Lazio at Milan

Updated

Lazio

12.6%18.2%69.1%
WinDrawMilan Win
0.84Projected Goals 2.25
0Final Score 1

Milan

Last 5 Games

Lazio
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Lecce-130
L 0-2 at Inter+900
W 0-2 vs Cagliari-147
T 0-0 at Pisa+115
W 0-1 vs Juventus+245
Milan
Money Line
W 1-0 at Inter+280
T 2-2 at Parma-196
W 0-1 vs Roma+140
T 1-1 at Atalanta+183
T 2-2 vs Pisa-335

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lazio+450-+450+490+490+490+490+510.7
Milan-170--149-148-148-148-148-136.2
Draw+310-+265+272+272+272+272+285.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lazio+450-+440-+390+445+445+510.7
Milan-165--150--180-150-150-136.2
Draw+310-+274-+255+275+275+285.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lazio: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lazio: 0.0%
Milan: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lazio: 20.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lazio ML moved from +460 to +445
Milan ML moved from -147 to -153

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lazio: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lazio: 0.0%
Milan: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lazio: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lazio ML moved from +400 to +390
No Steam Moves On Milan ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105-o2¼-120o2¼-118o2¼-118o2¼-118o2¼-118o2¼-107
Underu2½-115-u2¼+100u2¼-102u2¼-102u2¼-102u2¼+100u2¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+105o2½+105-o2½+115o2½+115o2½+115o2¼-107
Underu2½-120u2½-125u2½-125-u2½-145u2½-135u2½-125u2¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-115 to o2½+102
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.0%
 
No49.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.54%
Exactly 221.70%
Exactly 417.30%
Exactly 65.51%
Exactly 80.94%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 114.04%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 510.70%
Exactly 72.44%
Exactly 90.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Lazio
Exactly 042.94%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 215.35%
Exactly 34.32%
Exactly 40.91%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 010.57%
Exactly 123.75%
Exactly 226.69%
Exactly 319.99%
Exactly 411.23%
Exactly 55.05%
Exactly 61.89%
Exactly 70.61%
Exactly 80.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.89%
Exactly 224.49%
Exactly 44.18%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.20%
Exactly 311.69%
Exactly 51.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lazio
Exactly 067.61%
Exactly 126.47%
Exactly 25.18%
Exactly 30.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 035.33%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.12%
Exactly 36.63%
Exactly 41.72%
Exactly 50.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lazio
Wins by 2+ goals3.79%
Wins by 3+ goals0.87%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals45.57%
Wins by 3+ goals24.90%
Wins by 4+ goals11.38%
Wins by 5+ goals4.41%
Wins by 6+ goals1.45%
Wins by 7+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Lazio
Milan
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Lazio
Wins by 1 goal8.84%
Wins by 2 goals2.92%
Wins by 3 goals0.72%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal23.49%
Wins by 2 goals20.67%
Wins by 3 goals13.52%
Wins by 4 goals6.97%
Wins by 5 goals2.95%
Wins by 6 goals1.06%
Wins by 7 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.46%4.54%
1.581.43%18.57%
2.559.72%40.28%
3.537.35%62.65%
4.520.05%79.95%
5.59.35%90.65%
6.53.84%96.16%
7.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Lazio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.06%42.94%
1.520.76%79.24%
2.55.42%94.58%
3.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.43%10.57%
1.565.68%34.32%
2.538.99%61.01%
3.519.00%81.00%
4.57.77%92.23%
5.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.11%23.89%
1.541.91%58.09%
2.517.42%82.58%
3.55.74%94.26%
4.51.55%98.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lazio
Milan
Score012345
0
4.54%
10.20%
11.46%
8.58%
4.82%
2.17%
1
3.84%
8.62%
9.69%
7.26%
4.08%
1.83%
2
1.62%
3.65%
4.10%
3.07%
1.72%
0.77%
3
0.46%
1.03%
1.15%
0.86%
0.49%
0.22%
Lazio
1-03.84%
2-01.62%
2-13.65%
3-00.46%
3-11.03%
3-21.15%
Draw
0-04.54%
1-18.62%
2-24.10%
3-30.86%
4-40.10%
Milan
0-110.20%
0-211.46%
1-29.69%
0-38.58%
1-37.26%
2-33.07%
0-44.82%
1-44.08%
2-41.72%
3-40.49%
0-52.17%
1-51.83%
2-50.77%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Lazio
Milan
Score012345
0
23.89%
24.85%
12.93%
4.48%
1.17%
0.24%
1
9.35%
9.73%
5.06%
1.75%
0.46%
0.09%
2
1.83%
1.90%
0.99%
0.34%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.24%
0.25%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Lazio
1-09.35%
2-01.83%
2-11.90%
3-00.24%
3-10.25%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-023.89%
1-19.73%
2-20.99%
Milan
0-124.85%
0-212.93%
1-25.06%
0-34.48%
1-31.75%
2-30.34%
0-41.17%
1-40.46%
0-50.24%