Lecce at Parma

Updated

Lecce

24.4%25.0%50.6%
Lecce WinDrawParma Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.60
1Final Score 0

Parma

Last 5 Games

Lecce
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Bologna+475
L 2-1 vs Cagliari+185
L 1-4 at Atalanta+795
L 2-0 vs Milan+550
T 0-0 at Genoa+490
Parma
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Torino+155
T 0-0 at Cremonese+180
L 0-2 at Cagliari+250
T 1-1 vs Atalanta+375
L 0-2 at Juventus+675

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+373+345+355+350+344+350+355+366.0
Parma-124-110-116-111-114-111-110-103.2
Draw+264+243+235+248+236+248+248+260.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lecce+346-+320-+300+335+335+366.0
Parma-130--110--125-110-110-103.2
Draw+273-+237-+210+235+237+260.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Parma: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Parma: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Lecce: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 10.0%
Parma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +362 to +350
Parma ML moved from -105 to -115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lecce: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Parma: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lecce: 0.0%
Parma: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Lecce: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lecce: 0.0%
Parma: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lecce ML moved from +310 to +300
Parma ML moved from -104 to -110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+121o2-145o2¼-102o2¼-103o2¼-103o2¼-103o2-145o2¼+106
Underu2½-143u2+123u2¼-118u2¼-117u2¼-117u2¼-117u2¼-117u2¼-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+118o2½+125o2-145-o2½+115o2½+130o2-145o2¼+106
Underu2½-138u2½-145u2+125-u2½-145u2½-150u2½-145u2¼-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.4%
 
No48.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.19%
Exactly 224.91%
Exactly 414.39%
Exactly 63.32%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 118.93%
Exactly 321.86%
Exactly 57.57%
Exactly 71.25%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Lecce
Exactly 035.62%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.98%
Exactly 36.53%
Exactly 41.68%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Parma
Exactly 020.19%
Exactly 132.30%
Exactly 225.84%
Exactly 313.78%
Exactly 45.51%
Exactly 51.76%
Exactly 60.47%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.56%
Exactly 221.95%
Exactly 42.72%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 38.92%
Exactly 50.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lecce
Exactly 062.01%
Exactly 129.63%
Exactly 27.08%
Exactly 31.13%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Parma
Exactly 047.67%
Exactly 135.32%
Exactly 213.08%
Exactly 33.23%
Exactly 40.60%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lecce
Wins by 2+ goals8.90%
Wins by 3+ goals2.47%
Wins by 4+ goals0.52%
Parma
Wins by 2+ goals26.53%
Wins by 3+ goals11.08%
Wins by 4+ goals3.78%
Wins by 5+ goals1.07%
Wins by 6+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Lecce
Parma
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Lecce
Wins by 1 goal15.49%
Wins by 2 goals6.42%
Wins by 3 goals1.95%
Wins by 4 goals0.45%
Parma
Wins by 1 goal24.02%
Wins by 2 goals15.44%
Wins by 3 goals7.31%
Wins by 4 goals2.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.82%
Wins by 6 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.81%7.19%
1.573.88%26.12%
2.548.96%51.04%
3.527.10%72.90%
4.512.72%87.28%
5.55.14%94.86%
6.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Lecce Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.38%35.62%
1.527.61%72.39%
2.58.63%91.37%
3.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals Parma Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.81%20.19%
1.547.51%52.49%
2.521.67%78.33%
3.57.88%92.12%
4.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.44%29.56%
1.534.41%65.59%
2.512.46%87.54%
3.53.54%96.46%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lecce
Parma
Score012345
0
7.19%
11.51%
9.21%
4.91%
1.96%
0.63%
1
7.42%
11.88%
9.50%
5.07%
2.03%
0.65%
2
3.83%
6.13%
4.90%
2.62%
1.05%
0.33%
3
1.32%
2.11%
1.69%
0.90%
0.36%
0.12%
4
0.34%
0.54%
0.44%
0.23%
0.09%
0.03%
Lecce
1-07.42%
2-03.83%
2-16.13%
3-01.32%
3-12.11%
3-21.69%
4-00.34%
4-10.54%
4-20.44%
4-30.23%
Draw
0-07.19%
1-111.88%
2-24.90%
3-30.90%
Parma
0-111.51%
0-29.21%
1-29.50%
0-34.91%
1-35.07%
2-32.62%
0-41.96%
1-42.03%
2-41.05%
3-40.36%
0-50.63%
1-50.65%
2-50.33%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Lecce
Parma
Score01234
0
29.56%
21.90%
8.11%
2.00%
0.37%
1
14.13%
10.47%
3.88%
0.96%
0.18%
2
3.38%
2.50%
0.93%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.54%
0.40%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Lecce
1-014.13%
2-03.38%
2-12.50%
3-00.54%
3-10.40%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-029.56%
1-110.47%
2-20.93%
Parma
0-121.90%
0-28.11%
1-23.88%
0-32.00%
1-30.96%
2-30.23%
0-40.37%
1-40.18%
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