Napoli at Inter

Updated

Napoli

26.5%22.4%51.1%
Napoli WinDrawInter Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.87
2Final Score 3

Inter

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Hellas Verona-260
W 1-0 at Salernitana-320
W 0-3 vs Bologna-430
T 0-0 at Roma+140
W 0-1 vs Torino-275
Inter
Money Line
T 1-1 at Milan+115
W 0-2 vs Udinese-275
W 2-0 at Empoli-230
T 1-1 vs Juventus+100
L 1-3 at Lazio+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+220+220+245+233+223+245+245+246.7
Inter+120+125+120+130+121+120+130+139.3
Draw+265+240+245+251+235+245+251+240.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+225---+200+235+235+246.7
Inter+120---+105+120+120+139.3
Draw+245---+230+235+235+240.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Inter: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Inter: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Inter: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +235 to +223
Inter ML moved from +130 to +120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Inter: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Inter: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Inter: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Napoli ML
No Steam Moves On Inter ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-122o2¾-105o2½-135o2½-125-o2½-135o2½-125o2¾+112
Underu2¾+102u2¾-115u2½+115u2½+110-u2½+115u2¾-115u2¾-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-120--o2½-135o2½-130o2½-120o2¾+112
Underu2½+120u2½+100--u2½+105u2½+110u2½+110u2¾-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-108 to u2¾-132

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.4%
 
No47.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.89%
Exactly 223.62%
Exactly 415.78%
Exactly 64.22%
Exactly 80.60%
 
Exactly 116.68%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 58.94%
Exactly 71.71%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 038.03%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.77%
Exactly 35.73%
Exactly 41.38%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Inter
Exactly 015.49%
Exactly 128.89%
Exactly 226.94%
Exactly 316.75%
Exactly 47.81%
Exactly 52.91%
Exactly 60.91%
Exactly 70.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.95%
Exactly 223.17%
Exactly 43.32%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.34%
Exactly 310.13%
Exactly 50.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 063.91%
Exactly 128.61%
Exactly 26.40%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Inter
Exactly 042.17%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 215.72%
Exactly 34.53%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals6.52%
Wins by 3+ goals1.69%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%
Inter
Wins by 2+ goals34.01%
Wins by 3+ goals16.04%
Wins by 4+ goals6.22%
Wins by 5+ goals2.01%
Wins by 6+ goals0.52%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Inter
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal12.63%
Wins by 2 goals4.83%
Wins by 3 goals1.36%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Inter
Wins by 1 goal24.36%
Wins by 2 goals17.97%
Wins by 3 goals9.81%
Wins by 4 goals4.22%
Wins by 5 goals1.48%
Wins by 6 goals0.43%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.11%5.89%
1.577.43%22.57%
2.553.81%46.19%
3.531.52%68.48%
4.515.73%84.27%
5.56.79%93.21%
6.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.97%38.03%
1.525.21%74.79%
2.57.43%92.57%
3.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals Inter Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.51%15.49%
1.555.63%44.37%
2.528.69%71.31%
3.511.94%88.06%
4.54.13%95.87%
5.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.05%26.95%
1.537.71%62.29%
2.514.55%85.45%
3.54.42%95.58%
4.51.10%98.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Inter
Score012345
0
5.89%
10.98%
10.24%
6.37%
2.97%
1.11%
1
5.69%
10.62%
9.90%
6.16%
2.87%
1.07%
2
2.75%
5.13%
4.79%
2.98%
1.39%
0.52%
3
0.89%
1.65%
1.54%
0.96%
0.45%
0.17%
4
0.21%
0.40%
0.37%
0.23%
0.11%
0.04%
Napoli
1-05.69%
2-02.75%
2-15.13%
3-00.89%
3-11.65%
3-21.54%
4-00.21%
4-10.40%
4-20.37%
4-30.23%
Draw
0-05.89%
1-110.62%
2-24.79%
3-30.96%
4-40.11%
Inter
0-110.98%
0-210.24%
1-29.90%
0-36.37%
1-36.16%
2-32.98%
0-42.97%
1-42.87%
2-41.39%
3-40.45%
0-51.11%
1-51.07%
2-50.52%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Inter
Score012345
0
26.95%
23.27%
10.05%
2.89%
0.62%
0.11%
1
12.06%
10.42%
4.50%
1.29%
0.28%
0.05%
2
2.70%
2.33%
1.01%
0.29%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.40%
0.35%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Napoli
1-012.06%
2-02.70%
2-12.33%
3-00.40%
3-10.35%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-026.95%
1-110.42%
2-21.01%
Inter
0-123.27%
0-210.05%
1-24.50%
0-32.89%
1-31.29%
2-30.29%
0-40.62%
1-40.28%
0-50.11%