Napoli at Fiorentina

Updated

Napoli

51.2%24.4%24.4%
Napoli WinDrawFiorentina Win
1.66Projected Goals 1.07
0Final Score 0

Fiorentina

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Monza-320
W 5-2 at Hellas Verona-105
W 3-0 at Spezia-150
W 0-3 vs Genoa-155
W 1-0 at Torino+100
Fiorentina
Money Line
T 0-0 at Empoli+115
W 2-3 vs Cremonese-170
W 0-2 vs Juventus-125
L 1-4 at Sampdoria-180
W 0-2 vs Roma+175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+160+118+120+120+115+120+120+128.3
Fiorentina+170+232+220+230+215+230+232+246.5
Draw+230+258+245+255+264+255+264+265.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+110----120+110+110+128.3
Fiorentina+240---+235+240+240+246.5
Draw+255---+245+255+255+265.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 20.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +100 to -104
Fiorentina ML moved from +240 to +232

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 20.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Napoli ML
Fiorentina ML moved from +265 to +240

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2½-139o2¾-108o2¾-120-o2¾-120o2½-139o3+130
Underu2¾-108u2½+117u2¾-112u2¾+100-u2¾+100u2¾+100u3-130
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o3+125--o2½-135o2½-130o2½-130o3+130
Underu3-130u3-145--u2½+105u2½+110u3-145u3-130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.2%
 
No46.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.52%
Exactly 224.30%
Exactly 415.09%
Exactly 63.75%
Exactly 80.50%
 
Exactly 117.81%
Exactly 322.12%
Exactly 58.24%
Exactly 71.46%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 018.98%
Exactly 131.54%
Exactly 226.21%
Exactly 314.51%
Exactly 46.03%
Exactly 52.00%
Exactly 60.55%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 034.36%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.61%
Exactly 36.98%
Exactly 41.86%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.25%
Exactly 222.57%
Exactly 43.00%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.71%
Exactly 39.51%
Exactly 50.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 046.33%
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 213.71%
Exactly 33.52%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 060.98%
Exactly 130.16%
Exactly 27.46%
Exactly 31.23%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals27.43%
Wins by 3+ goals11.76%
Wins by 4+ goals4.13%
Wins by 5+ goals1.20%
Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals9.04%
Wins by 3+ goals2.57%
Wins by 4+ goals0.56%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Fiorentina
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal23.76%
Wins by 2 goals15.66%
Wins by 3 goals7.63%
Wins by 4 goals2.93%
Wins by 5 goals0.92%
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal15.28%
Wins by 2 goals6.47%
Wins by 3 goals2.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.48%6.52%
1.575.67%24.33%
2.551.37%48.63%
3.529.25%70.75%
4.514.16%85.84%
5.55.92%94.08%
6.52.17%97.83%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.02%18.98%
1.549.47%50.53%
2.523.27%76.73%
3.58.75%91.25%
4.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.64%34.36%
1.528.93%71.07%
2.59.33%90.67%
3.52.35%97.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.75%28.25%
1.536.03%63.97%
2.513.47%86.53%
3.53.96%96.04%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Fiorentina
Score01234
0
6.52%
6.97%
3.72%
1.33%
0.35%
1
10.84%
11.58%
6.18%
2.20%
0.59%
2
9.00%
9.62%
5.14%
1.83%
0.49%
3
4.99%
5.33%
2.85%
1.01%
0.27%
4
2.07%
2.21%
1.18%
0.42%
0.11%
5
0.69%
0.74%
0.39%
0.14%
0.04%
Napoli
1-010.84%
2-09.00%
2-19.62%
3-04.99%
3-15.33%
3-22.85%
4-02.07%
4-12.21%
4-21.18%
4-30.42%
5-00.69%
5-10.74%
5-20.39%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-06.52%
1-111.58%
2-25.14%
3-31.01%
4-40.11%
Fiorentina
0-16.97%
0-23.72%
1-26.18%
0-31.33%
1-32.20%
2-31.83%
0-40.35%
1-40.59%
2-40.49%
3-40.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Fiorentina
Score0123
0
28.25%
13.97%
3.46%
0.57%
1
21.74%
10.75%
2.66%
0.44%
2
8.36%
4.14%
1.02%
0.17%
3
2.14%
1.06%
0.26%
0.04%
4
0.41%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
Napoli
1-021.74%
2-08.36%
2-14.14%
3-02.14%
3-11.06%
3-20.26%
4-00.41%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-028.25%
1-110.75%
2-21.02%
Fiorentina
0-113.97%
0-23.46%
1-22.66%
0-30.57%
1-30.44%
2-30.17%