110.13%
0-26.21%
1-27.88%
0-32.54%
1-33.22%
2-32.04%
0-40.78%
1-40.99%
2-40.63%
3-40.26%
0-50.19%
1-50.24%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Roma
Score01234
0
31.51%
17.90%
5.08%
0.96%
0.14%
1
18.49%
10.50%
2.98%
0.56%
0.08%
2
5.42%
3.08%
0.88%
0.17%
0.02%
3
1.06%
0.60%
0.17%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.16%
0.09%
0.03%
0.00%
0.00%
Milan
1-018.49%
2-05.42%
2-13.08%
3-01.06%
3-10.60%
3-20.17%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-031.51%
1-110.50%
2-20.88%
Roma
0-117.90%
0-25.08%
1-22.98%
0-30.96%
1-30.56%
2-30.17%
0-40.14%