Milan at Lazio

Updated

Milan

39.8%26.6%33.6%
Milan WinDrawLazio Win
1.34Projected Goals 1.21
0Final Score 4

Lazio

Last 5 Games

Milan
Money Line
T 2-2 at Lecce-140
T 2-2 vs Roma-120
W 2-1 at Salernitana-210
W 1-2 vs Fiorentina-150
T 0-0 at Cremonese-185
Lazio
Money Line
W 2-0 at Sassuolo+100
T 2-2 vs Empoli-185
L 1-2 at Lecce+110
L 0-3 at Juventus+295
W 0-1 vs Monza-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+118+161+150+161+162+161+162+173.4
Lazio+244+184+180+183+180+183+184+192.2
Draw+244+228+235+235+228+235+235+242.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+120---+135+160+160+173.4
Lazio+230---+160+180+180+192.2
Draw+240---+215+225+225+242.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lazio: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 10.0%
Lazio: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Milan: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Lazio: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Milan ML
Lazio ML moved from +191 to +185

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lazio: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 0.0%
Lazio: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Milan: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Lazio: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Milan ML
Lazio ML moved from +190 to +180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-121o2½-104o2½+102o2½-102o2½+102o2½-102o2½+102o2½+109
Underu2½+103u2½-114u2½-122u2½-118u2½-117u2½-118u2½-114u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-105--o2½-120o2½+100o2½+100o2½+109
Underu2½+100u2½-115--u2½-110u2½-120u2½-110u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.8%
 
No48.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.83%
Exactly 225.40%
Exactly 413.74%
Exactly 62.97%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 119.94%
Exactly 321.57%
Exactly 57.00%
Exactly 71.08%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 026.21%
Exactly 135.10%
Exactly 223.50%
Exactly 310.49%
Exactly 43.51%
Exactly 50.94%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Lazio
Exactly 029.86%
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 221.81%
Exactly 38.79%
Exactly 42.66%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.74%
Exactly 221.39%
Exactly 42.48%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 38.41%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 053.80%
Exactly 133.35%
Exactly 210.34%
Exactly 32.14%
Exactly 40.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lazio
Exactly 057.14%
Exactly 131.98%
Exactly 28.95%
Exactly 31.67%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals18.13%
Wins by 3+ goals6.47%
Wins by 4+ goals1.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%
Lazio
Wins by 2+ goals14.10%
Wins by 3+ goals4.60%
Wins by 4+ goals1.20%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Lazio
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Milan
Wins by 1 goal21.58%
Wins by 2 goals11.65%
Wins by 3 goals4.62%
Wins by 4 goals1.43%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%
Lazio
Wins by 1 goal19.48%
Wins by 2 goals9.50%
Wins by 3 goals3.40%
Wins by 4 goals0.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.17%7.83%
1.572.23%27.77%
2.546.84%53.16%
3.525.27%74.73%
4.511.53%88.47%
5.54.53%95.47%
6.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.79%26.21%
1.538.69%61.31%
2.515.20%84.80%
3.54.71%95.29%
4.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals Lazio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.14%29.86%
1.534.05%65.95%
2.512.24%87.76%
3.53.45%96.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.26%30.74%
1.533.00%67.00%
2.511.61%88.39%
3.53.20%96.80%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Lazio
Score012345
0
7.83%
9.46%
5.72%
2.30%
0.70%
0.17%
1
10.48%
12.67%
7.65%
3.08%
0.93%
0.23%
2
7.02%
8.48%
5.12%
2.06%
0.62%
0.15%
3
3.13%
3.78%
2.29%
0.92%
0.28%
0.07%
4
1.05%
1.27%
0.77%
0.31%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.28%
0.34%
0.21%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
Milan
1-010.48%
2-07.02%
2-18.48%
3-03.13%
3-13.78%
3-22.29%
4-01.05%
4-11.27%
4-20.77%
4-30.31%
5-00.28%
5-10.34%
5-20.21%
Draw
0-07.83%
1-112.67%
2-25.12%
3-30.92%
Lazio
0-19.46%
0-25.72%
1-27.65%
0-32.30%
1-33.08%
2-32.06%
0-40.70%
1-40.93%
2-40.62%
3-40.28%
0-50.17%
1-50.23%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Lazio
Score01234
0
30.74%
17.20%
4.81%
0.90%
0.13%
1
19.06%
10.67%
2.98%
0.56%
0.08%
2
5.91%
3.31%
0.93%
0.17%
0.02%
3
1.22%
0.68%
0.19%
0.04%
0.00%
4
0.19%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Milan
1-019.06%
2-05.91%
2-13.31%
3-01.22%
3-10.68%
3-20.19%
4-00.19%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-030.74%
1-110.67%
2-20.93%
Lazio
0-117.20%
0-24.81%
1-22.98%
0-30.90%
1-30.56%
2-30.17%
0-40.13%
Empoli at Inter
Spezia at Bologna